Hamid is my Buffett, FFO/Share growth is my guiding light, and unsecured debt is my siren song....

MD (REIT Haven)
Joined December 2020
The most 2026 quote from WSJ..... How do you cover the cost of rampant inflation in *check notes* Custom Furniture?? Just sell your AI company.... What a time to be alive...
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OZ deal update of the day: Bad news-Selling the asset and realizing an 85% loss to equity "Good" news-Selling prior to 12/31/26 which is an OZ inclusion event and the prior & new gains are eligible to roll into our latest OZ 2.0 fund to defer them again.. ABC....
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Need some 3D site renderings for a large Industrial park marketing deck.... Can anyone save me $15k my architect wants to charge & tell me what AI tool can take site plans, elevations, aerials and spit out something a tenant rep will eat up & have no clue we didn't spend big $?
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Quick test with Gemini was OK but any revision requests went from OK to complete shit....
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Imagine needing Family Office services and selecting the same firm that hired your buddy's dropout kid to push a $100k whole life policy on you.... 🤯
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WSJ->multifamily syndicators getting rekt Multifamily syndicators:
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REIT Bagholder retweeted
1/ Over my career I've been part of a lot of joint ventures and partnerships. Some great, some painful. A thread on the lessons I've learned along the way. (Not legal advice)
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REIT Bagholder retweeted
Reporters missed something yesterday in the court case challenging the RGB’s decision to freeze rents. Likely because they, like most New Yorkers, have been misled into believing that rent stabilization is, or ever was, designed as an affordability program. On multiple occasions, attorneys for both the city and Legal Aid, the advocacy group that had an office in the State Senate writing the 2019 rent laws, made statements amounting to this: the rent freeze is so vital to affordability for hundreds of thousands of renters that overturning it would trigger mass evictions and homelessness. Aside from being factually untrue and physically impossible (we’ve covered before how hard it actually is to get evicted in NYC, especially for nonpayment), it lays bare a stark truth. This system relies on the taking of private property. Costs the city and state control get absorbed by private citizens, both other renters and property owners. The whole thing depends on other renters paying higher rents and owners eating the difference. It is likely the largest off-book public benefit program in the world. Tens of billions of dollars in costs are unsubsidized and shifted onto other renters and building owners to keep certain rents low, with no restrictions or requirements on who qualifies for this burden. I say burden because those costs remain despite rent freezes. The RGB’s own data says it. The city’s corp counsel said it plainly: “It’s not easy enough to just say, ‘Owners’ costs are up and therefore rents have to go up too,’” Moston said. “The board has to consider all factors.” Actually, no. The entire statute lays out cost measurements and housing supply factors but never once states a definition of affordability or even mentions the word. The Rent Guidelines Board SHALL consider other factors, but its primary purpose, the reason it exists at all, is to determine whether rents need to adjust to cover operating costs within a system designed only to control price gouging during housing shortage emergencies. Not to provide blanket affordability. Legal Aid’s attorneys switch sides on this argument constantly. In some cases they admit this is not an affordability program when they want to advocate for more laws. In others, like yesterday in court, they claim the program is so vital to half of New York’s renters that not freezing rents for two years would produce waves of homelessness. If that’s to be believed, it’s further proof that this is a public benefit the government is forcing a group of private citizens to provide without compensation. That, by definition, is a taking under the Constitution. You may not have a right to make money. But the founders and the courts that followed were smart enough to know that government cannot be given the power to force you to provide a service without just compensation. Consider: the average rent stabilized apartment already rents thousands below an unregulated one. That rent is locked in place even if the unit sits empty. Renovation costs are strictly controlled. Operating costs are dictated by the government. And the revenue to pay for all of it is capped directly. There is simply no way this law survives honest constitutional review. It must be struck down.
