My Take On The Markets & GeoPolitics | $GC / $NQ Futures | Defense + Energy + Space | Mind & Market on Substack ↓

On A Mission
Joined August 2022
Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Citadel Securities got EXACTLY what they wanted today Well done. Nicely played, humans get triggered easily. SO IF THE FED DOES NOT RAISE RATES TOMORROW, WE SHOULD GET A RIP HIGHER Citadel then wins on both sides. You are being played.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Americans protesting against the merging of the US military with a tiny putrid fake state. Had to go on tiktok to see this. Not on ANY mainstream media. #Israel #trump
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
BREAKING: Tucker Carlson is calling for Nuremberg-style trials for President Trump and politicians who support Section 219 of the NDAA.
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The Chairman's Ledger
@ChairmansLedgerJul 23
I know what kills every position I own before I buy it. Most people find out on the way down and call it a surprise. Write down what has to break. If it doesn’t break, you’re not allowed to sell. A better bet is the only exception. Macro doesn’t get a pass. It’s an input. Rates, wars, oil. If it changes the cash flows, that’s a break. If it just changes the mood, that’s a sale you’ll regret.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Let’s get this on record, on behalf of ALL American citizens… ANY Senator, or Congress member that votes IN FAVOR of NDAA Section 219, is actually party to literal TREASON and should be tried as such.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
The Chairman's Ledger
@ChairmansLedgerJul 11
The two most common mistakes I keep seeing: 1. Not averaging up to protect a pretty %. Example: Current share price: $30 - 10 shares @ $10 avg cost = $300 value, +$200 profit (+200%) - 15 shares @ $12 avg cost = $450 value, +$270 profit (+150%) Which would you rather? 2. Thinking your entry price matters. You wake up tomorrow with amnesia and discover you own a stock trading at $30. You have two choices: keep the share worth $30 or sell it and take the $30 cash. Whether you originally paid $10 or $50 changes neither choice. It doesn’t change today’s value, the future upside or what else you could do with the money. It only changes the P&L number on your screen. Until you understand these two mistakes, you’re relying on luck.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Alex
@alexgoingturboJul 10
🚨Account Giveaway🚨 1x 50k LucidFlex Eval 🔢Rules: 1. Follow me and @TradingLucid 2. Comment: turbo 3. Like + repost lucidtrading.com/ref/Alex
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Alex
@alexgoingturboJul 10
If trading was easy, everyone would be doing it. Lock in, treat this like a business and FOLLOW your rules.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
$NOK A massive geopolitical defence catalyst just leaked by a Finnish paper. Ukraine's armed forces are using Nokia’s specialized tactical 5G technology to guide drones deep into enemy territory. The Russians have had difficulty jamming the Nokia 5G signal used by Ukrainian drone units. Several NATO countries, including the United States, want it for their own use. Some domestic and international foreign and security policy sources say "deals are definitely coming." NATO has invited Nokia to the Ankara Summit Industrial Forum (July 7 & 8). iltalehti.fi/politiikka/a/20…
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
$KRKNF has officially closed its C$615M acquisition of Covelya. The updated 2026 guidance tells the story: Revenue: C$165-175M → C$290-320M Adjusted EBITDA: C$40-50M → C$65-75M With Sonardyne and Covelya's other subsidiaries, Kraken widens its stack to more content per underwater drone for customers like Anduril. Announced 2026 orders: ~C$110M Kraken, ~C$182M Covelya. These are booked orders, not revenue, but they signal real demand. Management targets C$10M in cost synergies within 24 months and guides to low to mid double digit EPS accretion in 2027. Next catalyst: Kraken intends to apply for a TSX main board uplisting, expected year end 2026 or early 2027. Balance sheet stays strong. Minimal net debt after the raise and new credit facility. The stock is currently trading at a significant discount (C$8.50) to where institutions committed in backing this deal.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Alex
@alexgoingturboJun 25
people pass the eval slamming size but don't realize that those bad habits carry over to the funded stage. When you can't get payouts, don't try rushing the eval. It's literally the cheapest tuition you can have when trading real markets.
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$NOK Oh me oh my $NOK — $30M expansion of photonic chip packaging in Allentown, PA. •Photonic chip capacity 10x increase — ready by Q3 2026 •Workforce nearly doubles to 500+ jobs •Funding: $4M state aid + $10M CHIPS Act tax credits •$500M+ projected economic impact over 5 years •Part of Nokia’s broader $4B US investment plan
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
No deal is required for us to just walk away. It’s evident that we can’t stop either side from attacking the other. There is only one realistic choice we have—stay & get sucked further into the war or look out for our interests & just walk.
