Here to learn + share perspectives. Portfolio Mgmt/Not Trader. Financial markets humble everyone eventually. Rarely on here But chatty whenever here.

Navigating The Blather-sphere
Joined April 2023
Slowly accumulating $GDX $PHYS $SLV $PSLV while mindful of staying under max portfolio allocation to precious metals. Likely a 2024 story (when Fed pauses), so time is our friend here.
$USD breaking big time. Discussed and sent out a chart yesterday on my timeline. Appeared to be a descending triangle the Oct blow-off. It will take a lot to get back through that overhead resistance level. In the meantime Got Gold and $EEM
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$PFE Study shows Pfizer’s oral tablets for weight loss just as effective as Ozempic injections, but obviously much more convenient. Is this the “AI of obesity”? 42% of US adults are obese (CDC), so not a tiny market… Stock bouncing from two year lows. cnbc.com/2023/05/22/pfizer-w…
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'The only reason why a default is conceivable is the depth of disagreement in the country and so in Congress. So long as these divisions continue, so will the threat of a default.' ft.com/content/05c42080-e3d9…
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'If you find yourself having a strong emotional response to a message, it might be time to pause, take a breath, and consider who would benefit from making you feel that way.' libertypapers.substack.com/p…
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CHECKOUT TIME *Sell in May and Go Away* as AAPL to report 4May while Fed hikes 25bp. With stalling AAPL @ 7% SPY... what could possibly go wrong?
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Ask why anyone shares a recommend or hot tip. Can they front-run options or thinly traded stock? No mention of portfolio max allocations (below a %)? If you don't know who the chump is, then you're the chump.
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Keep It Simple: Hard Landing in hyper-levered world generates multiple second order effects. Simple Approach: Rather than guess exact order of dominos, play defense and preserve capital for fire sales.
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'Japan's broad real-effective exchange rate is 2.3 standard deviations below the average based on values going back a decade, an exclusive — if notorious — club that 98.8% of the time no entrant would really want to be a part of.' bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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