We all see the same moon, dear one
Pacific NW
Joined October 2020
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🦖MBlackberry retweeted
كثير من الناس لا يفهمون فرنسا، ولم يقرأوا شيئاً عن تاريخها، ولذلك يتعاملون مع المظاهرات الحالية في باريس وكأنها بداية انهيار الحضارة الأوروبية، أو مقدمة لحرب أهلية بين المهاجرين والسكان الأصليين، وبين البيض وغير البيض.
هذه التصورات السخيفة ليست سوى إسقاطات أيديولوجية يروّج لها بالدرجة الأولى اليمين الأمريكي والأنجلو ساكسوني، الذي يعاني من جهل فادح بتاريخ أوروبا، ولا يفهم طبيعة المجتمعات الأوروبية وثقافتها السياسية وتاريخ الحراك الشعبي فيها.
هناك حقيقة أساسية يجب فهمها، وهي أن فرنسا ليست الولايات المتحدة، والفرنسيين ليسوا الأمريكيين أو الكنديين أو الأستراليين.
فرنسا تملك واحدة من أكثر الشعوب وعياً سياسياً، ومن أعرق ثقافات الحراك الشعبي والنضال الاجتماعي في العالم. وتاريخها ليس مجرد تاريخ من المظاهرات السلمية، بل تاريخ حافل بالثورات والانتفاضات والإضرابات التي أسقطت ملوكاً وحكومات، وأعادت تشكيل النظام السياسي الفرنسي مراراً.
ولا أتحدث هنا فقط عن الثورة الفرنسية عام 1789، التي أطاحت بالنظام الملكي القديم وغيّرت تاريخ أوروبا بأكمله.
في عام 1830، أسقط الفرنسيون الملك شارل العاشر بعد ثلاثة أيام من الانتفاضة الشعبية في باريس. وفي عام 1848 أطاحوا بملكية يوليو وأعلنوا الجمهورية الثانية. وفي عام 1871 انتفضت باريس مجدداً وأقامت الكومونة، التي انتهت بمواجهات دموية قُتل خلالها آلاف الفرنسيين.
وفي عام 1936، اجتاحت فرنسا موجة هائلة من الإضرابات العمالية التي أجبرت السلطة وأرباب العمل على تقديم تنازلات تاريخية، بينها إقرار أسبوع العمل من 40 ساعة والإجازات السنوية المدفوعة.
أما المثال الأكثر إثارة فهو ما حدث في مايو 1968، عندما بدأت الاحتجاجات من الجامعات الفرنسية، قبل أن تتحول إلى انتفاضة شعبية انضم إليها نحو 10 ملايين عامل، وشلّت فرنسا اقتصادياً واجتماعياً وسياسياً.
تخيلوا أن هذه الانتفاضة كادت تطيح بحكم شارل ديغول نفسه، الرجل الذي قاد فرنسا الحرة خلال الحرب العالمية الثانية وأصبح بطلاً قومياً في نظر ملايين الفرنسيين. ومع ذلك، لم يتردد الفرنسيون في النزول إلى الشوارع ضده، حتى اضطر إلى حل الجمعية الوطنية وإجراء انتخابات جديدة، قبل أن تنتهي رئاسته عام 1969.
ثم جاءت إضرابات عام 1995 التي شلّت وسائل النقل ومؤسسات الدولة، واحتجاجات الطلاب عام 2006 التي أجبرت الحكومة على التراجع عن قانون العمل الجديد، وانتفاضة السترات الصفراء عام 2018 التي هزّت باريس لأشهر بسبب الضرائب على الوقود والضغوط الاقتصادية، وصولاً إلى المظاهرات المليونية ضد إصلاح نظام التقاعد عام 2023.
كل هذا التاريخ، ثم يخرج علينا أمريكي لم يقرأ كتاباً عن فرنسا ليخبرنا أن المظاهرات الحالية تعني أن الأوروبيين على وشك الدخول في حرب أهلية بين البيض والمهاجرين!
