This is how I honestly see 2026 shaping up for Bitcoin. I’ve always been a Bitcoin bull and I still am, but at some point you have to step back and look at the bigger picture instead of letting emotions or Twitter narratives drive your decisions. $BTC went roughly 8.5x from 2023 to 2025, and that happened with almost perfect execution: institutional adoption, ETFs and serious capital entering the space, everything lining up exactly how a bull cycle is supposed to. But nothing in markets goes up forever without pauses, resets, and long periods of digestion. After a move like that, it’s completely normal to see profit taking, distribution, and capital flowing back into fiat while the market cools off and rebalances itself. The real reason this cycle feels so confusing for most people isn’t Bitcoin, it’s altcoins which didn't perform the way CT promised. And I’ll be honest, I got hit there too. We did have a small, mini altseason whether people like to admit it or not. Coins like $CPOOL, $CREO, $DIONE, $TET and a few others actually performed well. The problem was expectations. Everyone was waiting for 2021-style insanity, much bigger rallies, and one last euphoric leg, which is why most people including myself didn’t sell when they should have and are now stuck hoping for a miracle. Although now i have exited all my altcoin bags besides $HTS and a small portion of $CPOOL. I still strongly believe the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is very much intact. People only want to declare it “dead” because this cycle didn’t reward lazy altcoin exposure the way previous ones did, and that’s a hard pill to swallow. My base case is simple: 2026 is likely a bear or reset year, with a lot of chop, lower highs, boredom, and frustration. That’s usually the phase where people lose interest, stop paying attention, and miss the real opportunity forming right in front of them. For Bitcoin, the 50–70k range is my main long-term accumulation zone. If we get deeper than that, I’ll welcome it. Those are the levels where patience historically gets rewarded, not the tops where emotions are running high. Only after Bitcoin properly resets and finds a solid base do I even start thinking about altcoins again, and even then I’m talking about very specific names like $ETH, $SOL, $INJ, and $LINK, most likely in the second half of 2026. Until then, my focus is simple: capital protection, stacking $USDT, and staying patient enough to be ready when the real window opens. In my view, that window is Q4 2026 through Q1 2027, setting the stage for the next bull market that could realistically top out around 2028–2029. The biggest lesson this cycle taught me is brutally simple: stay away from shitcoins unless you’re being paid to talk about them. Putting your hard-earned money into most of them is a terrible risk-reward, and I learned that one the expensive way. This is the real talk 99% of the CT won't tell u because they're still hanging on to some deals paying them. Patience now, position later. 🤝

Highly agree with @CryptoGirlNova here. The market can absolutely correct from here, but in a bull market it doesn't NEED to give us the deep pullback everyone is waiting for. If we somehow get another chance to stack $BTC below 70K, that would be a blessing and I'll scoop the shit out of it 😂 But I'm not sitting around expecting it anymore, i am stacking 35eur per week just to stay safe. Stay ready fam. 🤝🏼

$BTC | One minute of silence for the bears, including myself 😂 I expected a different move here, not gonna lie. But there's no point fighting the chart just because you had a different thesis. 82-83K has been my key level for a while and if BTC closes above it and holds, my 50-70K base case is no longer the base case. That also means my strategy changes. On confirmation above 82-83K, I'll start stacking €35/week again. If we eventually get a deeper correction, I'll simply increase the pace. I'm still not convinced the bull market is fully back, but BTC has shown enough strength that sitting on the sidelines waiting for sub 70K would no longer make sense if this breakout holds. New information, means new thesis. There's no point being married to a chart. 🤝🏼

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Fed raises interest rates by 25bps, with another 25bps hike expected. Short term, this isn't exactly bullish for $BTC. Tighter financial conditions and higher yields should keep pressure on risk assets. Expecting one last proper accumulation opportunity between 50-70k before the next bull cycle. 👀

bitcoin:native | One last stacking opportunity? We lost the trend and BTC is now trading around 76K after failing to break the major 82-83K resistance. I think we're getting closer to entering my sub 70K stacking range for what could be the last time this bear market. Based on the strength BTC has shown throughout this bear market, I currently see 60-70K as the most likely cycle bottom territory. Of course, an unexpected black swan can always change that and take us lower. I wouldn't complain about the stacking opportunity, but based on the information we have today, I don't think that's the most probable scenario. I don't think the bull market is here yet, but at the same time I think the worst part of this bear market is probably already behind us. Let's see if the market gives us one last proper opportunity below 70K. That's where my DCA starts again and once we enter below 70k i'll likely enter with everything i have left to stack!

