@MSmithsonPB

Election analyst and gambler who's been running his award winning blog since 2004. Pic is of grandad Charles campaigning in Lancashire in late 1920s

 UK
politicalbetting.com
Joined February 2009
  • Tweets48.2K
  • Following397
  • Followers37.6K
8.4KMedia
Donald Trump and I were born within 36 days of each other in 1946. My aim is to outlive him
5
1
1
41
10,717
Beware the Bookie rules before betting on a GE2024 overall majority – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/in…
4
9
9,706
The SNP’s lead in Scotland down to just 7% – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/in…
1
1
7
6,637
Will GE2024 produce a majority seats winner without a majority of votes? – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/in…
3
6,067
On health grounds alone betting that at least one of them won't be there looks like a value Smarkets bet
3
1
4
4,161
Latest WH2024 polling has Biden ahead of Trump but losing to Haley – politicalbetting.com www1.politicalbetting.com/in…
1
2
5
3,756
Peter Mandelson could well be right – LAB’s poll lead is artificial – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
4
2
2
4,918
Ken Clarke is dead right on the Rwanda bill – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
2
2,679
Mike Smithson retweeted
Deltapoll@DeltapollUK29 Jan 2024
Regarding perceived economic competence, the gap between @UKLabour and @Conservatives narrows to twelve percentage points. Come back next week for updates on all of our weekly trackers.
4
1
6
3,675
In election year watch Opinium. It has the methodology most favourable to the Tories. Their new poll has a 15% Labour lead ( +2% ). theguardian.com/politics/202…

Voters think Labour would be better than Conservatives on housing and house prices

Opposition would do better on issues including the economy, health, education, the environment, immigration and crime, public says

theguardian.com
1
1
4
2,282
Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
1
2,463
Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
2
1
5
3,678
How many CON Mps will join these 52 before the election? – politicalbetting.com Institute of Government www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
2
2
1
7
3,978
When can we expect the Home Secretary's resignation? I thought that he would have gone by now
4
3
19
7,553
Nikki Haley see huge jump in latest YouGov New Hampshire poll and now just 15% behind Trump. She is my longshot bet for the nomination
1
3
1
11
10,250
Is a negative campaign against Starmer really going to work? – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
1
3,150
Just 38% of GE2019 CON voters are certain to do the same next time – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
1
2,432
How to increase taxes while saying you are cutting them . Call it a "contribution" as in NIC Are We All Trussites Now? – politicalbetting.com www2.politicalbetting.com/in…
1
2,633
MOTD running order
5,709
Nikki Haley moves to a 5.8% net favourability lead over both Trump and Biden. She's the only one surely who can beat Trump for the GOP nomination realclearpolitics.com/epolls…
3
4
1
6
3,960
Load more