المشكلة أن الأمريكيين والأنجلو ساكسون عموماً ينظرون إلى المجتمعات الأوروبية من خلال ثقافتهم السياسية الخانعة للمؤسسة الحاكمة، وهي ثقافة أكثر بروداً وخضوعاً للسلطة، ولا تملك تاريخاً من النضال الشعبي الجذري يقترب من التاريخ الفرنسي.
فالحقوق التي يعتبرها الأوروبيون بديهية، والتي انتزعتها شعوبهم عبر أجيال من الإضرابات والمواجهات مع الحكومات وأرباب العمل، لا تزال في الولايات المتحدة نفسها موضع جدل سياسي، أو امتيازات لا يستطيع ملايين الأمريكيين الحصول عليها.
الأمريكي يقبل أن يعيش في دولة يدفع فيها ضرائب هائلة، ثم يضطر إلى دفع عشرات آلاف الدولارات للتعليم الجامعي، وقد يجد نفسه غارقاً في الديون بسبب فاتورة علاج طبي. أما الفرنسي، فلا يقبل بسهولة أن تتراجع الدولة عن مسؤولياتها في توفير الرعاية الصحية والتعليم والخدمات العامة والحماية الاجتماعية، لأنه يعتبر هذه الحقوق جزءاً من العقد الاجتماعي الذي انتزعته الأجيال السابقة بالنضال.
وهذا هو الفرق الجوهري بين الثقافتين. الفرنسيون لا يرون أن عليهم شكر حكوماتهم على الحقوق الاجتماعية التي يتمتعون بها، بل يرون أن الحكومات ملزمة بتوفيرها مقابل الضرائب التي يدفعونها، وأن عليهم النزول إلى الشوارع إذا حاولت السلطة الانتقاص منها.
وهذه الثقافة لا تقتصر على فرنسا، فإيطاليا أيضاً تملك تاريخاً هائلاً من الإضرابات والحركات العمالية والانتفاضات الشعبية، وكذلك العديد من الدول الأوروبية التي اعتادت شعوبها على مواجهة الحكومات في الشوارع دفاعاً عن مصالحها.
Global summary of draft status
𝟭𝟴 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝘄𝗿𝗼𝘁𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗶𝗿 𝗱𝗿𝗮𝗳𝘁 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗹𝗮𝘄𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝟯𝟲 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝘀. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘀𝗼𝗺𝗲𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗶𝗿 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗶𝗿 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲.
These laws do NOT pass in isolation. They do NOT pass quietly. Except this time, they did. Both. Bookmark this one, especially if you have teenage boys...because they will be going to a war near you...
𝟭. 𝗨𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀
The US Army raised its maximum enlistment age from 35 to 42, effective April 20, 2026. Automatic Selective Service registration for EVERY male aged 18 to 26 (including green card holders, refugees, asylum seekers, and undocumented men) becomes operational December 18, 2026, signed into the FY2026 NDAA in December 2025. You raise the enlistment age to 42 when the 18 to 35 cohort is no longer sufficient for what you are planning for some reason. Also, you likely noticed that ICE enforcements have lessened?
𝟮. 𝗖𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗱𝗮
CDS General @CDS_Canada_CEMD and Minister of National Defence David McGuinty are advancing a "Defence Mobilization Plan" to create a 300,000-person volunteer civil defence force on top of expanding Canadian Armed Forces reserves to 100,000. Current active force: ± 68,000 at 100%. If approved and funded, the largest Canadian military mobilisation since WWII. Prime Minister @MarkJCarney explicitly framed it on June 9, 2025 as a response to relying "too heavily on our geography and others to protect us."
𝟯. 𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝘆
Buried inside the Military Service Modernisation Act passed December 5, 2025 and in force January 1, 2026. Under amended Conscription Act it literally says "every German man aged 17 to 45 must obtain permission from the @bundeswehrInfo (Ministry of Defence) before leaving Germany for more than three months." Semester abroad. Work contract. Extended travel. Doesn't matter. Previously this rule applied ONLY during declared state of tension or defence. The new law extended it to peacetime. Approval is currently automatic. The legal architecture is now permanent. Approximately 20 million German men only learned about the rule on April 3, 2026 when the @fr surfaced it. Three months after it had quietly taken effect. The German Parliament (@Bundestag) passed it. The press did NOT cover it at all.
