Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_) header
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Joined April 2012
Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)Photo by Louis Teo (@LouisTSP_)
Louis Teo retweeted
1/ How I infiltrated a Chinese organized crime syndicate that has laundered $1B+ across multiple exploits for Lazarus Group. Posing as a client, I gathered intel that helped action freezes for the Feb 2025 Bybit exploit and attribute illicit activity onchain.
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Louis Teo retweeted
Making this post because more people are interested in how Derive V3 actually is. V3 is basically rebuilding @DeriveXYZ into infrastructure for a much broader financial market. The easiest way to understand it is through these 6 new features: 1. zkVM + Ethereum settlement Execution and risk calculations happen efficiently in the zkVM, while proofs settle on Ethereum. This lets Derive keep exchange-like performance while moving settlement and custody closer to Ethereum. 2. Much stronger portfolio margin Instead of treating every position separately, V3 can understand the risk of your entire portfolio. For example: Long ETH + short calls + perps + BTC options. Some positions hedge others, so margin can be allocated much more efficiently instead of over-collateralizing every trade independently. 3. Cross-currency margin + non-cash borrowing/lending This becomes important if Derive expands beyond USDC + crypto. Imagine holding stocks, ETH, tokenized Treasuries or other assets and using them inside the same portfolio instead of constantly converting everything back into cash collateral. That starts to look much more like a true multi-asset financial account. 4. Risk isolation Different markets can have different risk pools. That matters when you start mixing crypto with assets like: • tokenized stocks • commodities • credit • other RWAs ETH options and private credit obviously shouldn’t be treated as the same type of risk. V3 makes it easier for very different markets to coexist without forcing everything into one risk bucket. 5. One-click vault deployment Builders can package options strategies into much simpler products. Instead of asking users to understand strikes, Greeks and IV, you can give them something like: “Earn yield while being willing to sell ETH at $6,000.” Underneath, it’s still an options strategy. The complexity just gets hidden. 6. Builder infrastructure + SDK Apps can integrate market data, orders, RFQs, vaults, deposits, withdrawals, portfolios and session keys. This is what allows Derive to become infrastructure rather than just a destination. Wallets, trading apps, fintech products or structured-product platforms could all build on top. And this is probably the bigger implication of V3. Derive started as an onchain options exchange. V3 is designed for a world where much more than crypto trades onchain. Once stocks, Treasuries, commodities and other financial assets become tokenized, people will want to: • hedge them • borrow against them • generate yield from them • trade volatility on them • build structured products around them That’s where Derive starts looking less like just an options exchange and more like a financial infrastructure layer for onchain markets. That’s why I think V3 is so exciting.
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Louis Teo retweeted
The most interesting part of @DeriveXYZ V3 has very little to do with people trading directly on Derive. It’s about distribution. Hyperliquid already showed what can happen when an exchange becomes infrastructure for other apps: • Wallets like Phantom and Rabby own the frontend and the user relationship. • Hyperliquid provides the trading infrastructure. • The apps get paid for bringing the flow. And I think this is one of the more interesting ways to think about Derive V3. Derive doesn’t necessarily need every future options trader to become a direct Derive user either. It can become the options engine running underneath other products. Derive already has Builder Codes, so apps can route trades through Derive and monetize the activity they generate. V3 then makes that integration layer much more powerful by exposing the infrastructure builders need to create their own options products and UX. Imagine a wallet showing: “Protect my ETH from falling below $3,000.” The user doesn’t need to know they’re buying a put. Or a yield app showing: “Earn yield while being willing to sell ETH at $6,000.” Underneath, it can package an options strategy. This matters because options have a huge UX problem. Strikes, expiries, implied volatility, Greeks, strategy combinations. Most users don’t want to learn all of that. But maybe the answer isn’t teaching everyone how to use an options chain, it’s hiding the options chain completely. Let builders turn complex options positions into simple products users already understand: • Protection • Yield • Directional bets • Structured payoffs And let Derive handle the liquidity, execution and risk engine underneath. Hyperliquid proved the builder distribution model can work for perps. Derive now has a chance to test what that same model looks like for onchain options.
