Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham) header
Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham) profile picture

Good at math. Read a lot. Financial statements tell a story. Novice excel user.

Joined June 2021
Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)Photo by Kevin Graham (@Kevin_AGraham)
2025 Return = 26.4% 15 Yr CAGR = 19.8% ✅2025 was volatile & bizarre but results were still excellent✅ The future is bright: Our business is booming🚀, just hired our first engineer & an expansion is planned🔥 2026 is shaping up to be the best ever🎆🚀🎇
2024 return = 34.7% 15 Yr = 19.4% 2024 was the year of the comeback. Largest holdings ($BRK.b, $SU & $PEY) all hit it out of the park🌟 Here's to more growth, learning, and seizing opportunities in 2025!🥂📷 #valueinvesting #COM
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Contra AI trade is gunna be 🔥 🔥 🔥
Dot-Com Crash 2.0 - Intel $INTC 2026: -58% / 24 days vs 1999: -53% / 27 days *Trading days.
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CIBC top ideas: our Peyto is in!!
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Since it's "earnings" season, let's compare the valuation of various 🇨🇦 Nat Gas co's to their "earnings" over the past 12 months. $PEY.TO sells for 12.7x ttm earnings, $BIR.TO for 26x, $AAV.TO for 26.1x, and $TOU.TO for 74.3x. Will Peyto increase the dividend next week?🤠
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Got the merch ready for the reunion. My original EnCana umbrella is still holding strong. ☂️ #Encana2.0
With Cenovus acquiring MEG Energy and Athabasca while Ovintiv picks up NuVista and Logan, the next step could be the funniest thing ever: the two companies merging to form a new company called Encana.🫥🪒
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Propane up 9.1% week over week for the latest published day of Oct 20. No ethane. Propane+ mooning. Liquids production way up. Q4 NG hedges @ $4.13/Mcf. Opex and interest costs down. Peyto wells are printing. 🍻 $PEY $PEY.TO #COM #OOTT
TX Propane prices absolutely flying, at ~$1.05/gallon last few days. Up 23% vs September, and up 68% vs October 2025. Best $ since 2022. Great news for $PEY, whose propane/butane (and Condy, to a lesser extent) production will be extremely strong in Q4. #COM #OOTT
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Kevin Graham retweeted
So, Liberals just found out that high personal income taxes make Canada less competitive. Good thing Carney is a PHD economist or Canadians would never know that high taxes stifle their prosperity.
High personal income taxes drag down Canada's tax competitiveness, new study finds nationalpost.com/news/canada…
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Must read if you’re invested in 🇨🇦 NG This is the info bank analysts never tell you 🤠
On Nov 13, 2024 it was suggested $PEY would struggle to pay down debt + pay its divy + execute its growth plan, & should think about selling (to $TOU) or cut its divy. I disagreed that it needed to do any of those things. 1/x $PEY.TO $TOU.TO #COM #OOTT
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Kevin Graham retweeted
Peyto approximate production numbers are out for the month of September, completing Q3. Overall Q3 YoY production increase: ~+10% Q3 YoY liquids production increase: a range of +23.6% to +32.8% (mid-point of +28.2%). Great (and timely) work! $PEY $PEY.TO #COM #OOTT
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Kevin Graham retweeted
SB - Individual company winners in the energy space from the Canada Investment Summit’s big tax break announcement $KEL.TO $BTE.TO $SCR.TO $PEY.TO $WCP.TO $TOU.TO $CVE.TO
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The MEGA tax deduction will have a large impact on taxable E&Ps in 🇨🇦. Not all will benefit equally. For $PEY.to it will add roughly $70m/yr in additional FCF going forward. That’s $0.34/sh or $0.03/month. I know you’re reading this 😉, so when is the dividend increase? 😊
I wouldn't rely on the precise AI numbers at the bottom, but I would say directionally you're looking at a large 2027 FCF boost, rather than something minor like a percent or two boost. I asked for a table, it got creative with the presentation 😂. $TVE $PEY $CVE #COM #OOTT
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2024 Profit Margins Note the Sales price includes hedging gains. (All numbers in $/mcfe) The most important factor for any business is how much you put in your pocket after ALL costs are paid 2/x
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Regarding “the science,”this is something you all need to know. Most published science is fake or false This is out of Stanford University and the author here John P. A. Ioannidis is one of the most-cited individuals on Earth.
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Summer is too short 🍻
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Mel Gibson knows 🫡
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Kevin Graham retweeted
???
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Somedays I prefer 1 hp to 650 hp
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$PEY.TO it’s a go!!
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Kevin Graham retweeted
Danielle Smith: "For Ontarians and Quebecers to maybe understand why Albertans are so angry, just think about how angry you are right now that Donald Trump is taking an attack on the economy and trying to shut down key industries. Well, that's what Justin Trudeau did to Alberta for 10 years, with the help of Steven Guilbeault and the federal NDP."
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Last week $PEY.to received approx $5.20/GJ at Cascade, over 4 times higher than AECO Peyto shareholders sleep well at night. No need to pound the tables on westcoast, egress, or a cold winter to rescue them. We just enjoy dividends! Updated chart below 🔥 #powerburn
Natural gas price update across North America Via Haywood
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