Pinned Tweet
UK fiscal path → CGT, property, energy, payroll.
Owners are delaying sales and hiring.
Sterling risk → scarce assets.
I run this from a real balance sheet, not a newsdesk.
LyndonX retweeted
HMRC can now take unpaid tax straight from your bank accounts and Cash ISAs.
Debts over £1,000. No court order needed upfront.
They leave you £5,000 and give you a visit + 30-day objection window, but the power is real and already restarted.
Your money in a bank is not fully yours.
Opt out.
Maybe Self-custody in Bitcoin.
HMRC can now take unpaid tax straight from your bank accounts and Cash ISAs.
Debts over £1,000. No court order needed upfront.
They leave you £5,000 and give you a visit + 30-day objection window, but the power is real and already restarted.
Your money in a bank is not fully yours.
Opt out.
Maybe Self-custody in Bitcoin.
LyndonX retweeted
The AI buildout is now being stress-tested on cash flow, not just narrative.
Last week the Nasdaq had its worst week since June and the chip index posted its longest losing streak since 2008. CoreWeave’s 5-year CDS moved above 1,100 bps while SoftBank fell roughly 25% in seven sessions. The common thread is debt used to fund infrastructure ahead of proven returns.
The scale of the mismatch is large. Estimates put AI infrastructure spending near $7 trillion through 2030 against roughly $3.6 trillion in related revenue. When that gap is filled with borrowed capital, higher rates and tighter credit turn from background conditions into a direct constraint on growth.
This week’s earnings from Meta, Tesla, Netflix and others will give a clearer read. The useful question is no longer whether the technology works. It is whether the incremental cash flow can cover the cost of capital that was used to build it.
Companies with strong free cash flow can absorb the timing gap. Businesses that depend on continuous external financing have less room.
That distinction is now driving price action more than the long-term AI thesis itself.
Elon said he will give every child a share of Spacex.
Thats about $10B. Better than paying tax into a black hole right.
The AI buildout is now being stress-tested on cash flow, not just narrative.
Last week the Nasdaq had its worst week since June and the chip index posted its longest losing streak since 2008. CoreWeave’s 5-year CDS moved above 1,100 bps while SoftBank fell roughly 25% in seven sessions. The common thread is debt used to fund infrastructure ahead of proven returns.
The scale of the mismatch is large. Estimates put AI infrastructure spending near $7 trillion through 2030 against roughly $3.6 trillion in related revenue. When that gap is filled with borrowed capital, higher rates and tighter credit turn from background conditions into a direct constraint on growth.
This week’s earnings from Meta, Tesla, Netflix and others will give a clearer read. The useful question is no longer whether the technology works. It is whether the incremental cash flow can cover the cost of capital that was used to build it.
Companies with strong free cash flow can absorb the timing gap. Businesses that depend on continuous external financing have less room.
That distinction is now driving price action more than the long-term AI thesis itself.
LyndonX retweeted
To all my followers. My account was stolen and after 3 weeks I finally have it back.
If you unfollowed me then please follow back. 🙏
To all my followers. My account was stolen and after 3 weeks I finally have it back.
If you unfollowed me then please follow back. 🙏
October Budget is coming. Same film. New hole.
Your boss still pays extra NI on your wage. That is not “a tax on business”. It is a smaller rise for you.
Tax bands still frozen. Earn a bit more. Keep less.
Council tax up about £110. Twice.
Energy and food still dearer than mid-2024.
Fuel duty cut was the one bit of relief.
That clock is running down.
What went down. Be fair.
VAT off home electricity this winter.
Train fares frozen this year.
Fuel 5p cut, for now.
What it costs a worker now:
About £1,200 a year more tax in real terms.
A typical working household: about £2,200 worse off than mid-2024.
By 2027/28, if they freeze bands again and bills stay high:
One worker, about £1,600 a year.
A working couple in a normal house, about £3,000 a year.
They said they would not tax working people.
They did not put the income-tax rate up.
They taxed the pay rise instead.
Main home still CGT-free. Weekly shop still VAT-free.
The squeeze is wages, bills, and the next Budget.
Next up will be investments so, CGT (capital gains tax). This is discourage investing in anything.
When money leaves, so does your job.
LyndonX retweeted
I have to post facts on this one, as much as I hate this Labour mob.