𝟰. 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮
October 28, 2025: the State Duma replaced the bi-annual draft process with a YEAR-ROUND conscription system. Signed by Putin November 4, 2025. In force January 1, 2026. 2025 conscription totals: 295,000 men, the highest in nine years. The conscription machine is now operating continuously, not seasonally.
𝟱. 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮
2,035,000 active troops. Mobilisation capacity of 81 million in sustained conflict per People's Armed Police and reserve laws. National Defence Mobilisation Law amendments 2024 expanded civilian-to-military mobilisation procedures.
𝟲. 𝗡𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗵 𝗞𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗮
1,320,000 active. Troops already deployed to Russia's Eastern Front. Russia-North Korea mutual defence treaty signed June 2024 contains binding NATO Article 5-style guarantee, the ONLY such treaty in Russia's network.
𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗰𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝗽𝗹𝘂𝘀 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮 𝗽𝗹𝘂𝘀 𝗡𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗵 𝗞𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗮: ~𝟰.𝟲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝗼𝗹𝗱𝗶𝗲𝗿𝘀, 𝗯𝗲𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗮 𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗹𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗱.
𝟳. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗼-𝗣𝗮𝗰𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗰 𝗶𝘀 𝗮𝗹𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝘆 𝗼𝗻 𝘄𝗮𝗿 𝗳𝗼𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴
Taiwan reinstated mandatory 1-year active duty January 2024. South Korea maintains ± 21 months mandatory service, 450,000 active.
India 1,431,000 active, sharing borders with both China and Pakistan.
Japan signed the October 2025 Technology Prosperity Deal committing in US-coordinated investment plus rapid defence capability strengthening. The First Island Chain is being hardened in real time.
𝟴. 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲'𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘄𝗮𝘃𝗲
Croatia reinstated compulsory service January 2026 after a 17-year hiatus, mandatory for men 19 to 29.
France launching 10-month mandatory military youth service mid-2026.
Poland targeting 100,000 military trainees per year starting 2026.
Latvia mandatory 11-month service reinstated, women voluntary from 2028.
Denmark extended conscription to women in 2025, service lengthened to 11 months.
Lithuania extended reserve liability to 15 years from 2026.
Sweden expanded gender-neutral draft, scaling intake from ~8,000 to 12,000 annually by 2035.
Norway full "total defence" model, women included.
Serbia €90M allocated, first conscripts entering barracks 2026.
Belgium sent letters to nearly 149,000 17-year-olds in November 2025 inviting voluntary service.
Romania launched a 4-month voluntary scheme.
Estonia extending service duration from 2027.
Ukraine lowered conscription age to 25 in 2024.
𝟵. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 𝗡𝗔𝗧𝗢 𝗛𝗮𝗴𝘂𝗲 𝗦𝘂𝗺𝗺𝗶𝘁
@NATO allies (except Spain) committed to 5% of GDP annual defence spending by 2035.
The European Commission's ReArm Europe / Readiness 2030 plan: €800 billion over 5 years.
Germany's 2026 procurement budget: €377 billion. Defence spending growth rates: 9.3% in 2023, 18.6% in 2024, 15.9% in 2025.
These are NOT PEACETIME numbers.
𝟭𝟴 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀. 𝟯 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀. 𝟯𝟲 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝘀. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗖𝗟𝗘𝗔𝗥.
When a generation of governments simultaneously expand military rolls, raise enlistment ages, reactivate dormant draft frameworks, and quietly extend peacetime restrictions on the movement of military-age men, the planners are reading something the public has NOT been told. Whether it is China-Taiwan, Russia-NATO, Iran spillover, Korean peninsula contingency, or all four converging, the planners assume the manpower demand of the next decade exceeds what voluntary recruitment can deliver.
This is signal that the post-Cold War demobilisation is being formally reversed across the entire Northern Hemisphere. The 90-year peace dividend ended quietly while everyone was reading about something else.
Make plans for your sons. This is your 𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!
I look beyond the headlines and make sense of the nuances. If this gave you signal worth keeping, like and consider following 🙏
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
Here is your East-Africa and West-Asia War Map.