$BTC | Decision time? We're sitting right on the trendline around 77K after getting rejected again from the major 82-83K resistance. Lose this structure and I think we move through 75-76K pretty quickly. Below that, 72K is the next area I'm watching and then we're getting very close to that sub 70K demand zone I've been waiting for. Macro is worth watching here too. ECB raised rates by 25bps today and the European yields pushed higher while US inflation data is keeping pressure on the Fed ahead of next week's meeting. Not exactly the best environment for risk assets if financial conditions keep tightening like that. 👀 That said, 77K hasn't broken yet. If BTC holds here and eventually closes above 82-83K, I'll have to reassess my bearish view. For now I'm sticking to the plan. Still not stacking above 70K. Let's see what the market gives us, but for now I believe the odds are still in our favor. 🤝🏼

bitcoin:native | Decision time 👀 Are we going to enter the 50-70k accumulation zone for once more during this bear market or not? We are about to find out soon, tick tock. My 2 cents are ready to scoop the golden zone for one last time during this bear market.

$BTC | Thesis update 82-83K is proving to be a major resistance area, which was expected. A daily close and acceptance above this level would make the current structure significantly more bullish. Until then, I still think there's a higher probability that BTC revisits the 50-70K range before the next real bull market begins. Part of that might be wishful thinking, but considering the broader structure and where we are in the cycle, that's still my base case for now. Nothing is certain here, so I'm simply watching the structure and adjusting if needed. My strategy remains unchanged. I'm not stacking BTC above 70K. If we get back below that level, my weekly DCA continues. 🤝🏼

🚨 LATEST: $BTC is back above $80K and Michael Saylor is now sitting on $4B+ in unrealized gains. That's why DCA matters. You don't need to catch the exact bottom, you just need to keep stacking when the opportunity is there, and below 70k it was there plenty! 🤝🏼

$BTC | Thesis update That last move changed the structure quite a bit. BTC broke out of the latest bear flag and printed a +22.7% weekly candle, the best week since 2019 while ETF inflows returned and a massive short squeeze added fuel to the move. Because of that, I have to adjust my expectations. The probability of my 30–50k bear market bottom range has decreased significantly. I'm not removing it completely, but based on the current structure it's no longer my base case. I still expect BTC to revisit the 50–70k range this year. The current move hasn't confirmed a new bull market yet and we're now consolidating around 77k after the initial impulse. 82–83k remains the key level. A proper reclaim and hold above that area would invalidate a big part of my remaining bearish thesis. Until then, I'm not rushing into conclusions. This also shows exactly why DCA matters, the best long term proven strategy. Below 70k = €35 BTC every week. Above 70k = I wait. We spent plenty of time below 70k, so the position kept growing without having to guess the exact bottom. For now: 50–70k revisit = still my base case. 30–50k = significantly less likely. 82–83k reclaim + hold = time to reassess the bear thesis. Simple, I follow the chart and adjust accordingly. 🤝🏼