“Both sides, Israel and Iran, are looking to do an immediate CEASEFIRE! Final negotiations on “Peace” are proceeding, subject to ignorance or stupidity getting in its way…” - President DONALD J. TRUMP
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Alex
@alexgoingturboJun 7
These prop firms need to harden their security protocols. There’s a lot of sensitive financial data that we are giving to them and seeing these breaches recently is frightening.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Retail investors are actually celebrating that SpaceX is reserving 30% of its IPO for them. Let me explain how the real world works: Wall Street doesn't hand you 30% of a generational asset out of charity. When institutional money refuses to swallow an inflated private market valuation, they need a massive liquidity sponge to absorb the float. You aren't getting in early. You are volunteering to be venture capital's exit liquidity. Save this tweet for 6 months from now. $TSLA
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
I believe $NOK is one the most overlooked setups right now, which is why I recently took a position in them. To me, it has a simular setup as $OUST. You remember $NOK as the company that made the phone everyone had, then lost it all, then spent a decade stumbling through acquisitions and identity crises while the world moved on without it. That version is over NOW. What's happening with Nokia right now is one of the most misunderstood setups I've seen in a long time and I hold it. Here's the full thesis: When people hear Nokia, they still think of the brick phone, 3310 or the game snake. Maybe they think of the Ericsson comparison. Maybe they think "slow European telecom equipment vendor." None of that is the trade. The trade is this: Nokia is quietly becoming the infrastructure layer for the AI-native wireless era and the market hasn't fully priced it yet. The unlock happened in October 2025. Jensen Huang flew to Washington D.C. and, at NVIDIA's GTC event, announced a $1 billion equity investment in Nokia, at $6.01 per share, giving NVIDIA a 2.9% stake in the company. The announcement caused Nokia shares to surge 15-25% in a single session. It was Nokia's largest single-day gain in over a decade. What many missed was NVIDIA's strategically allocate capital and putting a billion dollars behind their conviction that Nokia owns a critical piece of the AI infrastructure stack. When Jensen bets a billion, I listen. Let me explain the technology plainly, because this is where most investors glaze over and miss the opportunity. The RAN — Radio Access Network — is the part of a wireless network that connects your phone, your car, your robot, your drone, to the broader internet. It's the "last mile" of connectivity. For decades, RAN was hardware-defined: dumb antennas, proprietary chips, fixed performance. You got what you built. That was fine when the network just needed to move voice calls and streaming video. AI breaks that model completely. When AI-driven applications start running in the physical world; autonomous vehicles, robotic systems, edge inference, real-time sensing, the network demands become fundamentally different. Latency isn't just important, it's deterministic. Jitter can't exist. The network has to be adaptive in real time, not just provisioned and left running. Nokia launched its AI-RAN initiative in October 2025, demonstrated it with T-Mobile, and is now moving into commercial trials in 2026, targeting commercial release in 2027. The core idea is transforming the RAN from a fixed hardware layer into a software-driven platform, one that uses AI to optimize itself continuously, responds to traffic patterns in real time, and can monetize spare GPU compute by offering AI inference capacity to external customers. Read that last part again. The base station becomes a revenue-generating AI compute node. Nokia's demonstrations at MWC26 in Barcelona showed exactly this: spare GPU capacity in the distributed AI-RAN network being offered to external customers as compute. The radio tower becomes a distributed edge data center. This is the architectural shift. This is why NVIDIA cares. Let me be precise about what the NVIDIA relationship means structurally. NVIDIA introduced the Aerial RAN Computer Pro (ARC-Pro) a 6G-ready accelerated computing platform that combines connectivity, computing, and sensing in a single device. Nokia is building its next-generation AI-RAN product line on top of this platform. Dell Technologies is providing the PowerEdge servers. The software stack runs on Red Hat OpenShift. The ecosystem now includes Quanta and SuperMicro as hardware partners. BT, Elisa, NTT DOCOMO, Vodafone Group, and T-Mobile are all working with Nokia and NVIDIA on AI-RAN integration. As of Q1 2026, Nokia has 10 publicly committed customers for its AI-RAN platform, including T-Mobile, Deutsche Telekom, Vodafone, SoftBank, and NTT Docomo. Nokia's CEO Justin Hotard, who came in from Intel's data center division, put it plainly at MWC26: "AI-RAN transforms RAN into a software-driven platform optimized for AI, and with NVIDIA and a growing ecosystem of partners we are progressing from validation to commercial deployment. This is a foundational step toward AI-native networks and 6G." Jensen Huang said it even more plainly: "AI is redefining computing and driving the largest infrastructure buildout in human history and telecommunications is next." This is the AI infrastructure playbook being applied to the last uncaptured domain: the wireless edge. Nokia delivered a strong Q1 2026. The company raised its full-year growth expectations for its Network Infrastructure business and reported a €1 billion order intake for the quarter. Net cash on the balance sheet stands at €3.8 billion, up from €3.4 billion at end of Q4 2025. Remember what I said; simular to the $OUST setup, great cash balance. For the full year, Nokia is targeting comparable operating profit of €2 to €2.5 billion in 2026, with a longer-term target of €2.7 to €3.2 billion by 2028. That's a meaningful step-up trajectory as AI-RAN revenues begin to compound. The AI-RAN market itself, according to analyst estimates, is projected to exceed a cumulative $200 billion by 2030. 