Marc - NATB (@MarcNATB) header
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Political writer at: https://xitter.cf/t.co/AyskPKVuZP https://xitter.cf/t.co/AlHJ1jzOZZ

UK
Joined April 2020
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This is excellent news for Kettering.
It’s the honour of my life to represent my home.
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Finding some of the analysis of these results to be quite shocking, actually. I'm not a Green voter, but when you have as many seats as Reform, surely you warrant as much importance?
99% of seats declared Labour 410 Tories 119 Lib Dems 71 SNP 8 Reform 4 Green 4
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I'm assuming Sunak has his voter ID tucked neatly away in his pocket somewhere... Or that'd be really embarrassing, wouldn't it?
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Still a masterpiece.
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A particularly big problem and one of the first that'll greet Labour [alongside the issues over Tata Steel] if/when they enter government.
Replying to @AdamBienkov
National service pledges and "bold plans" aside, I'm probably a bit more concerned about what Sunak is doing to address the ongoing crisis in the prisons and probationary service which is happening... well, right now, actually, having been left to fester for years.
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Considering the amount of working parents who try to find this work/life balance on a daily basis - not just Fridays - I'm not entirely sure how much of a 'gotcha' line this is.
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👀
NEW MRP: Labour 99% Certain To Win More Seats Than in 1997 Labour on Course to Win 484 seats. The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition. Probabilistic seat count: LAB 484 CON 64 LD 61 SNP 10 RFM 7 PC 3 GRN 3 34,558 interviews conducted online and on the telephone survation.com/survation-mrp-…
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Still think, of all the ridiculous memes and comms emerging out of CCHQ, this is one of the worst. All the issues they note [immigration, tax, debt...] - they're basically guiding voters across a field and pointing out where they've laid the mines.
There is a clear choice at this election: Do you want illegal migrants on planes or do you want them on our streets?
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Of all the whacky Reform candidates, Plymouth's Peter Gold is arguably one of the more curious. His first promotional video on YouTube really goes for the Star Trek theme, too [youtube.com/watch?v=D-a9AbbL…] and finds gold beamed down from space to "boldly go" to Plymouth.
Replying to @Samfr
Did you come across the Plymouth candidate who bears a passing resemblence to Patrick Stewart and announced his candidacy dressed as Jean Luc-Picard yet?
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Sunak: "...couldnt possibly take action while investigation was ongoing." Also Sunak: *takes [belated] action*
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Ah, Kettering - an interesting constituency. Firstly, because it's mine. Second, because I think it'll likely be one of the measures of how 'badly' it could go for the Conservatives on election night if it shifts from Con-Lab.
🌹Keir Starmer and Bridget Phillipson taking Qs at a school in Kettering with Labour candidate Rosie Wrighting Labour clearly have an eye on this Tory-held seat (majority 16k+) - as Angela Rayner was here last week too
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I suspect that for many Reform voters, the question of whether any of their policies 'add up' doesn't actually matter - and this is the problem. To quote Reagan, ironically: "facts are stupid things." thetimes.com/uk/politics/art…
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Currently wondering if it's worth doing this for all of the Reform candidates - and especially those standing in what I guess might be considered 'Friendly' seats, ie. those belonging to Conservative MPs who would be open to the possibility of collaborating with Farage. 🤨
Replying to @PickardJE
Out of interest, I read some of Kevan Chippindall-Higgin's past comments. He's the PPC for Fareham [Braverman's constituency]. Some fairly wild comments on climate change denial, ["cheaper"] funerals for firearms offenders, Wahabism in prisons and "the way [Anna Soubry] is made"
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👀
The Conservative Party’s manifesto contains not a single mention of the record delays caused by its defunding and mismanagement of the criminal justice system. Not a single idea to fix the 5-year delays for rape trials. That is the measure of this Prime Minister and his party.
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All gone! Pfft in a cloud of smoke!
Replying to @alexwickham
I'm old enough to remember when they announced a new policy on extending sentences for some of the nation's most violent offenders - while the prison estate has effectively run out of space. Didn't they announce something on doubling tax threshold for child benefits? Oops!
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At risk of hyperbole, it's the sort of story that ends up alongside a picture of the Queen on the front page of the Telegraph with the news that Downing St. partied during Prince Philip's funeral. Essentially one that offends the 'national' instinct of a certain demographic.
The major (political) problem for Sunak with leaving D-Day celebrations early is not just it will anger voters in its own right, but they’ll file it with general perceptions they have that the PM is out of touch and doesn’t respect them - in other words it punches a bruise.
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Also Sunak (in 2019):
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I'm old enough to remember when a then unknown Rishi Sunak bullshitted about Labour's manifesto costings in 2019 - and was mocked for it.
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