Joined September 2021
Embrace the grind @TipRun_Markets
The quick money paradox: everyone wants quick money, but quick money is bad even when it feels good Anything worthwhile takes time. Embrace the grind 💎
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too funny
Sydney Sweeney reveals in an interview that she doesn’t care about the PHP vulnerability because she moved everything to Rust in 2024. “They said the rewrite would take six months. We’re on month 30. We haven’t shipped a feature since, but I’m having a very normal Wednesday.”
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the traders as celebrities discussion has been all over my timeline & it’s even more retarded than paying $40m for brain dead hookers on a private jet. If you’re actually good at trading, every second you spend trying to be a celebrity is a massive opportunity cost. Also why would you share your alpha w people? Only if you’re not a great trader will you resort to capitalizing on people’s attention and profit from whatever alpha group subscriptions, ads/sponsorships, or treating your followers as exit liquidity.
the rise of traders as celebrities makes a lot of sense to me most people can't realistically become the next LeBron, but they can learn how to trade from someone who started out just like them that relatability, combined with the potential to make money, creates a different kind of connection between traders and their audiences i expect that to become a bigger part of the social trading
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👏👏👏👏
Lots of VCs kindof sound like this: "Your basketball team doesn't have a moat, any healthy human can throw the ball into the basket thingy. " People who have not run companies before don't understand how much the team matters more than some imagined structural moat.
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This is my quant
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very true. Working on your alpha / algo yields so much more $ than chasing influence, unless you suck at the former
I don’t really understand this … THe traders who make real money are all at hedge funds etc. My friends at citadel Brendan Howard .. millennium etc make 40-50mm a year consistently for years … Very common knowledge that the traders at the big hedge funds make 100mm+ Not a single one of them wants to be w celebrity … even John Paulson etc who made billions as traders only became famous cuz movies were made about them It seems the only “celebrity traders” are the one who made some money deploying rugs on pump fun and posted vlogs spending cash … A top 10 hype airdrop recipient who made $110mm on hype and another 20-30 consistent year after year on his account just bought a 40mm dollar house in palm beach near me. He has like 70 followers on twitter. lol I think this trader celebrity thing is only for people who aren’t real traders. It’s for young kids who don’t know what a real trader is and for them to scam their way to to wealth cuz they couldn’t as traders When I made real money I literally left nyc and moved to middle of nowhere in Midwest and Palm beach house for winter. No real trader who can make money from actual trading has ever wanted to be a celebrity or a content creator lol Nothing wrong with the guys who do.,, but let’s not confuse ?
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Interesting take! Have family in biglaw and can personally validate point 4. For these cross jurisdiction billion dollar deals the only thing ai is doing is just reading / processing some documents bc 1. too much is at stake for ai to take over anything 2. client privacy is extremely important 3. Arguing about contracts is both a science and AN ART. 4. relationships are totally human driven / managed. The ai world romanticizes a bit about ai impact & adoption in law but the real world is so much bigger than that.
Spent the last two weeks in SF and NYC talking to AI native law firms, GCs and academics. Here are my observations: 1. Part of the AI native law firm thesis is to build proprietary software that beats Harvey/Legora. But their most cracked lawyers that I have talked to won't even use the internal tool. They prefer their own harness on Claude Code or Codex. 2. Some people are convinced that certain AI native law firms were built just to become RL environments that generate real dataset for the labs. 3. Ex-BigLaw lawyers at AI natives miss working on headline deals (the ones that get you into Legal500 and Chambers & Partners). 4. BigLaw made its money running billion-dollar cross-border deals with multiple parties that agents can't run unsupervised. No AI native firm is doing that sort of work. BigLaw solved it by sorting out multi-jurisdictional licensing and regulatory issues across offices, with precise staffing. AI can potentially do the staffing part really well, but not the licensing part. 5. No AI native firm has a hiring strategy for 10x lawyers. They prefer hiring partners as their salesforce. The best 10x lawyers I know are still in BigLaw. AI natives need software-like margins so they focus on commoditized work that a model + purpose built harness can finish autonomously. And 10x lawyers enjoy doing non-routine, non-automatable tasks in the fastest way possible using AI. 6. The next frontier, if I am right, is full stack lawyers, lawyers who spot a new area of emerging practice and build productized service around that to monopolize a segment quickly (essentially turn your advice into an API that clients can run by BYOA). It's cheaper and easier than hiring partners to buy their client relationships. Specialist practices like tax, ERISA and regulatory have best chance of winning here.