$BTC | Breaking out from the bear flag 👀 Things can move extremely fast in crypto and sometimes all it takes is one piece of positive news to completely change the picture within a few days. After weeks of absolutely boring price action, BTC suddenly pushed back above 75k and right now we're on the edge of breaking out from the bear flag I've been watching for the past few months. If we close the daily above this zone and manage to hold it, I think that's a very positive signal for the coming weeks and it definitely makes reaching my originally expected 30-50k range a lot more difficult. The main catalyst behind this move was the US Treasury expanding its buyback program for longer-term government debt, which the market immediately took as a positive liquidity signal. Add the renewed push around the CLARITY Act and a bunch of shorts getting caught on the wrong side of the move and suddenly BTC is trading 10k higher. That's crypto for you. 😂 Still, I'm not ready to call the bear market over just yet. The main level I'm watching now is 82k. If BTC manages to push through that level and hold above it, I'll be much more comfortable saying that we've probably made it through the worst of this bear market and the outlook from there starts looking significantly more positive. Until that happens, nothing is certain. We just saw how quickly one positive development can move BTC higher and something negative can do exactly the same thing in the opposite direction and put us back into the 50-60k range before people even realize what happened. As for my personal strategy, nothing changes. Throughout this entire bear market my rule has been simple: I don't buy BTC above 70k. We crossed that level again, so my weekly buys are paused and I'm watching from the sidelines for now. Looking at the bigger timeframe, there's still plenty of time left for BTC to remain in a bear market and who says this one couldn't last a little longer than people expect and finally end somewhere around Q1 2027? Until we properly break through 82k, I'd rather stay patient than start chasing green candles after a 10k move. Luckily BTC spent plenty of time below 70k again and I managed to increase my position quite nicely while everyone was bored. Same thing I've been saying throughout this entire cycle: take the emotions out of it and stick to your plan. You don't need to catch every move and you definitely don't need to buy every pump. In the long run, a better average entry and proper capital management will always matter more. 🤝🏼

$BTC | What to expect? ☕ Market is absolutely boring right now and I bet many people have already left CT and the market for now. Not much to talk about when nothing is happening, but we're built different tho. 😂 I ain't talking much, but I'm watching this area like a hawk and still stacking every single week. I've been yapping about the 30-50k range for a while now and I still believe another move down is coming, although as of now I think the 45-55k range will very likely be where we find the absolute bottom of this bear market. That doesn't mean I've completely ruled out the 30-40k range I initially expected either. We keep monitoring the data and the word on the street says we're going to see rate hikes coming. If that actually happens, then 30-40k might be back on the table after all. As always, I'm not trying to guess the exact bottom down to the dollar because that's impossible. I'm just trying to position myself properly for the ranges I believe offer the best opportunities. As of now, in my opinion the best strategy remains weekly DCA with whatever you can do while keeping enough liquidity ready for lower prices. Personally, I stack €35 of $BTC every monday, non-negotiable, and if we eventually enter that 45-55k area I'll start increasing my buys significantly. If we somehow get 30-40k, you already know what time it is. 😂 Nothing complicated here. Keep stacking, keep some cash ready and don't let a boring market make you stop paying attention right when the opportunities are getting closer. Patience and capital protection remain key in 2026. 🤝🏼 NFA as always!

$BTC | Updated bear market view. 📉 I've been talking about the 30-50k range for months now, and after spending some time comparing this cycle with the 2021-2022 bear market, I think it's a good moment to share an updated view on how I see the rest of 2026 playing out. The weekly Bitcoin stacking never stopped and I'm still accumulating while we trade below the previous cycle ATH. The only thing that's changed is that I now have a little more conviction after digging deeper into the previous bear market structure. One thing stood out immediately. Both cycles have printed multiple bear flags after the initial breakdown. Every single time people started calling the bottom, convinced the correction was over, Bitcoin simply broke lower again. It wasn't one straight move down. It was a series of relief rallies, liquidity grabs and lower lows. After the third major bear flag broke down in 2022, Bitcoin dropped from roughly 25k to 16k, a move of around 36%. Now here's the interesting part. Applying a similar move from today's structure would put Bitcoin somewhere around 41k. Do I think history repeats tick for tick? No. Bitcoin today is a completely different asset. Institutional adoption has exploded, ETFs changed the landscape and there's significantly more long-term capital in the market than there was four years ago. That's why I don't necessarily expect another full 36% flush. I think the most likely bear market bottom is to form somewhere around 40-50k. If the CLARITY Act gets approved, I wouldn't be surprised to see one more push higher first before a classic sell the news reaction takes us into that zone. If it doesn't pass yet, I think a move into the low 40s becomes much more realistic... maybe even one final scam wick into the mid-30s to completely wipe out the remaining leverage. That's also why I've never waited for the "perfect bottom." I've been stacking Bitcoin every single week since we entered the 50-70k range because trying to catch the exact low is a losing game. But if we do get one final flush into the 40s... That's where the real ammunition comes out. That's been my game plan all year, and nothing has changed. 🤝🏼 Take a look at the similarities.