"You can't tell the players without a scorecard." Or a good map.
And while size matters, population often matters more, so I added this critical number to each nation.
You'll want to save this map for when the sputtering Eritrea-Ethiopia conflict blows wide open again. Ethiopia has been landlocked since 1993, with the independence of Eritrea. There are parallels to Ukraine gaining its independence from Russia with the breakup of the USSR. Like the USSR, Ethiopia was down-and-out when Eritrea became a nation, and blocked Ethiopia from the Red Sea.
Now Ethiopia is undergoing a resurgence in power and influence. Their "Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam" was built between 2011 and 2025 when it was finished. This giant dam controls the headwaters and lakes of the Blue Nile, which provides 90% of Egypt's fresh water--and the Egyptians are not happy about this new situation.
And the Ethiopians want to regain access to the sea, either across Eritrea, or by making a deal with Somalia. The national government of Somalia opposes this, so Ethiopia supports the independence of "Somaliland," as shown on the map. The Ethiopians think: "this path to independence worked for Eritrea against our interests, so why not an independent Somaliland, working in our interest?" Somaliland would create a free-trade corridor for Ethiopia to the port of Berbera.
Egypt and Sudan already worry about a resurgent Ethiopia. With the opening of the GERD dam, Ethiopia became an electrical power production giant, with the biggest hydropower dam in Africa by far. It will generate even more power as more hydro turbines are put on line.
Did I mention that Ethiopia, similar to Iran, is almost 90% food self-sufficient? Now that it controls the Blue Nile, it's food production will go up even more, while Egypt feels the threat of water cutoffs, or floods, at Ethiopia's whim.
Did I mention that Ethiopia, population 140 million, is majority Orthodox Christian, as is South Sudan, in an otherwise Muslim region?
We are all watching the Iran-USA war and the Saudi-Yemen conflict, but also keep a weather eye on the other side of the Red Sea. Egypt, population 120 million, could be dragged into wars on both sides of it.
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
I have a confession to make...
For a long time now, I’ve been feeling something strange. It isn’t depression or sadness. It’s something I can’t explain, and I don’t know when it began.
When I told a friend about it, they said they felt exactly the same way. I thought it was a coincidence, until I realized that we were all carrying the same bitterness.
You see them wandering the streets, walking as though they’re going somewhere, but you can’t tell whether they’re thinking about something or simply walking because they have to. Nothing sparks their curiosity anymore. Nothing surprises them. Someone might read the first line of a news story about an entire family being killed, put their phone away, and ask how much a kilo of tomatoes costs.
There is nothing surprising about that anymore.
I think about everything we’ve witnessed over the past three years, the faces we memorized before losing the people behind them, the images we’ve learned to scroll past, and the news stories we no longer bother to finish reading. I remember how we once mourned tragedies that had nothing to do with us, like the tragedy of Rayan, the Moroccan child.
How did we become so accustomed to the news of our own deaths?
My God, what has happened to us?
In the tents, people don’t have the luxury of stopping. They must search for water in the morning, find a way to afford food, count what little money remains, and worry about what they’ll do if one of their children falls ill tomorrow.
A grief that never ends.
We’ve grown tired of complaining, too. We already know what others will say, and we know we’ll repeat the same words tomorrow. The tents will remain tents, and what we’ve lost won’t return simply because we talk about it. So silence feels like the lesser harm to our hearts.
Two weeks ago, I asked an eleven-year-old boy selling tissues in the market why he wasn’t going to school.
He looked at me and said:
“And even if I went to school, what would change, sir? My mother and I wouldn’t find anyone to feed us. How would you and your education help me then?”
I didn’t know what to say. Damn it, he was right.
At eleven, he had already learned that feeding his bedridden mother, the only person he had left, mattered more than school, his future, or his dreams.
But there’s something else we rarely talk about.
Even when you decide to speak about your pain, you hesitate. You begin telling your story, then remember that the person listening has lost their home and family, or endured something worse than you have. So you shorten your story and say you’re fine.
Everyone wants to talk, but who has any room left to listen?
