Founder @ProjectingXIQ 2015 @FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year, 4x @ToutWars champion, @rotographs contributor, author of Projecting X 2.0.
New York, NY
Joined December 2012
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Mike Podhorzer retweeted
Huge congratulations to the 2026 Tout Wars Champions.
Champions League: @FredZinkieMLB
AL: @MikePodhorzer
NL: @B_Walton
Mix Auction: @DolphHauldhagen (Alex Chamberlain)
Mix Draft: @CBSScottWhite
Alternate Categories: @gjewett9
H2H: @claywlink
Daily: Shelly Verougstraete
With trading season in full swing, it's now cheaper than ever to gain an edge with ProjectingX IQ.
Visit link in bio for more details!
Ildemaro Vargas has a 30% HR/FB after a 6.7% career mark through 2025.
How?
Easy.
Unlike Fernando Tatis Jr., he’s pulling his fly balls (top 3 in FB Pull%) like opposite field got deleted from his swing path.
Fernando Tatis Jr. doesn’t have a power problem.
He has a fly ball direction problem.
MLB HR/FB by Direction:
Pull - 30.7%
Center - 7.8%
Oppo - 3.7%
He’s just not pulling his fly balls.
That’s it.
Who's your favorite breakout candidate from these 5 Stuff+ gainers?
Nice to see Taj Bradley here, though I think it's more about the location & command for him.
Janson Junk is intriguing as his fastball velocity is up and he's throwing an improved change more, but K% still meh.
This is the kind of stuff I want to see early in the season.
Who’s actually getting better, not just running hot.
Velocity jumps, bat speed gains, underlying skills vs results…
The signal shows up here before it shows up in your league.
The weekly updated Performance Intelligence Engines are going to provide a massive time-save for my FanGraphs article research!
It'll also make trade negotiations and finding targets far easier with all the data in hand.
3B is a great example of a position with multiple cliffs this year.
It. Is. Ugly.
So are you targeting one of the elite pair, sticking in the middle, or fishing in the bargain bin with serious profit potential hoping for a breakout?
If a player’s projection jumps just because you moved him from 450 PA to 600 PA…
you don’t have a projection.
You have a playing time guess disguised as analysis.
The story behind my Kevin McGonigle buy in the AL-Only Tout Wars auction on Saturday.
It was the Projection Divergence Engine that surfaced the signal that led to the purchase.
Mike Podhorzer retweeted
American League Tout Wars
Saturday 3/14, 9 AM ET
1 @sabermetrics101
2 @IanKahn4
3 @RickWolf1 and @glenncolton1
4 @MikePodhorzer
5 @Jeff_Erickson
6 Doug Dennis
7 @larryschechter2
8 Jason Collette
9 @rob_leibowitz
10 @RealTalkRaph
11 @djshort
12 Jeff Winick
Will McGonigle win the starting SS job in Detroit?
The projections' home run forecasts signal major disagreement on whether that's going to happen.
Projection Intelligence update is live.
One new signal:
The projections' playing time forecasts disagree whether Kevin McGonigle opens the season as the Tigers' starting SS!
Updated Batter + Pitcher platforms are available to subscribers.
projectingx.com
Chase Burns is one of many exciting young starting pitcher options this year with his 100+ MPH fastball.
Is he a sub-3.00 ERA guy or closer to a 4.00 ERA pitcher?
Are you targeting or fading him at NFBC ADP 122 as the 41st starter off the board?
Samuel Basallo is one of several exciting catcher options this year, but his range of possible outcomes is clearly large.
Are you targeting or fading him at NFBC ADP 175 and $8 AAV?
What kind of structured clarity do you seek out during fantasy baseball draft season?
ProjectingX IQ is built for players who want structured clarity, not more rankings.
If that’s you, details here:
projectingx.com/
Besides projections and rankings, what else do you use to prepare for your drafts and auctions?
Common question:
“Is this just another projection system?”
No.
It’s an intelligence layer built on projection data + in-season performance signals - designed to help you act before consensus shifts.
That distinction matters.
projectingx.com/