@KitMerker

Software Executive and Investor, mostly focused on infra software enabling AI, cloud, data, security, and reliability.

Seattle, WA, USA
Joined June 2011
Kit Merker retweeted
Robert, you can’t be this daft. How many pensioners in the country make over $1 million a year? Maybe 2 or 3 in the state? You think they’re going after that bag?? OR, and I know this sounds crazy, they’re planning on rolling it out to everybody. Critical thinking is extinct
This is such bullshit. Unless a teacher is making a million dollars a year in pension - and none of them are - they’re not paying the millionaires tax. The actual millionaires and billionaires are trying to mislead voters into repealing a tax on the rich.
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Kit Merker retweeted
The marriage penalty isn’t the only disastrous flaw in Washington State’s incoming 9.9% income tax (SB 6346). The legislation is drafted so poorly that it creates an absurd tax cliff—triggering an effective marginal tax rate of over 1,300% on people who realize just a tiny amount of taxable capital gains. While modeling WA’s 9.9% tax on income over $1M (scheduled for 2028), a bizarre edge case emerged in how the new income tax interacts with Washington’s existing capital gains excise tax. Here is the breakdown: The Background The Existing Capital Gains Tax (RCW 82.87): 0% on the first ~$278k of long-term capital gains (standard deduction, indexed for inflation). 7% on gains above ~$278k up to $1M. 9.9% on gains above $1M. The Incoming Income Tax (SB 6346): 9.9% on Washington taxable income exceeding $1M (derived from federal AGI). To prevent double-taxing capital gains, the bill establishes an adjustment mechanism in Section 302: Sec. 302(1): First, you deduct all long-term capital gains from your federal AGI. Sec. 302(3): Then, you add back the WA-taxed gain plus the standard deduction (~$278k) to fold capital gains back into your Washington base income. The Statutory Glitch: The critical drafting flaw lies in the final sentence of Section 302(3): "This subsection (3) applies only to taxpayers owing tax under chapter 82.87 RCW for that taxable year." Because the add-back only triggers if you actually owe capital gains tax, it creates two wildly divergent outcomes for high earners: Gain under ~$278k: You owe $0 under RCW 82.87. Because you owe no capital gains tax, Sec. 302(3) does not apply. Your capital gains were stripped out in Sec. 302(1) and never added back. Your capital gains completely escape the 9.9% income tax. Gain $1 over ~$278k: You now owe capital gains tax under RCW 82.87. Suddenly, Sec. 302(3) triggers. The statute forces you to add back the taxable gain plus the entire ~$278k standard deduction. The whole gain is thrown back into your income tax base. The Math: A $27,600 Penalty for Making $2,000 More Consider a single filer earning $1.2M in W-2 wages (using the ~$278k deduction threshold): Scenario A: $277,000 Long-Term Gain Capital Gains Tax (RCW 82.87): $0 (under the deduction) Sec. 302(3) Add-Back: Does not apply. Income Tax Base: $1,200,000 (gains remain fully excluded) Taxable Income over $1M: $200,000 9.9% WA Income Tax: $19,800 Total WA Tax: $19,800 Scenario B: $279,000 Long-Term Gain (Just $2,000 more) Capital Gains Tax (RCW 82.87): 7% on $1,000 = $70 Sec. 302(3) Add-Back: Triggers because $70 of tax is owed. The full $279,000 is added back into base income. Income Tax Base: $1,479,000 Taxable Income over $1M: $479,000 9.9% WA Income Tax: $47,421 Total WA Tax: $47,491 The Takeaway By realizing an extra $2,000 in capital gains, this taxpayer’s total state tax liability jumps by $27,691 ($70 in capital gains tax + $27,621 in new income tax). That is an effective marginal tax rate of 1,384% on that $2,000. This cliff affects anyone whose other income (wages, business income, RSUs) already puts them over $1M—such as dual-income tech households or startup employees experiencing a liquidity event. Crossing the capital gains exemption line by even a single dollar unexpectedly exposes the first ~$278,000 of previously exempt gains to a 9.9% tax penalty. Whether this was an intentional trap or simply careless drafting, it underscores how poorly structured this legislation really is.