Two friends might sit together, each desperate to speak, only to exchange the same familiar question: “How are you?” They give the answers they’ve grown accustomed to giving and leave, while the words they came to share remain trapped in their chests.
I’ve given this phenomenon a name: **“Herd Numbness.”**
I don’t know if the name is accurate, or when all this began. I only know that we’ve seen too much, lost too much, and been forced to keep living, even on days when we weren’t sure we’d make it through.
For a long time, I’ve felt something strange. And whenever I try to understand it, I look around and realize that everyone else feels it, too.
I don’t know whether we’ve grown accustomed to what happened to us, or whether we simply no longer have the strength to feel it as deeply as we should. I don’t know if this unsettling silence brings relief, or if words themselves have nowhere left to go.
All I know is that we are no longer who we used to be.
And the strangest part is that when I look around, no one seems surprised.
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
This is huge news from Brazil. The courts have recognized Meta's nefarious efforts to suppress PT content and accelerate Bolsonaro's own, and ruled in Lula's favor with immediate effect: a model of algorithmic accountability to be applied anywhere.
A judge of Brazil’s top electoral court rules that Meta must adopt measures to immediately secure equal treatment of the two presidential candidates ahead of an Oct. 25 runoff. nbcnews.com/world/south-amer…
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
What keeps me UP at night? This chart right HERE👇...
These are my own analytics on who reads, watches and engages with my content, and the TOP TWO rows are empty!!
13 to 17 years old: 0.0%
18 to 24 years old: 0.0%
Everything I write, every alarm I raise about the WAR that is coming, reaches ZERO percent of the people aged 13 to 24.
That's EXACTLY how narrative control operations and algorithmic WAR against accounts like mine works. The system has been geared to ensure that age group does not interact with my work.
There is NO ban and NO takedown, the reach to the one group that most needs the warning just quietly goes to zero...but I notice these things because I seek out patterns.
18 to 24 is the EXACT age that gets sent to fight first, and the 13 to 17 year olds reading or watching NOTHING today are the 18 year olds who get called up in ONE to FIVE years.
They are being sleepwalked into a war they have NO IDEA IS COMING FOR THEM...
The people who DO read me are 25 to 55, and many of them are the parents of that same group the algorithm keeps me away from...
So the duty passes to YOU.
If I cannot reach your sons and daughters, you have to. You must.
Put this in front of them and make them aware of what is coming, so that if you are NOT around, they are NOT walking in blind.
This is a leading indicator and a pattern, and it is working exactly as designed.
𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
Here's something you'd DEFINITELY want in your own country...
What if you could access all your daily essentials within a 15-minute walk of your home?
That's what China is working on since the first trial in Shanghai back in 2019.
It's called the 15-Minute Community Life Circle (一刻钟便民生活圈).
Here's what that looks like 👇
🥬 Everyday essentials
Wet markets, supermarkets, breakfast shops, restaurants and convenience stores.
🏥 Healthcare
Community clinics and pharmacies.
🏫 Families
Kindergartens, primary schools, childcare services and elderly care stations.
🌳 Parks & recreation
Pocket parks, green spaces and public fitness areas.
🚇 Transport
Public transport stops within easy walking distance.
🏢 Community services
Government service centres, libraries, activity rooms, laundries, repair shops and other everyday services.
📋 How it works
When neighbourhoods are built or renovated, planners map out what's missing and fill in the gaps.
The goal isn't to make every neighbourhood identical. It's to make sure people have access to the services they actually need day to day.
Local governments coordinate planning, while private businesses continue to run many of the shops and food outlets.
📈 The scale
By mid-2025, China has built over 6,200 of these circles across 210 pilot cities, with a target of 10,000 across 100 cities by 2030.
Make everyday life easier for millions of people, with resident satisfaction targeted at over 90%.