$BTC | Nothing has changed ☕ Haven't been too active lately, but honestly, there's a pretty simple reason for that... not much is happening. The market is dry af and there's no point forcing content just for the sake of posting something. But don't get it twisted, I'm still here watching everything and absolutely nothing has changed in my game plan. I'm still expecting that 30–50k range to come at some point this year and my stash is ready to scoop when the time is right. Until then, I'm still buying small amounts of $BTC every single week because let's be real, you can't really go wrong stacking Bitcoin after a 50% drawdown from the all-time high when you're looking at the next 5–10 years. But I'm not emptying the clip yet. The whole point is to maximize this bear market and come out of it with as much Bitcoin as possible, not to blow all your liquidity on the first decent dip and then sit there watching when the real opportunities arrive. I've been waiting for these prices for a long time, now it's all about staying disciplined and sticking to the plan. Patience and capital protection remain the keys to winning in 2026. The market might be boring right now, but boring is exactly when you should be paying attention. We keep stacking. We keep waiting. 🤝🏼

$BTC | 30–50k range loading... ☕ Stages of a bear market. First comes the initial correction when everyone is still bullish and calling every dip a generational buying opportunity. Meanwhile, my ass was already itching and I kept asking the same question: is it really worth stacking Bitcoin above 100k after the run we just had? I've been extremely transparent about my thoughts and game plan from the beginning! Then I said we need to properly enter the 50–70k range before I start stacking again. Well, that's exactly where we are right now and I'm already buying $BTC every single week. It makes perfect sense to me to accumulate Bitcoin below the previous cycle ATH, especially with the next 5–10 years in mind, but I'm still keeping plenty of liquidity ready because I believe the best opportunity of this bear market is yet to come. What's next? The 30–50k range, where I believe we will eventually find the bear market bottom. That's my generational entry range and that's where I'm expecting to start buying HEAVY. It might take months to get there, just like it took months to properly enter the 50–70k range, and we might never touch the lowest levels I'm expecting. That's exactly why I'm already stacking weekly instead of trying to perfectly time the bottom. And now even Strategy is selling hundreds of millions worth of Bitcoin while sitting on an average purchase price above 75k. Big money is protecting liquidity, the bear market keeps doing its thing and somehow people still believe the bottom is already in? Nah. I'm buying now, but I'm saving the real ammunition for 30–50k. Be ready, y'all. I brought the crystal ball with me. 🔮🤝🏼

I guess the $BTC leg towards 30-50k range i've been talking about might start sooner than we expect. 👀

