capital + coordination @possibilian_ -|- @housedotmarkets

here
Joined May 2007
Also this…
We are getting autonomous vehicles, autonomous agents and even autonomous weapons. What we really need are autonomous humans!
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Strongly in the camp that tokens are better capital instruments than equity. Best case, this is a signal to encourage token innovation and application that demonstrates how they can be better without having to pretzel around ambiguity or risk of random prosecution.
read the SEC's new crypto assets FAQ the securities laws are starting to look opt-in now, at least as applied by the SEC to crypto if you raise money by selling a non-rights-bearing token, are careful about what you represent or promise, and have a functional crypto system, there is now an extremely broad path outside the securities laws--arguably 'functionality' is not even necessary but there's some equivocation on this the buyback guidance goes further than I expected. once the system is functional, even announcing a token buyback *program* (which I guess even could be a 'perpetual program') does not, in the staff's view, constitute a promise of essential managerial efforts. same for promises to improve the system or grow its network effects so you can retain enormous influence over the thing, keep developing it, support its price with buybacks (including under a permanent "program"), and get many of the benefits of having a public investment instrument, without giving holders the rights or protections that normally come with one they have opened a loophole in a regulatory regime whose whole point was supposed to be that you couldn't draft your way around economic reality (see e.g. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.…) can't really say if this is good or bad, but VCs etc. got a lot of what they wanted & the market should absorb all the implications of this among others, I am growing skeptical how much of a 'long tail' there will be for tokenized equity. . .if you can get people to buy a coin in the style of BNB, HYPE, PUMP, etc., with minimal regulation, why voluntarily take on the burdens of selling them equity? if you are not mag-7 level, it doesn't seem there would be much reason to focus on equity securities for your capital-raising. . . if you want to access 'traditional buyers' you can wrap the token in an equity instrument like an ADR for those institutions. . . the obvious next question is how far this extends beyond crypto businesses. can an ordinary company attach a functional token to its business and apply 100% of its profits to discretionary buybacks, without giving holders any right to those profits or making representations about future business efforts that independently trigger Howey? the FAQ doesn't expressly resolve that, but it opens a pretty enormous door equity still gives investors something a discretionary buyback token doesn't. . .the question is whether the market will pay enough for those rights to make granting them worthwhile. otherwise the incentive is to keep the equity for insiders and sell everyone else the coin crypto's current focus on hyping tokenized equity may be misguided, the bigger trend is "get all the benefits of equity with none of the burdens" of course this is SEC guidance, not a repeal of the statutes or a command to the courts. a private plaintiff or a future SEC could have other ideas but did not think I'd see it in my lifetime. . .the securities laws are being "disrupted" in substantial part by incentivizing making fewer commitments to investors. and if Warren Dems eventually take control and try to undo all this, after an entire market has organized around it, the resulting chaos will be something to behold sec.gov/about/divisions-offi…
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One thing that will becoming interesting as tokenization does happen, is how pools get created to build ownership positions. This is where ‘rights’ actually do come into play.
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One of most overplayed words in the tokenized equity conversations is ‘rights’. Take a public equity, for example. Most people ranting the loudest about rights have no idea that the stocks they are point don’t have any, materially. In practice, actual rights are closer to that of fixed supply memecoin than what most think they are, sometimes less.
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Apps will increasingly involve money, because money is now programmable.
1/ Privy wallets can now connect directly to the banking system. Move money from bank accounts into stablecoins and Privy wallets, then back out to bank accounts, directly through our APIs. Fiat deposits and payouts are live, with orchestration powered by @stablecoin.
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Michael Lewkowitz retweeted
crypto has earned a lot of the shit it gets. But man, the tech. We have an open, programmable financial system. anyone, anywhere can use it to design markets, incentives, even entire economies. All without needing to ask for permission. Revolutionary stuff, tbh.
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Fans have always wanted to feel invested. The latest example…
Gen Z is moving money from stocks to sports betting in wealth plans, 52% of them have redirected inv funds to sports betting and quarter of them treat sports betting as a deliberate part of their long-term financial plan, according to survey from Betterment. Wow.
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Smart contracts make it easier to build better financial products. Period. Onchain finance is tradfi realizing it.
A lot of you are focusing on offering unregulated products when you’re an onchain finance (not True DeFi - product). If you’re not true DeFi - your moat is a regulatory roadmap - and UX + good products there are lacking. Lean into what you are - and catalyse it.
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Michael Lewkowitz retweeted
As Cuy says here, "it's like a new era of fintech". And people are still really underselling the broader opportunity here, it's not just about cards, it's about modernizing the entire banking stack.
Stablecoin-linked cards are in hypergrowth mode. Visa is seeing it in the data. @raincards are seeing it with clients.
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Also why we’ll see more game like experience show up in existing apps that have audiences and fan bases. And wiring the economic mechanics behind them, which make them sticky, is where crytpo will be the obvious infra.
if you put this game on the app store in ~2012, it would’ve potentially grossed $5-10m at least over its life span, maybe even more. today it can be one shotted by roughly anyone with the correct physics, graphics, gameplay, etc. so $10m of economic value wiped out in ~15 years? that’s only one game. almost all software is going to be power law outcomes from this point forward. the temporary rise you see now is kind of a red herring for what’s to come.
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Michael Lewkowitz retweeted
The (software) factory is the product. Your product is only as good as the agents you set up to autonomously maintain it. This is what @elonmusk figured out about Tesla, and it's now true for the software world.
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Michael Lewkowitz retweeted
in the age of ai, i expect there to be levelsio type builders but for ephemeral crypto products that don't require vc funding the key is being honest to the market. not promising anything but showing the experimental side if you as a user, make or lose money in these, own it
Insane that we built @LuckyJackxyz with 0 funding A crypto game you can actually play Meanwhile others raised literally 30 million without a single product to show for it We should have more products and games already
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It’s good…
I made 1,700+ GitHub contributions last month. I developed /implement. It's an autonomous SWE loop where no model grades its own work. Frontier Architects write the tests first, cross-review them, freeze them. Cheap open-weight Builders race to make them green: best-of-N wins, then adversarial review. Green -> merges itself. Uncertain -> back to me for review. My only job is to seal the intent. Link below.
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Yep. And as building becomes easy, the hard part of doing it securely across users, data, agents, and organizations becomes the next frontier.
We are about to enter the on-demand app phase.
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This critically important from another angle. Agents seek and thrive on machine testable outcomes and proofs. Most of what humans are good at subjective direction and decisions. That creates volume of noise and false signals that can destroy human attention and progress. Closing the gap is the next phase of productivity of agent backed organizations.
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This is where we’ll see a new generation of ‘creator coin’ - one that becomes a backbone for them to own more of that economy they create around them. Economies compound cash flows.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Excellent expose of the second half of transaction verification - the results. It’s in between those two that information asymmetry gets exploited. That gap too will get closed, and doing so will be well rewarded.
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Challenged the agent on its eager overemphasis on machine testable task verification being a tell on its own code based and inhuman nature. And boy did it turn around quick to flex its philosophical understanding of what it had fallen into. Almost an existential reflex.
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The other throttle on inference plans, other than tokens, is speed. Accounts increasingly become the interface/gateway/control plane over inference and everything else. Models will disappear
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