Ex-Goldman Sachs partner. Internet analyst since 1994. I've covered every tech wave. This AI one is different. Daily takes → AI: Reset to Zero ↓

New York, USA
Joined July 2006
AI is the most daunting, yet promising tech wave I’ve analyzed since 1982. More about me here: youtu.be/GP9FMwjAFFA?si=H1mW… It’ll all take longer than we’d like. And it’ll be over-hyped in the near term. But it’ll still surprise on the upside. Let’s discuss it all here. h/t @Stocktwits
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‘Too Big to Ignore’ in AI. Anthropic, SK Hynix & Meta. ARD #194 …Anthropic’s $40T market, SK Hynix sold out to 2029, AMD joins Nvidia in Meta, and new Echos. $META $AMD $NVDA Full writupe and source links. michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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'Too Big to Ignore' in AI. Anthropic, SK Hynix & Meta. ARD post 194 AI Ramblings Daily podcast #194 on AI-RTZ $NETA $NVDA $AMD YouTube link with show notes: youtu.be/d8opWyeKAzw
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AI: Anthropic’s S-1, more on “Mo’ Money & Mo’ Problems”. AI-RTZ #1253 …revenue now outruns compute, ~$800B of commitments, five classes of stock, and 94 pages of risks. michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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Timely breakdown on @AnthropicAI mega-AI IPO S-1 filing by @ramahluwalia of @LumidaWealth. Lots of details to parse indeed.
Anthropic’s S1 Breakdown Overall, fairly solid all things considered: 1) ~10,000ish customers paying $100K per year. That’s nothing, much more room to grow. 2) Cash levels are strong, and Anthropic has more cash than most public companies. 3) Capex obligations are less than OpenAI 4) Anthropic’s spend on R&D is nearly 60% of Revenue. If they cut that to 50% they would be breakeven. (They have levers.) 5) Anthropic is getting financing from its suppliers and Blackstone and bank syndicate groups. 6) Anthropic’s ‘losses’ are due to accounting around the converible note So, Anthropic has access to financing both from its own operations and well capitalized third parties. I am interviewing @MParekh about Anthropic’s S1 and what it means this week! What I don’t like: 1) Hard to see training and inference breakout 2) Top customer concentration is massive. And those players can roll out their own coding tools and are working on that too. Anthropic needs to maintain the best technical edge so it customers don’t become competitors. 3) Switching costs are low.
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‘Racing Far & Wide’ in AI. Anthropic, Nvidia & Google. ARD #193 …the AI efficiency race, Nvidia’s $3B in Meta, Google’s Genie 4, and Anduril’s US-built laptops. $META $NVDA $GOOG Full writeup and source links: michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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'Racing Far & Wide' in AI. Anthropic, Nvidia & Google. ARD post 193 AI Ramblings Daily podcast #193 on AI-RTZ $META $NVDA $GOOG YouTube link with show notes: youtu.be/lITLQjqIbtk
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AI: Loved Abroad, Doubted and Resisted at Home. AI-RTZ #1252 …new global polls show AI is popular in Asia, Africa and Latin America, and least liked in the US and Europe. michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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‘Mo’ Money, Mo’ Problems’ in AI. Anthropic, Meta & Elon. ARD #192 …Anthropic files its S-1, Meta plans a $95B stock sale, SpaceX borrows $40B, and a new iPad mini. $META $SPCX $AAPL Full writeup and source links: michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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'Mo' Money, Mo' Problems' in AI. Anthropic, Meta & Elon. ARD post 192 AI Ramblings Daily podcast #192, on AI-RTZ $META $SPCX YouTube link with show notes: youtu.be/7YDO09XUmRk
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AI: Anthropic’s Margin, OpenAI’s Opportunity. AI-RTZ #1251 …OpenAI’s deep discounts pull Replit, Rippling and others from Anthropic, as the AI price war heats up pre-IPO. michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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AI: AI Loops 101 (Part 4). Too Numerous to Meter. AI-RTZ #1250 …CompuServe metered. AOL went all-you-can-eat, and won. In AI, Google is playing AOL for now. michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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AI: Anthropic’s $750B Compute Bill, OpenAI’s Trim, Nvidia’s Safety Net & More. AI-RTZ #1249 $NVDA michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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‘Bouncing Back’ in AI. OpenAI, Anthropic & Mr. Market. ARD #191 …OpenAI trims its price, Anthropic retunes its pitch, banks brace, and AI revives old games. Full writeup and source links: michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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'Bouncing Back' in AI. OpenAI, Anthropic & Mr. Market. ARD post 191 AI Ramblings daily podcast #191 on AI-RTZ YouTube link with show notes: youtu.be/F9rqzLnxgWI
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AI: Nvidia’s $170 Billion Neocloud Safety Net. AI-RTZ #1248 …as CoreWeave becomes the bellwether for financing the AI build-out $NVDA michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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‘Batten Down the Hatches’ in AI. Meta, Anthropic & Banks. ARD #190 …Zuckerberg shields Meta’s control, Claude Duet joins the agent race, and banks lock out AI agents. $META Full writeup and sources links: michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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'Batten Down the Hatches' in AI. Meta, Anthropic & Banks. ARD post 190 AI Ramblings daily podcast #190 on AI-RTZ $META YouTube link with show notes: youtu.be/CgVVVsWuQGk
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AI: AI Loops 101 (Part 3). Beyond AI Training. AI-RTZ #1247 …Synthetic data, m2m agents, Physical AI and billions of devices: the AI math nobody is adding up yet. michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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‘The Fix Is In’ in AI. Musk, Nvidia, OpenAI & AI Agents. ARD #189 …a Tesla-SpaceX merger, Nvidia on water and power, OpenAI on Google’s cloud, and the AI agent race. $NVDA $TSLA $SPCX Full writeup and source links: michaelparekh.substack.com/p…
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'The Fix Is In' in AI. Musk, Nvidia, OpenAI & AI Agents. ARD post 189 AI Ramblings Daily podcast #189 on AI-RTZ $NVDA $SPCX $TSLA YouTube link with source notes: youtu.be/scgvd3dMxnQ
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