Thanks @Polymarket for the drip 🙏

Geopolitics Combos are now available on Polymarket This is much more interesting than sports combos, since Geopolitics Combos allow you to build more complex strategies across different markets. polymarket.com/combos/geopol…

Polymarket secondary-market opportunity is now available through OwnIt Markets (A2DAO) at an implied $11.65B valuation Minimum investment: $2,000 USDC. The offering outlines separate scenarios for a potential IPO and token launch, with different terms. This is a third-party secondary-market opportunity, not an official Polymarket offering.

Lighter Live Points Have you ever wondered why you receive a different number of Lighter Live Points for the same trading volume in the same market? One of the main reasons appears to be premium accounts. Live Points seem to be awarded more heavily for trades involving premium accounts, regardless of whether the premium user is the maker or the taker. This makes sense, since these trades generate trading fees. You earn the most Live Points when both the maker and the taker have premium accounts. If only one side has a premium account, you receive fewer points. If both accounts are standard, you seem to get very few points or none at all. I haven’t fully verified the Standard + Standard scenario yet. Naturally, account type isn't the only factor that affects Live Points. The market you trade in also has a major impact on how many Live Points you earn. I won’t reveal everything at once. I’ll gradually share more of my observations on farming Lighter points. If you haven’t started trading on Lighter RH yet: robinhoodchain.lighter.xyz/?…

Lighter: Week 9 My cost per point this week was around $3,3. I haven’t been farming very actively this week, so I didn’t earn that many points. This week’s boosts: > The hedge boost continues, with a change in direction for Pre-IPO and stock markets > Stocks with upcoming earnings announcements will receive a points boost > Referred traders receive a 10% weekly points bonus I’ll be putting together a detailed post soon covering my key observations about farming Lighter points. If you haven't started farming Lighter RH yet, it's not too late: robinhoodchain.lighter.xyz/?…

My friend called an 8x and I didn’t listen 😭😭😭 In early March, he sent me this, saying that 5 cents was way too low for this market and that the probability of @predictdotfun reaching a $1B+ FDV was significantly underestimated. Result: 5¢ → 43¢

$1M+ Polymarket bet that has nothing to do with sports @aenews has put over $1M on NO in the market: "Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?" I haven’t seen a non-sports position this large on Polymarket in a while.

Polymarket TOKEN2049 I didn't attend the event myself, but I know a guy from the CIS region who did and wrote a post about it on his Telegram channel. I highlighted the key points concerning Polymarket: > According to the author, POLY could combine some of the functionality of a stock and a crypto token, potentially launching both on-chain and on an exchange. > There is a major focus on the partnership with ICE, the owner of the NYSE. The goal is to create a significant tool for institutional investors. > They are reportedly close to becoming a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), which would allow Polymarket to work with brokers and expand into futures, options, forex, and other markets. > Shayne noted that their long-term growth isn't tied to the sports market. He sees Polymarket becoming a serious tool for institutional and professional users. Author's final takeaway: "I certainly wouldn't expect POLY to launch in the coming months, or perhaps even within the next year. There is still a lot of work to be done around liquidity, the development of new business areas, and regulatory compliance" Thanks to @kxazar for providing the information.

Can copy trading on Polymarket actually be profitable? I found an account that copy trades a bot on BTC Up/Down markets. Using this strategy, it has already made around $2,500 in profit. If you want to try the same strategy, here’s a setup with pre-tested parameters. If you’re a beginner, I’d recommend starting with the Safe preset: gravia.trade/copy-trading?ca… And here’s the trader account that made the $2.5K: gravia.trade/traders?address…

Good Time for LP Rewards on Polymarket A few months ago, I wrote a guide for @PolyScalping on how to farm LP Rewards. Now that the hype around LP Rewards farming has died down, there’s much less competition on the platform. Many people underestimate this opportunity. A friend of mine built a bot that automatically farms LP Rewards, and he’s been consistently earning around $100–$200 per day. Also, regardless of how you feel about the Polymarket airdrop, there’s still a chance that LP Rewards farmers could receive an additional reward in the future. Just don’t farm Polymarket solely for the airdrop. Focus on strategies that are profitable on their own, and treat any future airdrop as an added bonus.