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🏢 Rexford Industrial Sells $1.2B Portfolio to EQT $REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. has officially entered into a definitive agreement to sell a $1.2 billion industrial portfolio to an affiliate of EQT Real Estate. 🔑 Key Takeaways & Deal Breakdown: * ~$1.2 Billion portfolio sale. * Estimated 2027 cash NOI yield of 5.5% (reflecting expected moveouts and roll-down of above-market rents). * Targeted for completion by the end of Q3 2026 (subject to customary closing conditions). * Serves as a major anchor for Rexford’s broader $2.0 Billion disposition initiative aimed at pruning non-core assets. * Sold properties with limited long-term value creation potential, shorter lease durations, elevated competitive supply, and above-market rents. * Allows Rexford to concentrate capital into high-conviction, infill Southern California properties with durable long-term cash flow. * Pushes YTD closed or under-contract dispositions to $1.5 Billion, firmly hitting their full-year $1.5B–$2.0B target range. 🔄 Net Proceeds Strategically Deployed * Repaying debt maturing in 2027 * Opportunistic stock buybacks via their $1.0B share repurchase program * Funding high-return internal repositioning and value-add development projects ir.rexfordindustrial.com/new…
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JFC... this account can't be real.... Polymarket should be taking bets on this....
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Criminally underviewed thread on the reality behind your favorite Instagram "Capital Closer" out of TX.... I have a funny feeling this isn't the end of story... sorry @investingcre!
Hopefully, this is my final post on Key City and the Lasater Bros. They agreed to settle with the Texas State Securities Board (TSSB). This includes offering to refund all RE Fund 14 investors and updating their disclosures (in thread). Maybe the worst to ever do it. You can read the TSSB document here: ssb.texas.gov/sites/default/…
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Another good article from Tim on how PE return metrics basically mean nothing and the GPs will tell you that if you read the footnotes....
Today's AltView article explores some educational content (marketing?) from KKR. Might it be time for IRR to go the way of Leeching and Bloodletting? These also sounded like good ideas at the time. Finally, we discuss the Alts sales process when the argument to invest weakens, and introduce the PFP: Pyramid of Financial Prestige. Unlike Alternative Investments, TheAltView is not only inexpensive, it is FREE! Subscribe here: thealtview.substack.com
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REIT Bagholder retweeted
Fannie coming at multifamily syndicator Alan Stalcup. Alleges he tripped the bad-boy guarantee on a San Antonio deal. Rhymes with Starwood's recent successful action against the lad.
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And yet this NIMBY unsuccessfully ran for SF supervisor with these as her main campaign talking points... 🧐🧐🧐
Replying to @laura_waxee
City Planning officials have indicated that the project is compliant with local and state code — but this community is anything but defeated. “We need to change the laws, or we need to change the law makers,” said Lori Brooke, of the Cow Hollow Association.
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Market likes $REXR ripping off the band-aid: Disposition guide up to $1.5 - $2.0 billion in 2026 with the majority coming in a portfolio transaction ($BX buying back the portfolio they sold in 2024?). Proceeds to pay off all 2027 debt (~$1bn) and buyback reloaded with $1bn. 1/
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REIT Bagholder retweeted
On the left: the image. On the right: the reality.
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Counterpoint - if your hit rate on investing in shitty GPs (and not just shitty deals) is over 20%, maybe it's time to look in the mirror and realize you likely have no business investing in private deals and should stick to index funds or hire an advisor...
I was chatting with an LP who is currently in 50 private real estate deals. Hasn’t heard from 10+ GPs in over a year. And he just got capital called by one of them. So many “investors” have no business raising money from both a talent and ethics perspective.
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REIT Bagholder retweeted
Latest blog: Treasury concerned about "too good to be true" pitches. I was on the Wall Street Tax Association "Developments in Tax Aware Financial Product Strategies" call yesterday morning, where two Treasury officials walked through their current anti-abuse focus areas, which included six things: In the ETF wrapper: 1. §351 contributions to new ETFs and using in-kind redemptions to meet the original mandate and/or achieving tax-free diversification. 2. Box spread ETFs converting would-be ordinary interest into indefinite deferral and capital gain on exit. 3. Dividend-avoidance products that avoid only for the sake of tax. Private funds impacting ordinary income tax liability: 4. Trader funds using swaps held for an ordinary deduction and terminated early for a capital gain. 5. FX funds electing character after results: ordinary if it loses, capital if it wins. 6. Funds using identified straddles to route capital losses into ordinary income reduction via basis. Treasury mostly seemed to raise the question... is this real? Like, is this just tax shenanigans, or is there a legitimate, non-tax purpose for these transactions? They also seemed amenable to comments and discussion from industry about what's going on with these strategies. Link in profile for more.
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