--
Neighbourhoods should designed around people, not cars.🚶
Central planning for the small things = big lifestyle improvements for everyone 🇨🇳
Yemen expert unable to spell Ansarallah
Yemen’s war is entering a dangerous phase. The Saudi-led coalition and Houthis are betting on outlasting each other, risking a war of attrition. In this Q&A, I examine conflict’s trajectory, Saudi and Iranian calculations, and prospects for de-escalation
crisisgroup.org/qna/middle-e…
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
اسمعوا، بعتت لناس عندهم ملايين المتابعين يشاركوا حملة بلدية غزة «ما قبل الشتاء»، حملة تمويل عشان البلدية تقدر تفتح المجاري وتسلّكها، ونحاول نمنع ميّة المطر من إنها تغرق خيام الناس.. طنشوني 😬
يمكن عشان الحملة تطوعية، وما في مصاري مقابل نشر ستوري، مع إنه كل دولار فيها حق للناس اللي بدنا نحميهم من الغرق والشتا.
بتعرفوا حد ممكن يساعد في النشر بدون مقابل؟
رابط الحملة:
gaza-city.org/campaign/6
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
Wow!
This graph depicting the Palestinian vs. Israeli death toll from 1940 to the present shows exactly when the genocide begins - and why it is a genocide...
AJ Signal connects dots I didn't know were there. He reveals undercurrents
Iran, USA and Israel...
I put the three warring states on a political spectrum, then did it again on an economic one, and the picture flips between the two.
On WHO HOLDS POWER they all fall on the same side. The Republican right in Washington, Netanyahu's right in Israel, and the clerical hardliners in Tehran are all on the right, every one of them a religious or nationalist conservative governing from the authoritarian side. Three enemies, one half of the spectrum.
Flip the axis to WHO RUNS THE ECONOMY and the cluster breaks apart.
The US and Israel run market economies, privately owned, centre-right. Iran runs a state economy, the oil, the bonyads, the IRGC conglomerates, all of it owned and controlled by the state, which puts Iran on the LEFT, over next to China and Russia, the two states arming its side of this war.
So the enemies are mirror images on power and opposites on money, which tells you the fight was never about economics.
Strip the economics out and what is left is three conservative establishments cut from the same authoritarian cloth, each one needing the other as the enemy to keep its own people in line and itself in power. They are divided by who rules, not by how they run the economy.
This is a must read, see or listen to the full analysis in link below.
𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
Iran’s Hormuz Blockade Triggers LARGEST Energy Shock in History
McKinsey says 14% of GLOBAL oil and gas supply was disrupted, DOUBLE the 1970s oil shocks and SIX TIMES the impact of the Ukraine war.
Emergency reserves are being DRAINED, pipelines are under ATTACK, and October has seen the MOST shipping strikes of the war.
The world survived the first shock. The next could be FAR WORSE.
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
Worth reading to stay informed about the brief, accurate historical context, where all this began, and how the American media and its allies are trying to distort it and mislead the world about Yemen and Yemenis.
It will also help you stand with us and raise your voice against their false narratives.
Newspapers, television networks, research centers affiliated with the United States, and other media outlets serving its allies in the region are attempting to distort the image of Yemen and the Yemeni people in the eyes of the world. They portray Yemen, under the leadership of the Sana’a government, as having supported Gaza merely to gain domestic and regional popular support, only to pursue its destructive and destabilizing projects across the region in service of Iran once that objective had been achieved including targeting Saudi Arabia and closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait.
I have noticed this misleading narrative, saturated with fallacies, lies, and deception, circulating widely enough to warrant clarification and a reminder of the following:
• In 2015, Saudi Arabia announced the formation of an international coalition and launched its military operations against Yemen from Washington, D.C.
• The United States supported and armed this coalition and participated in its operations throughout the years of aggression and blockade against Yemen.
• Since 2015, the Saudi-led coalition has blockaded Yemen, starved its people, and killed Yemeni civilians. These actions continue to this day.
• Yemen resisted with steadfastness and courage, standing alone against massive international coalitions, without the participation or support of any foreign country.
• In 2023, Yemen supported Gaza despite still being under the Saudi-led blockade.
• Saudi Arabia intercepted several missiles and drones launched from Yemen toward Israel, thereby supporting and protecting those responsible for killing women and children in Gaza.
• Yemen targeted Israeli ships in an attempt to exert pressure and lift the blockade on the people of Gaza while they were dying of hunger.
