Hope this latest updated chart helps (these charts/data are based on IS's own claims, but collected and analysed by BBC Monitoring)

Al-Qaeda's Yemen branch (AQAP) has showered praise on the Omani co-pilot behind the 30 September Flydubai incident and sought to exploit his actions to incite similar attacks against Israeli and American targets. However, the group did not suggest that the co-pilot, identified in the media as Hamam (or Hammam) al-Hammami, had any affiliation with al-Qaeda or had directly acted on its instructions. In an official statement dated 11 October and three accompanying posters presented as "tweets" attributed to AQAP leader, Saad bin Atif al-Awlaqi, AQAP lauded Hammami, repeatedly describing him as a "hero", a "lion" and "great". The group portrayed the incident as a success despite Hammami's failure to bring down the aircraft, arguing that it had sent a powerful message of revenge over Israel's actions in Gaza. One one of the AQAP posters hailed Hammami for allegedly attempting to revive some of the "glory" of the 9/11 attacks, while another praised him for acting without instructions, declaring: "You are great, our hero, Hammam, when you did not wait for someone to tell you what you need to do as a responsible Muslim". This suggested that AQAP viewed Hammami as having acted independently, on his own initiative, rather than on instructions from a group. The messaging echoed that of the pro-al-Qaeda magazine al-Bayan on 3 October and a subsequent editorial on 8 October in a magazine published by al-Qaeda's South Asia branch, AQIS. Both similarly praised Hammami and incited copycat attacks without suggesting any direct jihadist affiliation. However, AQAP's latest messaging went a step further by focusing entirely on the Flydubai incident and repeatedly naming and praising Hammami, whereas the earlier references formed part of broader publications.

#ISIS #AlNaba #fake A fake issue of IS's weekly al-Naba newspaper circulated on 8 October, around four hours before the official release, duping some supporters into sharing it. The parody appeared to originate from a Telegram account impersonating a prominent IS supporter known for sharing authentic releases. Using al-Naba issue 557 from 23 July as its template, it retained much of the original text, layout and imagery, but inserted satirical passages mocking IS militants and their battlefield performance. Among the fabricated stories were militants failing to catch a 60-year-old "spy", an IS member dying from a "TikTok overdose", 36 "Crusader chickens" being slaughtered, marinated and cooked, and two goats being released after "repenting". A mocking addition to the editorial described a 14-year-old IS recruit living in Belgium who supposedly died after misunderstanding bomb-making instructions. Some supporters admitted sharing the fake issue, while others feared it might contain malware. We covered the full fiasco and reactions to it We covered the full fiasco, including how the fake issue spread and how IS supporters reacted. monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product…

The unofficial pro-al-Qaeda publication al-Bayan has hailed the 30 September Flydubai incident and used it to encourage similar "attacks" on aircraft carrying Americans and Israelis. But it stopped short of saying the incident was jihadist- or al-Qaeda-linked. Instead, it argued that such attacks would benefit "Islam and Muslims" regardless of who carried them out, including non-Muslims or non-practising Muslims. The al-Bayan editorial where the remarks appeared was not solely focused on the Flydubai incident, but offered broader commentary on recent events, including the 30 September withdrawal of US troops from Iraq. It presented these alongside 9/11 as significant September events either caused by, or seen as benefiting, jihadists.

IS, via al-Naba, portrayed international “turmoil”, unresolved conflicts and divisions amongst its enemies as creating favourable conditions for its revival, with its cryptic references possibly also encompassing tensions surrounding the UN General Assembly, marked by deep divisions, disputes and walkouts

IS's latest al-Naba editorial was another sermon-style affair, but with a notably more upbeat and galvanising tone, presenting the return of the caliphate as imminent and using that prospect to urge IS followers to intensify both militant activity and religious outreach. The editorial said Muslims were standing at “a critical historical juncture”, with God preparing to grant them inheritance of the earth. It presented current conflicts and rivalries among IS's enemies (presumably including the US-Iran conflict) as evidence that conditions were moving in the group’s favour. It therefore urged followers to exploit what it portrayed as its enemies’ preoccupation with one another to work towards the ultimate goal of restoring the caliphate and Muslim power. The editorial therefore combined an unusually hopeful prediction of imminent revival with a familiar IS message of perseverance and sacrifice: victory was supposedly approaching, but followers had to prove themselves worthy of it by redoubling their efforts.