Councils are not seizing your house.
Labour announced plans to cut the empty-home threshold for an EDMO from 2 years to 6 months. Ownership stays with you. The council can take management and rent it out for up to 7 years.
You do not get a lump-sum payout. They recover repair and management costs from the rent. Any leftover rent can go to you. The 6-month rule is not law yet.
“Seize your home / you will own nothing” is the headline version. The legal version is temporary management of long-term vacant stock, not confiscation.
To obtain EDMO can take months.
I have to post facts on this one, as much as I hate this Labour mob.
Councils are not seizing your house.
Labour announced plans to cut the empty-home threshold for an EDMO from 2 years to 6 months. Ownership stays with you. The council can take management and rent it out for up to 7 years.
You do not get a lump-sum payout. They recover repair and management costs from the rent. Any leftover rent can go to you. The 6-month rule is not law yet.
“Seize your home / you will own nothing” is the headline version. The legal version is temporary management of long-term vacant stock, not confiscation.
To obtain EDMO can take months.
IHT did you know:
If you have to sell a house to pay the tax then the cost of selling is not a deduction. This means you pay tax on what you pay the estate agent to sell it. Same for the legal fees.
In the meantime interest is being added to what you owe at 7.8% current rate after 6 months.
Example:
Sale price £1,000,000
Tax exempt £325k
Sale fee @ 2% (plus VAT at 20%) is £24,000
You still pay 40% on the £24k effect let you get less.
This applies to all valuation you need to get like furniture, RICS property values, all costs cannot be deducted from assets even though it’s a true cost.
Dont forget you then buy a new house and pay stamp tax.
LyndonX retweeted
Your BILL from Labour since July 2024.
Your boss pays more National Insurance on your wage. That usually means smaller pay rises for you.
Tax bands are frozen. Earn a bit more, keep less.
Council tax up about £110 a year, two years running.
Energy and food still cost more than in 2024.
Sell shares? More tax. Buy a second home? Extra 2% stamp duty.
What went down (let’s be fair!)
5p off fuel duty stayed.
VAT off home electricity this winter.
Train fares frozen this year.
What it costs you now:
If you work: about £1,200 a year more tax in real terms.
Add bills and a typical working household is £2,200 a year worse off than mid-2024.
By 2027/28:
Those frozen tax bands keep biting.
Energy looks dearer again.
A working person will be about £1,600 a year worse off.
A working couple in a normal house will be about £3,000 a year worse off.
Pay may go up. The taxman and the bills take a chunk of that rise. Your main home is still tax-free when you sell it.
Your weekly food shop is still VAT-free.
The squeeze is on wages,household bills, if you move or cash out an investment.
Rent, water and insurance aren’t in the calculation. You need minimum 9% growth on income a year to stand still.
Your BILL from Labour since July 2024.
Your boss pays more National Insurance on your wage. That usually means smaller pay rises for you.
Tax bands are frozen. Earn a bit more, keep less.
Council tax up about £110 a year, two years running.
Energy and food still cost more than in 2024.
Sell shares? More tax. Buy a second home? Extra 2% stamp duty.
What went down (let’s be fair!)
5p off fuel duty stayed.
VAT off home electricity this winter.
Train fares frozen this year.
What it costs you now:
If you work: about £1,200 a year more tax in real terms.
Add bills and a typical working household is £2,200 a year worse off than mid-2024.
By 2027/28:
Those frozen tax bands keep biting.
Energy looks dearer again.
A working person will be about £1,600 a year worse off.
A working couple in a normal house will be about £3,000 a year worse off.
Pay may go up. The taxman and the bills take a chunk of that rise. Your main home is still tax-free when you sell it.
Your weekly food shop is still VAT-free.
The squeeze is on wages,household bills, if you move or cash out an investment.
Rent, water and insurance aren’t in the calculation. You need minimum 9% growth on income a year to stand still.
LyndonX retweeted
Capital Gain Tax ranking. Lowest to highest (headline individual rates on typical investment/share gains, simplified)
Go where you get to keep your money and have a better lifestyle.