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Louis Teo retweeted
Wife: what you thinking about. Me: *sheepishly* im doing moon math Wife: haven’t heard that term in years Me: exactly
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Louis Teo retweeted
WAIT WAIT WAIT — SO APPARENTLY IF YOU CAN FALL ASLEEP AFTER COFFEE AND ALWAYS ASSUMED YOUR BODY JUST PROCESSES CAFFEINE DIFFERENTLY THAT'S ACTUALLY A DOCUMENTED ADHD THING?? Yes. And it's one of the most reliable signs.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Falling asleep after coffee is an anecdotal report sometimes linked to ADHD but not a documented or reliable diagnostic sign. Controlled trials find no significant benefit of caffeine over placebo for core ADHD symptoms. rrtampa.com/caffeine-affec… pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10… chadd.org/adhd-weekly/ca… add.org/adhd-and-caffe…
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Louis Teo retweeted
Young people in Singapore are broken because social, cultural and economic factors decades in the making broke them. The Singapore TFR crisis is easily explainable by biology. Females of a species reproduce when resources are available to support population growth. They reproduce less under stress when resources are scarce. The current crop of 25-35 year olds have been psyoped into a permanent scarcity complex, notwithstanding the country’s apparent relative wealth vis other countries. To understand how this happened, we have to study the generations above us, and the prevailing social and economic narrative of the time. In the 90s, Singapore experienced an economic boom. Our parents - the 30 year olds of the time, were sold the narrative that opportunities were aplenty and to elevate your family, you simply needed to have kids and educate them to seize the opportunities. In typical Nanyang / Confucianist fashion, children became the tool of an Asian family’s ascension. My vintage (I’m 32) was certainly brought up that way. Children of white collar workers were min maxed to ascend towards becoming lawyers, doctors, bankers etc. Children of blue collar workers were min maxed to ascend towards white collar workers. Your life isn’t your own - you are simply a conduit for ascension. So rmb you have piano at 4pm, math tuition at 7pm and tennis tomorrow at noon to try for DSA to RI. And thanks to the beauty of the great bell curve grading, it’s not about how well you do. It’s how well you do relative to your peers. Tis unironically insufficient that you succeed, others must fail. In short, it was PvP in an environment where it appeared that there were still significant spoils to the winners. And indeed, the generation before us suffered too at the hands of those before. But as their opportunities for ascension got squeezed, the second pillar of our trauma was introduced. Working mothers. Sure it became harder for one breadwinner to elevate his bloodline but with two breadwinners, they could together achieve an imitation of the Merdeka Dream. The cost? Only the children’s upbringing. Child rearing became commoditised. Mummy was replaced by some combination of Yati, Ahma and an alleged ex-SAP school teacher that guarantees straight As even to the most retarded child. "Sorry - it’s the only way we could achieve the 5Cs. But we do all this so you can live a better life, as long as you study hard." But when it became the children’s turn - our turn, what levers are there left to pull? There are none for all the levers have been pulled to generate our up only economy and real estate, which had the side effect of pulling the ladder up behind the previous generations. To the victors, the spoils were promised but even after the grueling PvP, there were barely any spoils left for the winners. The PvP was all for naught. And so Singaporeans live a relatively good life by global standards - tis true. But not the life they were promised. And so they have difficulty imagining a route to a better life for their children. The people in power fundamentally misunderstand this, as they live in their 8000 square foot GCBs built atop 15,000 square feet of land. You do not need that much space to have sex and raise kids in absolute terms - tis true. But biologically you cannot convince the 30 year old dual income couple paying 50% of their income towards a mortgage for a 700 square foot two bedder that they are 'doing well' and should have more children. Our parents could live in a HDB (1400 sq ft btw they stopped making those), point at a GCB and in good conscience tell themselves and their kids that if their kids follow the golden path, they could live there one day. Today - they cannot. And so because zeitgeist of young Singapore has shifted from optimism to pessimism, the average young woman refuses to reproduce. Social media is a contributor sure - but tis simply biology at work, reproduction happens when the female feels like there is abundance. The anecdotal observation I have made that supports this? Every woman I know in their 20s and 30s that married into money has children and want at least 2. 3 if they live in landed. They have no retarded girl-boss ambitions (even though they might have the capability to) and put the upbringing of their children first. It also explains why female hypergamy in Singapore is in full swing. Marrying a wagecuck, even a high-earning wagecuck, simply allows you to live a glamorous DINK life. If you want to be a mother - which your biology urges you towards - you simply must marry into money. And the only way for a man to have real money is to be born into it, or gamble and win. This has significant knock-on effects for the men which I could rant about another time, but it largely stems from the dual issues of feeling perpetually financially inadequate and the first order distaste of the blatant hypergamy at play. Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk, back to my vacation with my wife and very expensive kids.
Y'all need to accept that young people have different goals and priorities now in the great year of 2026. No amount of crying is gonna change this. Start inventivising older Singaporean women to have babies/one more baby. Stop pearl clutching about single motherhood and denying older women IVF/fertility treatment subsidies. Or just import another million foreigners I guess.
