Louis S retweeted
Gavin McKenna's ice time has already exceeded his last game for the #leafs. Still more than 33 minutes remaining.
Louis S retweeted
“The US owes its debt in its own currency” is a comforting lie.
This meme summarizes the inconvenient truth:
Louis S retweeted
Replying to @QuinnHaze
Innovation has difficult to predict timelines. Starlink was much worse
Louis S retweeted
Iranian aggression indiscriminately attacked civilian targets and caused material damage to a water desalination plant following a drone attack.
Louis S retweeted
A great moment to build on. The best strategy forward for Canada has always been, and will always be: Win by helping America win.
#NEWS: Canadian PM Mark Carney Stands with US President Trump on Iran. 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 🇮🇷
“Canada supports the United States acting to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon and to prevent its regime from further threatening international peace and security.” - Carney
Louis S retweeted
Replying to @mattvanswol
this should go down in history as to what the dems stand for
Louis S retweeted
I have many biases based on my experiences.
So I fully admit that I am structurally bearish on credit priced at par.
That view comes from having a front row seat of the GFC.
In 2008, liquidity didn’t “fade.”
It vanished.
Spreads didn’t drift.
They gapped.
When you’ve seen how close the system came to breaking, you stop treating par as safety.
You start treating it as volatility in hiding.
Post-GFC:
• Banks pulled back
• Regulators discouraged >6x EBITDA lending (2013 guidance)
• PE rebounded
Leverage didn’t go away.
It just moved off bank balance sheets.
Risk migrated.
Capital followed.
Discipline didn’t always keep up.
In PE, Fund II requires exits.
In private credit, “no defaults” was often enough.
Loans marked at par.
Spreads tight.
AUM compounding.
Then came evergreen funds.
Illiquid loans.
Quarterly NAV.
Periodic liquidity.
We told ourselves this was product innovation.
In reality, it’s duration mismatch wrapped in yield.
Private wealth flows are pro-cyclical.
They love income when volatility is low.
They demand liquidity when volatility spikes.
And when spreads widen, investors don’t debate underwriting nuance.
They ask:
“Should I stay or should I go?”
If they go:
• Gates get tested
• Marks get tested
• Conviction gets tested
Credit is correlated in stress.
You don’t lauded for being “slightly better” when the whole asset class reprices.
Add in:
• Sponsor relationships that are serial
• Competitive underwriting drift
• Internal marks
• Public GPs optimizing fee growth
In good times, these are features.
In bad times, they’re pressure points.
To be clear:
I don’t think private credit is bad.
The best managers — real underwriters, real restructurers, firms with true trading DNA — will likely gain share in the cleanup.
Dislocations create opportunity.
But today’s scale + liquidity promises + behavioral flows have never been stress-tested together.
Private credit hasn’t faced a true systemic liquidity shock at this size.
And when the cycle turns:
“If I go there will be trouble…
And if I stay it will be double.”
Louis S retweeted
Beautiful tribute from Auston Matthews, Zach Werenski and Matthew Tkachuk -- parading Johnny Gaudreau's Team USA 🇺🇸 sweater around the ice in Milan
Louis S retweeted
KEVIN WARSH TALKING ABOUT BITCOIN
Here is the person who was nominated to be the next chairman of the US Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh talking about Bitcoin
Kevin Warsh, our new Fed Chair said THIS about Bitcoin a while back 😳
xitter.cf/pete_rizzo_/status/201…
Louis S retweeted
Facts have a way of getting in the way when slogans replace math and blame replaces leadership.
1. Bond raters gave my administration one of the strongest credit ratings in NYC history because we governed with discipline, not fantasy economics.
2. I didn't leave a "budget hole." I left over $8 BILLION in reserves. Only someone who can't read a balance sheet would call that a crisis.
3. Every budget passed under my administration was approved by the City Council, including Mayor Mamdani’s City Council comrades. And thank God I was there, because their reflex has always been to spend first and ask questions never.
4. We dragged this city out of COVID and absorbed a $9 BILLION migrant crisis without layoffs, raising taxes, torching our credit or bankrupting working New Yorkers.
And here’s the part socialists hate saying out loud:
“Free” is a lie. Every so-called free program comes with a price tag, and someone always pays for it.
Mayor Mamdani Holds Press Conference to Discuss the Adams' Budget Crisis xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1lDGLBPEq…
Louis S retweeted
Kory Teneycke (Fords campaign manager) hates Poilievre because he didn't select him to lead PP's election team.
Louis S retweeted
A Wake up call!
Canada has seen this movie before. and it did not end well.
In the 1980s, when the United States under Ronald Reagan pivoted decisively toward supply-side economics and pro-growth reform, Canada chose the opposite path. Rather than adapting to the new North American reality, the Liberal Party and Pierre Elliott Trudeau leaned into a narrative that cast the U.S. as the villain and used that resentment to justify doubling down on progressive, interventionist policy. And unfortunately, the Canadian electorate bought it.
The result was not moral victory, but national decline. Of historic proportions!
As the U.S. unleashed investment, cut taxes, and reoriented its economy toward competitiveness and productivity, Canada sank deeper into high-tax, high-spend, anti-growth orthodoxy. By the early 1990s, the country was widely regarded as a fiscal basket case, an honorary member of the Third World in the eyes of global markets and institutions. Sovereignty rhetoric did not protect Canada from the brutal reality of debt, stagnation, and lost credibility.
Global Capital markets are unforgiving, and will not buy the Proformative policy’s and moral virtue signalling that many Canadians are apt to fall for.
At the same time, today’s Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem appears to be following in the footsteps of John Crow, reprising a hardline, backward-looking central banking mindset just as the global regime is shifting under his feet.
Today, the script is being dusted off. Mark Carney and the current Liberal establishment appear intent on replaying the PET playbook: demonize a resurgent, supply-side America; cling to progressive dogma; and subordinate growth to ideological vanity. It is a dangerous delusion. In an era of deglobalization, reindustrialization, and strategic competition, a Canada that chooses post-national lectures over hard-nosed economic alignment will not be admired, it will be marginalized.
The warning is stark: if Canada insists on repeating the 1980s error in a far less forgiving world, it should expect a harsher verdict than “honorary Third World.” This time, there may be no easy way back.
Louis S retweeted
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon calls it for what it is at the Davos World Economic Forum: "What the hell are we doing?”
Dimon might be a surprise presidential candidate in 2028.









































