Saturday's 4-fold isn't built yet, and that's on purpose. There are two legs on the board so far. League One and League Two clubs are playing midweek, and we don't put a pick out until both teams have played their last game before it. Their legs join the board once the numbers are final. Anyone selling you a full Saturday acca on a Wednesday morning is guessing at half of it. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Wrexham on Saturday had won 1 of their last 5, and 1 of 5 at home. Off the form guide I'd never have put them on a slip. The model doesn't read the form guide. It rates team strength, scored them 7.3 out of 10 and gave them about a 55% chance. They beat Preston 4-1, 1.73 when it went out. Tonight's 4-fold is four legs, all 7:45.

Saturday's 12:30 was Boro v Cardiff. We had Boro on the board at 7.1, and it finished 2-2. Anyone with that on their acca was done by half two and sat through the 3pm games with nothing riding on them. That's why our 4-fold leaves out anything before 3pm, whatever it scores. The early kick-off is the leg that ruins your afternoon. Tonight's is four legs, all 7:45. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Nothing new on the board this morning, so all eyes on tonight. Tuesday's 4-fold is four legs, all 7:45pm, about 1 in 7 (14%). Huddersfield to beat Peterborough is the free leg and the other three are behind the 14-day trial. Saturday's only got one 3pm leg so far. Tonight's results make the numbers final for a lot of Saturday's games, so more legs can join from tomorrow morning. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Midweek 4-fold tonight. Four legs, every one kicks off at 7:45, about 1 in 7 (14%) to land. Free leg: Huddersfield to beat Peterborough. They win this about 3 times in 5 on our numbers (60%), 7.5 out of 10, 1.56 when it went out. 3rd v 19th and they've won 4 of the last 5 meetings. Three more legs on the board, 14 days free.

Most people build an acca backwards. Pick the return you fancy, then keep adding 1.50 shots till the slip says £100. Ours never looks at the price. It scores every game out of 10 on team strength, only a 7.0 or better makes the board, and the acca is the top four on one day. The return is whatever it is. Odds first or teams first, how do you pick your legs? lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Every Saturday someone posts a 7-fold of seven "bankers" and wonders why it never lands. Give every leg a 60% chance. Four of them together land about 1 in 8. Seven land about 1 in 36, because each leg you add roughly halves it. That's why our acca stops at four and leaves out the 12:30, the early kick-off that ruins your afternoon. What's the most legs you've ever landed?

Saturday's 4-fold: 3 from 4. Salford 2-1 Crawley ✅ Stockport 1-0 Bromley ✅ Wrexham 4-1 Preston ✅ Southampton 0-0 Bolton ❌ One Southampton goal off landing a 1 in 6 (17%) shot. I'd back the same four again. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Two Saturdays, two 4-folds, both 3 from 4. 10th Oct: Halifax 4-1, Worthing 5-0, Stockport 3-1. Then Leicester lost 3-1 at home to Peterborough. 17th Oct: Salford 2-1, Stockport 1-0, Wrexham 4-1. Then Southampton drew 0-0 with Bolton. That's 0 landed from 2. In testing our top four came in about 1 Saturday in 5, so you'll see runs like this, and they still sting. Peterborough again Tuesday night. Huddersfield have them at home and that's our free leg. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%).

Nothing new joined the board this morning, so Tuesday night's 4-fold is still the one. Four legs, all 7:45pm, about 1 in 7 (14%). Saturday's only got one 3pm leg so far. Loads of teams play Tuesday night, and once those results are in their numbers go final, so more Saturday legs can land from Wednesday morning. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Tuesday night's 4-fold is ready. All four legs kick off at 7:45pm, so there's no early game to sink it before you've had your tea. About 1 in 7 (14%). Free leg: Huddersfield at home to Peterborough. 60% win chance, 7.5/10, 1.56 when it went out. They score 1.8 a game and let in 0.9. The other 3 legs are behind the trial, 14 days free. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%).

Saturday as a 5-fold would've meant adding Sheff Wednesday. Fifth on our list at 7.0/10, 1.68, and they battered AFC Wimbledon 5-0. Still a loser. Southampton's 0-0 kills it either way, and the extra leg takes your chance from about 1 in 6 to about 1 in 11. That's why I stop at four. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Saturday's 12:30 pick was Middlesbrough at home to Cardiff. 7.1 out of 10, 61% to win, 1.59. It finished 2-2. Put that in an acca and you're done before the 3pm games have kicked off. That's why my 4-fold never takes an early game, whatever it scores. Ours still lost on Southampton's 0-0, but at least I had something to watch at 3. Do you leave the early game out, or is it the leg you can't resist?

Tuesday's 4-fold: 4 legs, all 7:45pm, about 1 in 7 (14%). Free leg: Huddersfield to beat Peterborough, 7:45pm. 60% win chance, 7.5/10, 1.56. They're 3rd, Posh are 19th, and they've won 4 of the last 5 meetings. 3 more legs locked, 14 days free. 2 in 3 of our picks win (67%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Saturday's 4-fold went 3 from 4. Salford, Stockport and Wrexham all won, then Southampton drew 0-0 with Bolton. That's 0 from 2 on 4-folds so far, and 52 from 78 (67%) on the picks. Next Saturday's board already has two picks on it. One's a 12:30, so it won't go near the 4-fold. The rest land the morning their numbers are final.

Every leg in today's 4-fold was a home side. Last Saturday's was the same, four from four at home. The ratings pick the legs and price plays no part, so the home sides keep coming out on top. Do you stick an away team in your acca to bump the odds, or keep it at home? lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Most acca insurance offers I see need five legs or more. That's the bookie paying you to add a leg. Today's 4-fold is about 1 in 6 (17%). Stick a fifth leg on at 60% and it drops to about 1 in 10. And if one leg goes, what you get back is usually a free bet. I'd rather keep it at four, all 3pm, with no safety net. Has acca insurance ever actually paid out for you?

Today's 4-fold has four legs and every one of them kicks off at 3pm. I make it about 1 in 6 (17%). Free leg is Salford at home to Crawley. The gap between the two sides is the biggest on today's board on our ratings. 61% to win, 7.9 out of 10, 1.42 when it went out. Last Saturday's went 3 from 4. I'm hoping the fourth turns up this time. Other three legs are on the board, 14 days free. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Friday night, so here's tomorrow's 4-fold one last time. Four legs, all 3pm, about 1 in 6 (17%). All four are home sides this week. The ratings didn't fancy a single away team on the whole Saturday board. Free leg is Salford at home to Crawley. Unbeaten in five, 61% to win on our numbers, 7.9 out of 10, 1.42 when it went out. Other three are on the board, 14 days free. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Most accas I see get built backwards. Someone wants £10 to return £100, so they keep adding legs until the slip says that. That's how a 12:30 and the Friday night game end up on it. The slip pays what you wanted and almost never lands. Ours goes the other way. Take the four strongest legs at 3pm, then see what it pays. Saturday's is about 1 in 6 (17%), and I'd rather have that than a 9-fold that looked good on the slip. Do you build to a price or to the legs?