PROSPX

ENORMOUS @eephus_io UPDATE (SNEAK PEEK STREAM, EXTENSIVE DETAILS INTO EACH MODULE, ROADMAP FOR FUTURE) I will be hosting a preview/sneak peek stream/Q&A on the community discord this Sunday. I'll stream it on Twitch and the VOD will be posted to my YouTube as well. This will be the last major "preview" before my local version of the program is just the public site. I have built out the website to the point where many of, if not all of my modules/models/metrics are at the forefront of the public industry. Below is a list of all of the modules on the site, as well as everything I'll be going over on the livestream (as well as how I created/derived all of it): SITE HOMEPAGE: Prospect news ticker, Today in Prospect History, Top eFV Movers, Recent Debuts/Trades, eFV distribution chart, prospect news/spotlight sidebar, and UI/UX design + navigation through the site. PROSPX: Flagship model, MiLB prospect eFV grades (industry-leading FV model), ETA projections, in-house prospect writeups from our analyst team, Prospect Spotlights/Breakouts/Risers/Fallers/Rebounders, Farm System Grades/Rankings/Details, Transaction Log, Injured List, Stat Leaderboards, Debut Tracker, MLB Draft/High School/International Amateur/Overseas comprehensive analysis and pages (and MLB-translation coefficients), Prospect "Time Machine" where you can view previous eFV grades/boards at any point in time, and prospect Scatterplots. CollegeSavant: Built by me and Joseph Gillis, Statcast data on college hitters/pitchers, college team tendencies, as well as projected MiLB translated stats for these prospects MLB Free Agency: Projected free agent contract modelling (guaranteed salary, length, and AAV), as well as team fit projections, % chance of players/teams opting out of club/player/mutual options, and projected value players in free agency. Also features a standalone $/WAR in free agency page that breaks down and charts $/WAR over each offseason. MLB Projections: Extensive MLB projections with aging curves, role projections, and expected team control/surplus value, powered by in-house metrics and projection modelling. Also features MLB-level projections for prospects based on eFV. MLB Stats: Extensive MLB Stats module, featuring both public leading stats like xwOBA, xFIP, etc. as well as in-house metrics that I've created that have proven to be more predictive than even the leading industry stats. Featuring eWAR, created by me and @WillColqhn , which seeks to improve upon WAR by providing real, calibrated defensive adjustments rather than the current industry ballpark estimates. Individual sections for Overall, Hitters, Starters, Relievers, Defense, and Leverage, ft. many metrics that I've talked about creating - the Evaluation Metric+ family (HEM+ for hitters, SEM+ for starters, REM+ for relievers, DEM+ for defense), as well as many other metrics I'm excited for you guys to see and use (xEM+ family, WAR/PA+, WAR/IP+, pLI, Clutch, and WPA/LI) Alchemy Lab: RP->SP and SP->RP conversion candidate model and tracker, based on pitcher profile, pitch mix, and injury history of previous conversion candidates. Positional ladder showing our calculated defensive adjustments that we use for eWAR will be here as well. Reverse-platoon radar, prospect watch (for SP prospects who may profile better as relievers, or vice versa), pitch-add lab that suggests pitch mix additions / which pitches that pitchers should throw more based on platoon splits and qualitative baseball knowledge, and a "misplaced hitters" section that suggests positional changes for hitters struggling defensively (or that could be better suited at a different position) based on range, physical tools like arm strength, height/weight/BMI, etc. Trade Machine: Fully functional trade machine that can evaluate potential trades, includes prospect surplus projections from PROSPX and MLB-level surplus projections, as well as factoring in arbitration/pre-arbitration surplus from... Arbitration Predictor: Extensive arbitration/pre-arbitration prediction model that correlates MLB production with arb/pre-arb amount received based on past arbitration negotiations. The arb/pre-arb projections derived here are used across the rest of the site to provide more accurate surplus values for arb/pre-arb players. Also includes team view which shows which teams have the most players under arb/pre-arb control, which leads into... Club Ledger: Extensive financial analysis module that explores the surplus value, CBT payroll/individual player salaries, arb/pre-arb control, core control, and individual club finance pages, as well as much more. Also includes new financial metrics I've created to evaluate club spending/financial efficiency, like Cost+, OrgSur+, etc., leads into... MLB Franchises: Module for each MLB franchise that rolls up information from other modules into an extensive franchise breakdown for each team and grade tree page, also easily navigable to other associated modules on the site. Rounds up all of the MLB club specific modules into one: Farm system grades, financial grades, future projections, surplus value, etc. to provide an extensive club/franchise overview of the current contention status and future outlook of each franchise. Generate GFX: Every single module on the site features Generate GFX, which will format any individual page into an exportable PNG/copy-pasteable screenshot to post on social media /// DIAMOND MODULES These modules will be subscription-based and will effectively subsidize the rest of the site and associated baseball research/modelling to remain public and free. Probably 10$/month, will also have a supporter tier for 5$/month? Not sure yet. Anyway, here are the Diamond tier modules! Fantasy Baseball: module featuring fantasy baseball tools for dynasty/redraft/DFS leagues, as well as daily streamers, buy low/sell high candidates, and projected baseball prospects who are most suited for fantasy production. Also will feature a fantasy trade calculator. Scoring based on standardized points/categories scoring, but will have an option for individual league scoring to be plugged in eventually. Sports Betting: Module featuring prediction market/sports betting market models that use metrics from the rest of the site in order to create industry-leading predictions and edges against prediction markets/sportsbooks. Will feature a Pick of the Day, parlay builder, player props, futures bets, and a publicly-available record and model validation section. Baseball Cards: Module that uses PROSPX data to identify which prospect baseball cards (and MLB level baseball cards) are over/underbought, and to provide a predicted "true" value of each card based on eFV and expected WAR production. /// THE FUTURE The site will be fully functional and updated by preseason next year at the latest. I will not begin offering paid subscriptions for the site (everything will be free except for fantasy baseball/sports betting tools, which will require a subscription) until everything is as pristine as I want it to be. FUTURE ROADMAP (not until next season): -Extensive on-site forum implementation -Published writing schedule for analysts -Industry tracker for source prospect updates/analysis -Transparent financial breakdown of site It has been a joy working on this project over the last months, this is the project I'm proudest of creating in my entire life, and I cannot thank the eephus community and development team enough for helping me make this site a reality. We are so close to a full launch! I'll see you on the stream tommorow (or on the VOD) :)