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In Spokane, government is making fire victims pay for crackpipes and heroin needles for homeless drug addicts, but they refuse to waive demolition fees for fire victims, forcing them to pay for permits to clear their own burned out properties. Don't let communists run anything.
The city of Spokane is refusing to waive demolition permit fees for fire victims. After losing EVERYTHING, victims have to pay $500 to cap the water and sewer lines under their burned out house. What the fuck is the point of paying taxes? Just like California, Washington uses taxpayer dollars to buy crackpipes and heroin needles for unemployed homeless drug zombies, but when you, the working class taxpayer, lose everything you have through no fault of your own, you still have to pay for this? These city leaders are so fucking petty they'll still force fire victims to pay $35 for permission to demolish their own destroyed home. Why? You couldn't just waive it? For $35? Yeah, it's not a lot of money, but that actually makes it worse...forcing a fire victim to cough up a meager sum that in NO way actually funds the process in any meaningful way just shows that you are doing it out of spite. Just a nice little "fuck you" to the peasants. Additionally, the state of Washington is forcing fire victims to pay sales tax to replace the items they lost in the fire. Again...why? The state was never factoring in that revenue...it never existed on the balance sheet BUT for the fire. Government is collecting a windfall from people's LOSSES. There's literally zero need to collect taxes on shit that people already owned. Back during the mid 90's floods, the state legislature passed a sales tax exemption for victims replacing their stuff. If they don't do this in their next leg session, they all need to go. The one thing WA did is cut property tax on their burned out homes, which is the absolute least they could do. You assholes never maintain your forests, everybody lost everything, their pets burned alive, and now you're going tack on an extra 9.1% to the cost of rebuilding their lives...for what? Not to mention the fact that a couch today costs probably 2x as much as when they first bought the one they just lost. I fucking hate these people, man.
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Stopppp, we're blushing ☺️ @G2dotcom's Fall 2026 reports are in, and Chainguard was recognized in SEVEN different categories. We'll leave it to our customers to tell you why 👇
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Kit Merker retweeted
Had dinner with a tier 1 VC in NYC and we were chatting about Bending Spoons and he goes "The Bending Spoons guys are PE guys, they value businesses on EBITDA. In VC we value businesses on VIBEITDA, so its quite different" (posted with permission)
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"With Chainguard Libraries, I'm looking forward to being able to sleep at night and not have to worry about the ongoing malware supply chain attacks." — Kevin Fuller, CISO at @PropioLS Propio trusts Chainguard to prevent AI-driven supply chain attacks (and deliver better sleep 💤). Here's their story: chainguard.dev/customers/pro…
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Hey @ramp and @toast — why don’t you guys work it out to make expensing meals seamless?
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Kit Merker retweeted
DocuSign founder Court Lorenzini warns the Democrats' "Millionaire Tax" is coming for the income of ALL WASHINGTONIANS within 2 years "Regardless of your political affiliation, I encourage all WA State voters to fully understand the issue as you cast your ballots. This is being billed as a 'millionaires tax', but make no mistake - this is a state income tax that will be expanded to everyone if it's allowed to go into effect. EVERYONE will be subject to this income tax within a year or two if it isn't repealed. WA State has historically made up for the lack of a Statewide income tax by taxing our consumption (gas taxes, property taxes, sales taxes, B&O taxes, etc). NONE of those taxes are going down or being reduced - I-645 is just MORE taxes for everyone. We have an opportunity to repeal the WA State Income Tax Vote YES on I-645 to stop the Income Tax"
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Does the Seattle Times understand that the legislature explicitly removed the safeguards on public pension retirement funds AND benefits to make them subject to the unconstitutional income tax? More specifically this was repeated 11 times in the unconstitutional income tax law targeting each of 11 public pension retirement income systems. The tax is coming for your retirement money and the Seattle Times is not only OK with that, they endorse it…. Shame on you Seattle Times Vote Yes I-645 Repeal the unconstitutional income tax and protect your retirement income. seattletimes.com/opinion/edi…
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The income tax is a foot in the door to tax all incomes, not just income after one million.