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facts
best traders and most powerful fund managers will never even be mentioned on this website many guys with 200 followers posting once per year that would mog every single one of us without even trying people conflate followers with PnL, source of great imposter syndrome for me
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TipRun is looking for contributors! Try it out. Share your position. Post anything. We’ll cover your trading loss and give you extra rewards on top!
we’re looking contributors to join our team. if you understand trading and cricket and know how to get people talking, we would love to hear from you. you get: - backing on your trades - monthly USDC rewards for the best content and the most consistent contributors - early access to new features - a direct line to the team there’s also more but the spots are limited, so apply using the link below. form link: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
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Mathilda retweeted
may all your predictions come true ✨
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Watched you can see everything in the cinema last weekend… Elizabeth Holmes and her partner would make great crypto (or ai??🤔)founders, such hopelessly confident pathological liars. It’s insane.
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A lot more have practically shut down. They just didn’t make a wind down announcement
Compiled a list of protocols that have shut down in 2026. 82 protocols year-to-date. I've never seen anything like this before.
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Mathilda retweeted
Dear market makers, this is who you're liquidating.
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Mathilda retweeted
👀
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Mathilda retweeted
grown men with computer science degrees after typing "plz fix" and hitting enter
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Growing the US regulated exchange to play catchup with Kalshi while maintaining the global defi product that was built in 2020 with lots of technical debt is hard
Well, the Polymarket community is not happy. Polymarket CEO @shayne_coplan just gave a speech at Token2049, and it wasn't what everyone expected. Everyone was waiting for product updates and some info about $POLY. What Coplan said is that NYSE parent ICE is one of Polymarket’s biggest shareholders and is working with regulators on onchain equity. I mean, who cares? Was it a shareholders’ meeting? @Polymarket is losing volume and affiliates. Builders are exhausted by constant unannounced updates and bug fixes. Traders need a reason to stay with Polymarket. Many questions are still unanswered. The main stage was a chance to prove that they hear the community’s needs and are trying to meet them. In reality, the Polymarket team looks completely out of touch.
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BREAKING: The U.S. government, Google, Meta & Zuckerberg-backed @biohub are launching a $1.8B push to build the data layer for AI biology. The goal is to create the largest open, AI-ready biological dataset ever assembled, giving models the data needed to better predict how biology works & ultimately help treat disease. The coalition is massive: › Biohub committed $500M › DOE is investing $500M+ across measurement, modeling & compute › NIH is bringing $500M+ of federally funded datasets & repositories › Meta, Google DeepMind & @IsomorphicLabs are jointly investing another $300M This is effectively an infrastructure buildout for AI biology. Instead of just building bigger models, they’re attacking one of the biggest bottlenecks in biology AI today, generating standardized, high-quality biological data at massive scale & making it openly available to researchers. $1.8B committed to turning biology into something AI can increasingly model, predict & engineer.
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Mathilda retweeted
JUST IN: Prediction markets hit a record $188B in trading volume in Q3 2026. That's roughly 21x Q3 2025 and nearly 70% higher than the previous quarter.
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Mathilda retweeted
What happens when the person you're betting on can decide the outcome? That's why the CFTC just flagged "mention" markets as higher manipulation risk. A good market measures what people believe. A bad one rewards whoever has access. We design for the first kind. Period!
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Not the first time I've seen this kind of ad pop up on my phone, so glad someone caught it. The hypocrisy with Kalshi and Polymarket, especially Kalshi, is wild. I remember listening to the founders on podcasts and reading their interviews in earlier days. The whole pitch was financial innovation: a new primitive that lets people, and especially institutions, hedge real-world events without having to build a portfolio. They poured PR into institutional hedging use cases, even though some of those counterparties are pretty unknown in actual finance. And whenever the betting question came up, they dodged it with "well, any trading is betting in a broader sense." Meanwhile ~80% of Kalshi's volume since mid-2024 has been sports. And they're running Meta ads like this one, clearly aimed at average normies to get them gambling, while fighting state regulators in court over why gambling laws shouldn't apply to them. Tell the grand narrative, canoodle w federal regulators, juice retail gamblers without gambling regulation. They know exactly what they’re doing. Polymarket does the same. Their IG ads are just a bit more subtle than this.
This Kalshi ad is among the most dystopian ones I’ve seen from any betting app
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