Reminder you can track Exp Goal numbers as they happen for all #PremierLeague #EFL Championship & #LaLiga games with the @InfoGolApp #MUFC

Just a 0.2% chance an average player betters or equals the 4 NP goals Mark Harris has scored for #oufc #skybetchampionship based on his attempts POTM shared with extreme +ve variance. The more blue, the more solid the underlying scoring process. #wba #MillwallFC #SUFC #boro #NCFC

. #SkyBetLeagueTwo #SkyBetLeagueOne #EFL #xG differential performance after 5/4 games, adjusted for strength of opposition, arranged in current league position. Blue>Red. Who's more or less where they deserve to be & who isn't.

About a 98.5% chance that an average keeper concedes 2 or more goals #AzeSwe #NationsLeague last night. Viktor Johansson #scfc conceded just the one. Decent night for the new keeper.

How improving metric differentials in #PremierLeague improves your points per game yield. No judgement on the direction of causation (crosses, obviously is reversed) or whether improvement is largely driven by the elite.

Metric differentials after 3 #PremierLeague games are going to be more descriptive of what's transpired than indicative of what will happen going forward. But these have been adjusted for opposition & #MCFC #LFC & #AFC have blued out, while #MUFC #CFC & #THFC are more blue/red.

.#skybetchampionship metric differentials account for both defensive & attacking sides of the ball. Opponent adjusted because of the unbalanced early schedule. Blue rising to the top, red sinking. #SAFC #WBAFC #LUFC #Boro #SUFC strong across the board.

Metric differentials for #skybetchampionship after wk 3. How are they progressing the ball, what's the #xG breakdown, are they getting the ball in the box more than the opposition, how high's the defensive line/pressing. Blue is generally better, arranged in league position.

Early days in the #SkyBetChampionship, but enough games to get some collateral form & opponent adjusted #xG differentials. Who's impressed with points & xG, #SAFC #WBAFC #Burnley #LUFC. Who's had the rough end of the schedule & or not quite had the breaks. #LTFC #CardiffCity.

xThreat, non shot #xG differential etc, call it what you want, in every #PremierLeague match in match week order for 23/24 season. Three very dominant sides #MCFC #AFC #LFC Four fairly dominant teams & a couple from the top ten who might have been in the bottom 10 & vice versa.

Over 40% of #HCFC 23/24 #skybetchampionship playing minutes will need to be replaced with new blood in 24/25. Here's the player churn for the rest of the sides.

.#BurnleyFC #SUFC #LTFC reunited with the #skybetchampionship Defensive improvement has been consistent for relegated teams, change in attacking output has been much more varied. Kudos to the two teams who had a smaller share of league xG in the Champ than they'd had in the PL.

Season previews & superficial guff go hand in hand. Latest to hit the news stand is that the 3 relegated #PremierLeague teams were historically poor defensively. Account for the #xG environment they played in etc & their performance was fairly typical for recently promoted teams.

Just an observation. #PremierLeague 23/24. How high a team defends and how often they allow the opposition to get touches in the attacking box. #mcfc #lfc #afc #mufc #whufc #nufc #thfc

You can partly contextualise progressive passers & carriers by comparing player non shot #xG added rates to their team's overall output. #CPFC have a couple of very saleable prize assets. Spot the out & out passers/dribblers. #MCFC #AFCB #MUFC #LFC #CFC #WHUFC #AFC #THFC

If you want to see how the #PremierLeague played out look at metric differentials, not the raw numbers. #MCFC #AFC #LFC keeping it blue. NES turning #NFFC into a creditable mid-table team. ETH doing something similar at #MUFC

.#SkyBetChampionship team/manager DNA, stylistic+productive. It's metric differential, what you do compared to what the opposition do, opponent adjusted. Good for looking at managerial change #SCFC #BCFC #SWFC Blue=good, Red=bad. #SaintsFC #WBA #NCFC #LUFC also #HCAFC

.#SkyBetChampionship is now a wrap. Here's the managers who made your side good enough to stay up #SCFC #SWFC #QPR #MillwallFC , which stuck with managers & let #xG variance do the heavy lifting #PNEFC #Bluebirds & who was managed by Wayne Rooney #BCFC