$BTC | Below the 200-week MA... what's next? ☕ Back on January 25th almost 6 months ago, I shared this exact chart and thesis with you guys. It's been five months since then and while nobody on this planet can predict the exact path Bitcoin is going to take, I'd say the overall direction has played out almost exactly the way I expected. We finally entered the 50–70k accumulation range that I've been talking about for months, and now we've got another clean technical confirmation with Bitcoin breaking down from the bear flag almost exactly as the chart suggested. A lot of people laughed when I kept saying I wasn't interested in buying above 100k. Then people laughed when I kept repeating that I wanted to see Bitcoin properly enter the 50–70k range before getting excited again. Well... here we are. Sometimes the hardest part isn't making the prediction, it's having enough patience to sit through months of people calling you crazy while the market slowly catches up. The way I see it, this isn't the end of the bear market. Not even close. I'm already buying Bitcoin every single week because anything below 70k has always been part of my accumulation plan, but I'm still keeping plenty of dry powder because I genuinely believe the biggest opportunity of this cycle is still ahead of us. The 30–50k range is where I expect this bear market to eventually find its bottom, and that's where I plan to start buying much more aggressively. People always underestimate how long bear markets can take. Just like it took months for Bitcoin to finally enter the 50–70k range after I first started talking about it, I think the same thing applies to the final leg down. It might happen in one brutal capitulation event, or it might take another couple of months to get there. Either way, I'm not interested in chasing green candles anymore. I'm interested in buying when almost nobody wants to. My plan hasn't changed one bit. I buy every week below 70k, my larger buy orders are sitting at 52k, 45k and 39k, and if we eventually get into that 30–50k range I'll probably be buying the most Bitcoin I've ever bought in my life. After that? I honestly believe we'll spend 2027–2029 in the next bull market. Hopefully altcoins finally wake up as well because they've been absolutely miserable this cycle, but as I've said countless times before, staying almost entirely in Bitcoin has been one of the best decisions I've made. Everything else is simply a much bigger gamble. Happy new week, legends. Stay patient, protect your capital, and don't let X degens make your investment decisions. 🤝🏼

$BTC | Game plan stays intact ☕ June has been pretty quiet for me, and honestly, I love it. Much-needed time to recharge. But one thing never changes... Stacking never stops when $BTC is below 70k! The stages of this bear market have played out exactly the way I expected. First came the initial correction. Everyone was still calling for new highs while I kept asking myself one simple question: "Is it really worth buying Bitcoin above 100k?" Then I said we needed to properly enter the 50–70k range. That's exactly where we are today, and that's why I'm buying every single week again. What's next? In my opinion, the final stage taking place from now until the end of 2026. The 30–50k range, where I believe this bear market eventually finds its bottom. That's where I plan to get aggressive, the second we go below 50k i really start scooping hard! Until then... We stay patient. Protect our capital and stick to the plan. Mine hasn't changed one bit. 🤝🏼

Yo legends! ☀️ I'm on vacation in Turkey this week, which is the reason I've been a bit quieter lately. I know it's probably not the ideal time for a vacation if we look at the charts. According to crypto logic, all available funds should be going straight into the market right now 😭 But at the same time... life needs to be lived and enjoyed, right? 😜 These are the days that recharge my batteries and keep me going. And don't worry, I'm still perfectly following the plan I've been talking about for months. $BTC is below 70k, which puts it right in my buy zone. Meaning this week's buy is already done ✅ Now it's time to get back to the beach, enjoy a gin & tonic, and let the market do its thing 😎 Tout va bien 🤝🏼

bitcoin:native | BOJ decision 🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates to 1% on June 16. That would be the highest interest rate in Japan in 31 years. Now, before everyone starts screaming "priced in" and "bullish", let's remember what happened the last time BOJ raised rates back in 2024. It was only a 0.25% hike, yet Bitcoin absolutely nuked. We went from around 70k all the way down to the mid-40k range in hours basically. So far this bear market has been almost textbook. We've had a solid ~50% drawdown, lower highs, people calling the bottom every few weeks, people calling for a supercycle every few weeks... pretty much exactly what you'd expect. But now we're approaching a very interesting moment. The key here is to see and monitor how Bitcoin will rect to the decision. If BOJ raises rates and bitcoin:native shrugs it off without any meaningful additional correction, then I'd say the odds increase that we're looking at a more traditional bottoming process somewhere between September and November. But if BOJ raises rates and Bitcoin gets sent into the low 40s immediately... Then we need to start seriously considering the possibility that the bottom is arriving much sooner than expected. And if that happens, I am not interested in being a spectator. I'm interested in buying. My orders are ready at: • 52k • 45k • 39k Stay ready, y'all. I genuinely think the next couple of weeks could end up being some of the most important weeks of this entire bear market. LFG 🤝🏼