The Seattle Times says No on I-645. Fine. But the editorial is loose on the mechanics: 1. It's not a "highest wage earners" tax. ESSB 6346 reaches Washington income of every kind: wages, pass-through income from LLCs and S corps, RSUs, investment income. Founders and business owners, not just W-2 executives. 2. It's 9.9% on income above the $1M standard deduction, not on "incomes over $1 million." $1.2M of income = $19,800 of tax, not $118,800. 3. The $1M is per household, married or single. A two-earner couple hits it at $500K each. It's already a half-millionaire tax. 4. The $1M is a statutory number, not a constitutional one. Any future legislature can cut it or delete it by simple majority. Once the courts bless the tax, the deduction is one bill away from zero. Full mechanics: thestartuplawblog.com/washin… seattletimes.com/opinion/edi…
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Kit Merker retweeted
Add this to the list of lazy reasons to vote against an initiative. I can rip this lazy argument apart from a few different angles… 1) It will affect everyone soon. Why else is the DOR building a huge enforcement division and why did they refuse to put in language that the tax won’t expand in both rate and income level? 2) People will leave. It’s already happening. 3) It’s unconstitutional. 4) If you think keeping the income tax will somehow fix Washington’s out of control spending, you are delusional.
Replying to @JoeKennewick
Taxing millionaires is “radical”? LMFAO
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Kit Merker retweeted
In Washington State, there will be three initiatives on the ballot on November 3rd. None of these are “MAGA” initiatives. That’s just a lazy way for opponents to talk negatively about the initiatives. What are the initiatives? I-645 - Repeals the income tax. Our state spending is absolutely out of control. We don’t need an income tax. We need to cut spending. I-638 - There are biological men and boys competing against girls in sports. That’s wrong. This stops it. I-001 - Parents rights. Olympia thinks that they know how to parent your kids better than you. Don’t let them. These three are common sense initiatives that push back against radical policies in Washington. I expect there to be a lot of support for them on both sides of the aisle. I also expect these to be challenged in court which makes voting for good Supreme Court candidates crucial. Those are: Dave Larson Davis Stevens Todd Bloom Scott Edwards Sean O’Donnell
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Kit Merker retweeted
China published the most uncomfortable paper on vibe coding. ETH Zurich tested 100 developers in a controlled, commercial-grade vibe coding environment to see who actually succeeds. The findings are brutal. The researchers tracked computer science achievement, written communication skills, and general cognitive reasoning. They wanted to see what actually predicts vibe coding proficiency when you never touch a line of source code yourself. Two major predictors emerged. Written communication proficiency mattered. The ability to structure thoughts and articulate intent unambiguously in text directly impacts what the AI builds. But that wasn't even the main takeaway. Computer science achievement was a massive, dominant predictor of success. Even when researchers controlled for general intelligence and reasoning skills, CS background still heavily dictated who built working software and who completely crashed. In fact, CS knowledge contributed roughly twice the unique predictive variance of writing skills alone. Why? Because vibe coding isn't about writing code. It’s about debugging logic. When an AI agent builds a complex application and quietly breaks an edge case under the hood, a non-technical user looks at the glowing UI and assumes it works. They don't know what questions to ask. They don't know what logic to challenge. They lack the mental models to recognize architectural catastrophe. You can prompt your way past syntax. You cannot prompt your way past a fundamental lack of engineering intuition. The hype told us that learning to code is dead because language is all you need. The data just proved the opposite. To truly master the vibe, you still need to understand how the machine thinks.
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if someone suggests a RACI chart can I call them racist?
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Human relationships are the new moat
Kind of agree if you’re a tech company targeting other tech companies. Moats died in 2026. A determined competitor can clone your whole app in days. And a bored engineer employed by your customer can vibe code a replacement, or simply ask AI to switch to a cheaper competitor in a few prompts. And I think a lot of us are just treading water while figuring this out. You basically cannot target tech clients from 2026 onwards.
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