6G infrastructure spending is expected to reach $30 billion annually by 2033, growing at a 63.5% CAGR. Nokia, as the lead equipment vendor in an NVIDIA-backed AI-native architecture, is positioned to capture a disproportionate share of that buildout. The restructuring matters too. Nokia reorganized into two operating segments effective January 2026; Network Infrastructure and Mobile Infrastructure, simplifying the model and sharpening capital allocation. This is not a company still searching for an identity. The pivot is complete. The final brick in the puzzle is the detail that made me take a second look before I entered the position, and it matters more than most people give it credit for. The insider buying at Nokia has been consistent and significant. Multiple Article 19 EU MAR disclosures have been filed; senior managers buying shares on the open market at RECENTLY highs and prices. This is required public disclosure in the EU, which means we're seeing it unfiltered. When insiders file mandatory transaction disclosures showing open-market purchases at market prices, that's unambiguous directional signal from the people who know the most about where this company is going. Outsiders react to headlines. Insiders act on conviction. To me, the disclosures are speaking. It will take time to play out, but I believe Wall Street is about to slowly catch up. Morgan Stanley raised its price target from €11 to €14 in May 2026 and maintained a Buy rating. SEB Equities upgraded from Hold to Buy. 73% of covering analysts are currently at Buy or equivalent. The analyst community tends to be lagging indicators. The entry zone has been constructive. The stock is now in the mid-teens. I'm watching the commercial trial results in 2026 and the 2027 commercial launch cadence closely. That's when this goes from a NVIDIA-backed thesis to a revenue story. Here's what I want you to sit with. Every AI infrastructure buildout conversation eventually hits a ceiling: where does the intelligence meet the physical world? Data centers get you to the edge of the cloud. Fiber gets you to the building. 5G gets you to the street. AI-RAN gets you to the device, the robot, the vehicle in real time, adaptively, without latency, at scale. Nokia is building the bridge between the cloud and physical AI. That's not a niche play. That's infrastructure for the next twenty years of computing. The Robotic AI Radio isn't a product name. It's a description of what every base station eventually becomes. Nokia was dismissed for a decade because people couldn't see past what it used to be. That's exactly the kind of mispricing where the best returns live. I hold it. I'm watching it closely. And I think the rest of the market is just starting to understand what NVIDIA understood in October. Please note: As always this is not financial advice. This reflects my personal analysis and position as part of my portfolio. Do your own research. Know your risk. —BP
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Congress just dishonored every American veteran. I served in the U.S. Marine Corps. I dedicated years of my life to this country, our way of life, and our beliefs. I lost friends. I watched wives hold their babies and choke back tears at my friends' funerals. For that sacrifice, our country recognizes service members. They can proudly say "I served" and carry the title of Veteran. Now Congress wants to grant that same recognition to service in a foreign military, for the sole benefit of that foreign country, in an ongoing military action being investigated for war crimes against civilians. That cheapens every veteran's sacrifice. It undermines the honor of military service. And it dishonors this country. Repost this. Americans need to know. Veterans need to know. The families of service members and veterans need to know. And Congress needs to know we are not ok with this.
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Make Or Break ⚡️ retweeted
Alex
@alexgoingturboMay 23
People are like AI is going to take jobs away. I think the opposite is happening. So I never really coded at my job and actually forgot how to code. Ever since we started using AI, I’ve never coded more in my life. I’ve done stuff at work that I never thought I would be able to do. Technological advancements throughout history prove my point. Take the cotton gin for example, created to speed up separating the seeds from the cotton fibers. You would think you need less slaves on a cotton farm. Actually the opposite happened, slaves got more efficient due to the cotton gin and in the end produced more cotton and even slavery increased. TLDR: Adopt AI, that shit is damn useful af
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Alex
@alexgoingturboMay 6
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