• Saudi Arabia and the UAE established a land corridor to ensure the delivery of goods to Israel, attempting to break Yemen’s blockade of Israel.
• Israel and the United States bombed and targeted Yemen in an attempt to stop it from supporting Gaza and to break the blockade on Israel. All their attempts failed.
• Yemen’s military involvement in support of Gaza came to an end, and Yemen declared its readiness to support Palestine in future rounds of confrontation if necessary.
• Saudi Arabia targeted Sana’a International Airport in an attempt to prevent an Iranian civilian aircraft carrying the Sana’a delegation, which was traveling to offer condolences following the death of Imam Khamenei, from landing.
• Sana’a responded by announcing a campaign to break the blockade and completely liberate Yemen from the Saudi occupation. This is what is unfolding today, and it will continue until its objectives are achieved, God willing.
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
Among the justifications presented by Saudi Arabia for its aggression against Yemen, which has been ongoing for 12 years, is the pretext of supporting the "legitimate Yemeni government" or the "internationally recognized government." Here, dear follower, you may encounter these terms, yet remain unaware of the true story.
In 2011, a popular uprising erupted in Yemen against Ali Abdullah Saleh. Saudi Arabia and the United States succeeded in circumventing this uprising, turning it into a political crisis that concluded with a power-sharing agreement between the ruling party and the opposition, appointing Saleh’s deputy, Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, as president. Saudi Arabia selected him for this role, and WikiLeaks documents reveal that Hadi was a puppet in the hands of Riyadh.
As for the manner of his appointment, it was largely unusual: sham elections were staged without any competitors—only Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi—stipulating that he would hold power for a two-year term ending in February 2014.
During the two years of Hadi’s rule, Yemen deteriorated into a quagmire of crime, chaos, and security and economic collapse. The Central Bank was reported bankrupt, Al-Qaeda attacked the Ministry of Defense compound and targeted a military parade in Al-Sabeen Square, hundreds of assassinations targeted political, media, and intellectual figures, and conflicts intensified across all parts of Yemen.
In February 2014, and without any popular referendum, Saudi Arabia extended the mandate of Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi. Efforts were made to draft a constitution by foreign hands to divide Yemen into six federal regions, a project rejected by the Yemeni people.
In September 2014, a popular revolution began in Yemen, led by the Ansar Allah movement with the participation of all segments of the Yemeni people. The revolution succeeded in overthrowing Saudi and American tutelage. The Peace and National Partnership Agreement was signed on September 21, the day the revolution succeeded, which Saudi Arabia now characterizes as a coup or rebellion. On the contrary, this revolution demonstrated tolerance and commitment to civil peace, conducting no prosecutions or exclusions, and instead advancing toward an agreement for peace and partnership.
Those imposing tutelage over Yemen disapproved of this direction and pushed agent political factions to abort the agreement, concurrent with planning a military aggression against Yemen. According to The Washington Post, American and Saudi military planners began formulating plans for military action against Yemen in the summer of 2014.
On March 26, 2015, Saudi Arabia launched its aggression against Yemen under the pretext of responding to Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi. However, Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi stated in an interview on Abu Dhabi TV that he had no knowledge that a war was going to take place.
Saudi Arabia recruited Al-Qaeda, ISIS, terrorist groups, contract killers, and criminals, forming an army it designated the "National Army," "government forces," or "legitimacy forces."
Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi remained under house arrest in Saudi Arabia—as documented in numerous reports, including an Associated Press report in 2018—and was even barred from traveling abroad for medical treatment.
In 2022, Saudi Arabia detained Hadi and forced him to announce the delegation of his purported powers to a council selected by Saudi Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman, the brother of the Crown Prince and the official in charge of the Yemen portfolio, according to public television interviews by officials within the Saudi-aligned government.
The Wall Street Journal reported that Saudi Arabia detained Hadi and his sons, cut off their communications, and threatened to expose their corruption files should they take any non-compliant action.
This is the story of the so-called "legitimate government" or the "Presidential Leadership Council government," which constitutes one of the pretexts utilized by Saudi Arabia for its aggression against Yemen.