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Claude IS A GENIUS STOCK TRADER Most people have no clue how to use it. Here are 18 prompts to unlock stock trading automation...
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Louis Teo retweeted
Liquidity Floodgates Open As 3 Central Banks Unexpectedly Cut Rates In Under 24 Hours zerohedge.com/economics/liqu…
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Prime Minister Netanyahu: "Moments ago, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, a targeted military operation to roll back the Iranian threat to Israel's very survival. This operation will continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat."
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1/ Some thoughts on the new MAS consultation response that pretty much everyone has been asking me about lately. TLDR: Targeted at closing a loophole exploited by some CEXes, custodians and MMs. Builders/LabsCos are ok but some things to look out for due to broad language.
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How much money you'll make in the next Bull cycle will literally depend on how 'Active' you are in the bear market. This is the rule. The only rule. If you become lazy during bear market, there's no way you'll get rich when everything Pumps. I can't explain more. Just one little advice of cringe sounding words but the realest advice.
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Louis Teo retweeted
🚨 BREAKING 🚨 🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS BOUGHT $10M WORTH OF BITCOIN AND $10M OF ETH ONE DAY BEFORE THE WHITE HOUSE CRYPTO SUMMIT. HE DEFINITELY KNOWS SOMETHING…
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Nothing new here. It’s just The Everything Code playing out. The Fed won’t start QE until they can roll over debts at more sustainable levels – meaning rates have to come down first. Plus, the Fed's got other tools, and they've been working with the Treasury since Covid to smooth out the QT impact through the TGA and RRP. Also, when we talk about “moar cowbell,” we're talking about global liquidity, which can come from the PBoC (for example), private credit creation, rate cuts, a weaker dollar, or lower bond yields. All of these ease financial conditions and support growth. Back in 2017, the Fed was a small player in the liquidity game. In fact, the Fed was doing QT and hiking rates all year, yet risk assets still flourished and Bitcoin did a 23x following the sharp but short 28% correction in January. Bottom line: it’s not just the Fed in this equation, and QE is not a prerequisite to rising liquidity conditions. We’ve seen that play out over the last two years. Finally, Chinese rates are now approaching zero, which means the odds of China QE are rising significantly. Phase One: Rate cuts. Phase Two: Debts get monetized. This is The Everything Code playbook.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Louis Teo retweeted
Everyone gets horny about M2 because they think rising M2 = liquidity = uponly.exe So they must be confounded by the fact that Global M2 is pushing new all-time highs but their shitcoins continue to underperform Whilst rising M2 does appear to support things of actual value (equities, Bitcoin, gold etc.) your shitcoins are purely a phenomenon of speculative excess If you want to see speculative excess, you need surplus dollars to those being spent in the real economy — now look at this chart and tell me what you notice… If you need some help, Global M2 (blue) has been growing at roughly the same rate as Global GDP (white) this cycle (of course, there is lag in this data), ergo where is the surplus currency to funnel into speculative excess? Looking for the reason why this cycle has felt more difficult than previous ones? I believe this is precisely why For all the easiness of financial conditions over the past 2 years, most of the growth in M2 globally is being spent on goods & services You want shitcoins to outperform BTC en-masse, you need Global M2 growth to outpace Global GDP growth — this in turn allows for an excess pool of nominal currency with nowhere to go except speculation (and to a lesser degree consumer inflation & being hoarded) Throw this chart into ChatGPT or Grok and see what they have to say… I write about this phenomenon at length in my Financial Deepening post at @ostium: ostium.io/blog/understanding… (P.S I also believe this explains why since the 1990s we’ve seen historical peaks in equity PE ratios become modern troughs)
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oh my fuck! my ai agent (tokyo) can now use a browser and perform actions autonomously - it can basically do anything - lend/borrow using aave - restake to eigenlayer - register for side events and etc here’s an example of it finding eth denver side events and registering me
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The investing behaviors of young ‘degens’ is far less irrational than you might think… (and why It matters in 2025)
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Louis Teo retweeted
Replying to @KAIZ3NS
really my guy really
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Louis Teo retweeted
TOP TIER AIRDROPS ON SUI!! Suilend, Bluefin, Bucket, potential over $5k each. [Full Guide] 🧵🪂
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$ML has significant upside potential to capture BTC later 2 space, just under $50 million MC it can 50x during short time, 24hr gain is over 60%, buy before it’s too late, holding my bags since 1 year
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