Are airdrops dead? Total airdrop distribution per year: 2021: $3.91b 2022: $7.56b 2023: $4.56b 2024: $20b 2025: $4.5b 2026: $1.056b Airdrop farming clearly isn’t thriving right now, but I don’t think it’s dead. It’s important to remember that most of 2026 was a bear market, and the market only started to recover later in the summer. This is likely one of the main reasons why we’ve seen so few major airdrops this year. Still, there have been some success stories, such as Variational, whose points are already trading at $30+ on OTC. You just need to be more selective and spend more time researching to find opportunities that others overlook. Beyond that, I recommend finding a community where you can constantly share and discuss ideas. Collaboration can give you an extra edge. Try to structure your farming so the project itself makes you money, while the airdrop is just the bonus. Variational, Polymarket, Predict Fun, Lighter and others all give you ways to farm while still earning along the way.

Lighter: This Week's Results My cost per point this week was around $3.21 The calculation was a little tricky because I was trading a combination of Lighter and Variational. For the calculation, I valued 1 Variational point as equivalent to 2 Lighter points. I looked at the results from my friends and a few private groups, and here are the conclusions I drew: > Lighter Core + Lighter RH hedging yielded good results > Longer holding times don't seem to offer an advantage; 8–16 hours looks like the optimal range > Having a lot of Live Points doesn't guarantee a good Friday drop > Markets with lower OI seem to yield more points; single stocks are the most popular choice This week, I'll try Lighter RH + Lighter Core + single stocks with OI below $5M. If you haven't started farming Lighter RH yet, it's not too late: robinhoodchain.lighter.xyz/?…

A few takes on perp farming 1. The play has been pretty simple over the past few years: pick the two strongest tokenless perp DEXs and hedge between them. Usually, at least one of them ends up paying off well. Right now, for me, that’s Lighter + Variational. 2. Lighter RH has no trading fees, and you also earn points based on your trading activity This can create +EV setups if you understand how to use it to your advantage.

Although the swisstony bot has stopped trading, there are still other bots in sports markets generating strong returns RN1 is still in the game, with around $600K in earnings over the past month. There are also several less popular bots, such as UpTheBlues, which made around $1M last month. Btw bots like these are one of the reasons I’m optimistic about Polymarket’s business model. They trade 24/7 and generate a huge amount of fees for the platform. Sports events are always happening, unlike narratives such as memes or NFTs that come and go in cycles.

Who could have seen this coming? :)

X was buzzing yesterday after a tweet from @shayne_coplan, but the markets are still pretty skeptical > 40% chance Shayne Coplan publicly mentions a Polymarket token on stage at TOKEN2049 > 11% chance Polymarket launches a token by the end of this year

Polymarket Stats for September > Fees collected: $29.09M > Returned to users: $15.34M (52.7%) > Polymarket's share: $13.76M (47.3%) > Maker Rebates: $5.01M > Taker Rebates: $6.60M > LP Rewards: $3.61M > Referral Rewards: $110.6K > Holding Yield: $328.3K Data: @PolyScalping

$LIT dropped 20% after this news How will this affect Lighter RH farming? I initially based my calculations on a scenario where $LIT would be worth $2-$3. At that price, assuming the campaign lasts until the end of the year, the implied value per point comes out to around $10-$15. I think the best way to approach farming is to start with a conservative scenario. If your farming cost is already well below the implied point value in that scenario, anything above that conservative scenario is simply additional upside. If you’re currently farming Lighter points at a cost of around $1-$2 per point, the risk/reward still looks very attractive under these assumptions. In my previous tweets, I discussed several strategies that allow you to farm points fairly cheaply. Still early: robinhoodchain.lighter.xyz/?…

Perp Meta It’s amazing how long the perp DEX meta has been around. Every year, some alpha project comes along that people are willing to bet their lives on: > 2024: Hyperliquid > 2025: Lighter > 2026: Variational The business model is clear, and the airdrop mechanics are straightforward. All you have to do is pick the strong projects and skip the weak ones. There are also farming strategies where you can earn a small return while getting points on top. Now, with the price of Variational points rising, everyone is talking about perps again. At this point, it’s crucial to do your own research so you don’t waste money farming a weak project. Right now, people in my circle are mostly talking about two projects: 1. Lighter RH 2. Entropy I’ve written about the first one many times before, and I’m still actively farming it. I haven’t properly researched Entropy yet. I have friends who are both bullish and bearish on it, so I’ll do my own research and share what I find.

The most successful bot on Polymarket hasn't made any trades in a month Does anyone know what happened to it? Profile: polymarket.com/@swisstony?vi…