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
I was on board the flight that Saudi Arabia barred from landing at Sana'a Airport. Beside us sat dozens of stranded citizens who had been trapped abroad for years because of the blockade. The Saudis threatened to bomb the airplane in mid-air, directly notifying the pilot, and then proceeded to bomb the airport itself. In such a situation, imagine the horror your family endures when they learn the airport has been bombed at the exact moment you are scheduled to arrive.
This was far from the only time the airport has been bombed. It was targeted in the very first airstrike of the Saudi aggression in March 2015 and has remained shut down throughout the past 12 years. Why, then, does Riyadh Airport become a target that stirs global outrage, while Sana'a Airport is treated as worthless? What criteria dictate the terms of international solidarity?
The airport is merely one chapter of this reality. For 12 years, we have faced brutal aggression, targeted by more than a quarter of a million airstrikes. Our children are dying of starvation before our eyes due to the blockade imposed by Saudi Arabia. Yemen is enduring the worst humanitarian catastrophe in the world, and our capital has been bombed without pause since the aggression began. Would anyone on earth accept this?
@zakaria_sharabi
🦖MBlackberry retweeted
If you think the story between Yemen and Saudi Arabia has just begun, you are far detached from reality.
The Saudi aggression against Yemen began on March 26, 2015, with the very first airstrike targeting Sana'a Airport. That same night, the US National Security Council—via spokesperson Bernadette Meehan—announced that the United States was providing full logistical support for the war on Yemen. The aggression was a literal implementation of the Obama doctrine: allies shoulder the burden, and we lead from behind.
In April 2015, roughly two weeks after the start of the aggression, Antony Blinken—Deputy Secretary of State in the Obama administration and Secretary of State in the Biden administration—visited Riyadh and stated: "We have expedited weapons deliveries, we have increased our intelligence sharing." Washington deployed a team of dozens of officers led by Carl Mundy III; inside a fortified bunker in Riyadh, those advisers were determining what and where the warplanes would bomb.
From March 2015 until April 2022, the following took place:
More than 60,000 Yemeni citizens were martyred and wounded, mostly women and children, as Yemen was targeted with over a quarter of a million airstrikes.
The healthcare sector was entirely destroyed.
All of Yemen’s land, sea, and air crossings were shut down, and the siege triggered the world's worst humanitarian tragedy—causing a Yemeni child to die every 10 minutes, according to UN reports.
Yemen’s wealth centers were occupied and looted, and Yemeni employees were deprived of their salaries.
Airstrikes targeted all production facilities, wiped out the fishing sector, struck water wells, and caused the spread of cholera, diphtheria, and numerous epidemics.Every conceivable tragedy was inflicted upon Yemen as a result of the aggression.
In April 2022, a truce with Saudi Arabia or a de-escalation was reached. The foundational terms were resolving humanitarian issues: prisoner exchange, paying employee salaries from Yemen's wealth revenues, and lifting the siege. Yet none of this materialized over the span of 4 years.
In 2026, Yemen took a step to break the siege by running a direct flight to return stranded citizens from abroad, but Saudi Arabia countered this flight by bombing Sana'a Airport. Concurrently, Saudi Arabia was tightening the siege on Yemen, holding up goods for months at the Port of Djibouti, and mobilizing takfiri forces and mercenary troops across various parts of Yemen.
Facing all of this, Yemen moved to impose deterrent equations based on:
Imposing a siege on Saudi Arabia in exchange for the siege on Yemen.
Meeting any Saudi escalation and aggression against Yemen with escalation deep inside Saudi territory.
Targeting Saudi-affiliated forces being mobilized to invade the liberated territories.
Yemen's demands are clear, requiring neither lamentations nor convoluted interpretations:
Lifting the siege, halting the aggression, ending the occupation, paying employee salaries from Yemeni wealth revenues, and disbursing compensations resulting from the aggression.
If anyone views these demands as exaggerated, the flaw lies in their own thinking.
Whoever genuinely cares for Saudi Arabia must push it toward fulfilling these demands, because without them, Yemenis will reject any talk of peace.