UAE — 0%
Singapore — 0%
Hong Kong — 0%
Switzerland — 0% (private investors)
New Zealand — 0% (most assets)
Cyprus — 0% (listed shares)
Monaco — 0%
Bahamas — 0%
Cayman Islands — 0%
Bermuda — 0%
Belgium — 0% / 10%
Bulgaria — 10%
Romania — 10%
Hungary — 15%
Greece — 15%
Poland — 19%
South Africa — 18%
UK — 18% / 24%
Japan — 20.3%
United States — 0% / 15% / 20% long-term (+ up to 3.8% NIIT)
Australia — ~23% effective (50% discount after 12 months)
Israel — 25%
Italy — 26%
Germany — 26.4%
Canada — ~27% effective
Austria — 27.5%
Spain — 19–30%
Portugal — 28%
Sweden — 30%
France — 30%
Ireland — 33%
Finland — 34%
Netherlands — ~36% deemed
Norway — 37.8%
Denmark — 27% / 42%
Rates vary by asset, holding period, residency and whether trading is treated as a business.
0% lists usually apply to private investors, not professional traders or local property.
My guess is the Burn effect will hike to 28% which will impact investments, sales of companies and more. Another damaging impact on business and jobs, if he does hike the rate.
Capital Gain Tax ranking. Lowest to highest (headline individual rates on typical investment/share gains, simplified)
Go where you get to keep your money and have a better lifestyle.
UAE — 0%
Singapore — 0%
Hong Kong — 0%
Switzerland — 0% (private investors)
New Zealand — 0% (most assets)
Cyprus — 0% (listed shares)
Monaco — 0%
Bahamas — 0%
Cayman Islands — 0%
Bermuda — 0%
Belgium — 0% / 10%
Bulgaria — 10%
Romania — 10%
Hungary — 15%
Greece — 15%
Poland — 19%
South Africa — 18%
UK — 18% / 24%
Japan — 20.3%
United States — 0% / 15% / 20% long-term (+ up to 3.8% NIIT)
Australia — ~23% effective (50% discount after 12 months)
Israel — 25%
Italy — 26%
Germany — 26.4%
Canada — ~27% effective
Austria — 27.5%
Spain — 19–30%
Portugal — 28%
Sweden — 30%
France — 30%
Ireland — 33%
Finland — 34%
Netherlands — ~36% deemed
Norway — 37.8%
Denmark — 27% / 42%
Rates vary by asset, holding period, residency and whether trading is treated as a business.
0% lists usually apply to private investors, not professional traders or local property.
My guess is the Burn effect will hike to 28% which will impact investments, sales of companies and more. Another damaging impact on business and jobs, if he does hike the rate.
Even more tax. This is how the Government really works:
A year ago diesel was 141.65p.
Now it is 195.5p.
And look at the Treasury.
Fuel duty receipts for April to August are already £300 million higher than last year.
They did not need a Budget line for that.
The pump collected it.
On 1 October they will take VAT off electricity and talk about £45 of breathing space.
That cut costs them £850 million.
The diesel duty rise has already more than started filling the hole.
This is how the UK works now.
Tax the movement.
Announce a small bill cut.
Keep the cash machine at the forecourt.
I have paid that duty on work, not on a lifestyle.
When diesel jumps 50p and the state books a surplus on the same litre, you know who the policy is for.
LyndonX retweeted
In five weeks they hit the job twice.
Budget 28 October:
New union access rules 30 October.
They have promised not to raise the income-tax rate.
They have not promised to stop making a UK employee more expensive to keep.
Employer NI is already in the wage bill.
Thresholds stay frozen so pay rises walk people into higher tax without a Budget line.
Then the workplace gets a legal right of entry to recruit.
That is not a wealth tax.
That is a tax on hiring.
I do not need a gilt chart for this.
I need a payroll.
When the cost of one extra person keeps rising and the return on a UK sale keeps falling, you hire somewhere else.
That is the decision already being made.
October just makes it official.
LyndonX retweeted
You fill up here and they tell you it is the world oil price.
It is not.
Same barrel.
Different government.
You pay £1.72.
In the US they are paying about 95p.
The gap is tax, duty and a country that taxes movement then wonders why the job costs more.
I have run vans and a payroll.
When the commute and the delivery both get treated like a cash machine, you do not expand.
You price the next hire and you pause.
They will still say October is about fairness.
Look at the pump first.
That is the policy you are already living.
Cost of living crisis is due to high taxes on everything you buy and everything you earn and own. It’s the Government not supply.
