@Kent_Mat

JP🇯🇵 & VN🇻🇳 / Archi. & Const. / Finance & Property / Tech & Lifestyle / Building & Landscaping / Science & Geopolitics

Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam
Joined September 2010
Kentaro Matoba retweeted
Synergy sees neocloud revenue reaching ~$400B by 2031 at a 58% CAGR as cloud providers move beyond GPU rental into software and owned infrastructure. Thats why $NBIS, $IREN and $CRWV have such a massive opportunity right now as more utility-driven AI applications like $META Muse create recurring inference demand that has to land somewhere. The biggest catch is that ~$400B of revenue implies ~18GW of capacity which means power and interconnection could become real limit on how fast this market scales.
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2013年の設立以来、政府(税金)から約1,400億〜1,406億円以上が出資されているクールジャパンがここにも噛んでいる。ジャングリアには80億。 いくら増税しても無駄、歳出の仕組みを変えないとダメ。 ジャングリア親会社、最終赤字173億円(時事通信) news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/7a…
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トランプ大統領、イランの停戦案を拒否―中間選挙後の空爆再開を予想=WSJ ・トランプ氏は、イランが提案した7日間の停戦案を拒否し、中間選挙後にイランへの空爆を再開する見込みと関係者に言及したと、米国の当局者が明らかに ・米国はイランと仲介者に対し、トランプ氏には海上封鎖を解除する意図は一切ない姿勢を示す 👉事実なら中間選挙を控え、原油高・ガソリン高などが止まらず共和党には大打撃ですね…wsj.com/world/middle-east/tr…
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
JPMorgan sees $IREN becoming a 2,065 MW business generating ~$24B of revenue with 65% EBITDA margins by 2030. Whats really interesting is the pricing assumption because JPMorgan only models ~$13M per MW by FY30 while IREN is already around ~$11M today and management is discussing contracts closer to ~$25M. So if we use the ~$25M on same 2,065 MW base then that would imply $50B+ of revenue before any additional capacity upside.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
BREAKING: President Trump officially announces that he has rejected Iran's proposal for a 7-day ceasefire to restart negotiations. This proposal would have reopened the Strait of Hormuz, with both the US and Iran lifting their blockade. "I reject their proposal," Trump said.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
BREAKING: The US and China have reached a trade deal to lower tariffs on $30 billion worth of "non-sensitive goods" after President Trump and President Xi met this week. This deal will likely lower prices on a variety of consumer goods, including small appliances, toys, holiday decorations, and kids' car seats. In return, China will cut tariffs on agricultural goods and seafood, wood products, cosmetics, and medical devices. China has also agreed to import 10 million metric tons of US coal in 2027 and 2028. Rare earths are still being discussed, the White House said.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
This is exactly how I think about $SPCX because market is still valuing the business SpaceX has today instead of the platform it is building for tomorrow. $AMZN looked like retail before AWS, Prime and advertising while $TSLA looked like an automaker before energy, autonomy and robotics because the infrastructure came before the monetization. I think launch, Starlink and AI could create same kind of valuation reset in a couple years for SpaceX as new businesses get built on top of that infrastructure which is why I’m hoping to keep building it into a top 5 position in my family portfolio.
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日本がこれほど急激に金融を引き締めるのは80年代後半のバブル期以来。当時と今では経済環境は違うが、30年国債利回りは過去最高水準の4.2%。異常な低金利を前提に築かれた経済の再評価は既に始まっている。より深刻なのは、巨額の政府債務を抱える今、市場が崩れれば、支える財政余力も限られる。
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
KEY LEVELS TO WATCH FOR POPULAR STOCKS • Bullish: $NVDA, $AMD, $PLTR, $MU, $HOOD, $NBIS, $AEHR, $IONQ • Hold: $TSLA, $RKLB, $HIMS, $IREN • Bearish: $AVGO, $ONDS, $CIFR, $OKLO, $ASTS, $OPEN, $SOFI, $AAOI
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
BREAKING: Global debt jumped by more than +$10 trillion in H1 2026, to a record $365 trillion. Emerging-market debt drove the increase, rising +$6.5 trillion, to a record $110 trillion, with most of the surge coming from governments and non-financial companies. Excluding China, emerging-market and developing-economy debt soared to a record $38 trillion. Global debt now stands at ~310% of global GDP, although the ratio has fallen -25 percentage points from its early-2021 peak, largely because inflation has boosted nominal GDP rather than because of deleveraging. Meanwhile, developed economies paid more than $3.3 trillion in interest on marketable government debt over the last year, exceeding estimated global spending on AI at $2.6 trillion, defense at $3.1 trillion, and clean energy at $2.3 trillion. This comes as annual government interest payments across the G7 alone surged +85% YoY. The global debt crisis is in uncharted territory.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
Big tech has never been bigger. The 2 largest S&P 500 companies, Nvidia, $NVDA, and Apple, $AAPL, now account for 15% of the index’s market cap, an all-time high. This comes as $NVDA represents a record 8%, while $AAPL accounts for 7%. By comparison, the combined weight of Exxon Mobil, $XOM, and Apple, $AAPL, peaked at ~8% in 2011. During the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble, Microsoft, $MSFT, and General Electric, $GE, topped at ~9% in 1999. Before 2020, the 2 largest stocks never accounted for more than 10% of the index’s market cap. The US equity market has never been this concentrated.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
BREAKING: 331 S&P 500 companies mentioned AI during their Q2 2026 earnings calls, the 3rd-largest reading on record. This figure has more than quadrupled since Q3 2022. This also marks the 4th consecutive quarter in which more than 300 companies have mentioned AI. Not surprisingly, 97% of Information Technology firms mentioned AI during their Q2 earnings calls. Financials and Communication Services followed, at 91% and 90%, respectively. Only Utilities, Materials, and Consumer Staples had fewer than half of companies mentioning "AI." AI is dominating corporate conversations.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
$CIFR just doubled Barber Lake’s contracted life from 10 to 20 years taking total contracted revenue to more than $9B. A binding 10 year follow on commitment from an AI lab adds ~$5.2B of incremental revenue as capacity comes online from Q4 2026 through Q1 2027.
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
Goldman sees AI infrastructure spending by $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT and $ORCL jumping 50%+ to $1.2T in 2027. That puts focus on monetization because Goldman says they need ~$300B of annual AI revenue to break even while more than a third of that CapEx may be debt funded.
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米30年住宅ローン金利は7.0%を突破。住宅ローン金利を左右する10年国債利回りも2007年以来の高水準。住宅価格は高止まり、家賃も4.8%上昇。住宅市場の亀裂が延滞、信用収縮へ広がれば、住宅問題では終わらない。金融危機の火種は、いつも「大丈夫」と思われる場所で育つ。 ft.com/content/cabe2c29-9f66…
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【AIデータセンター、危うい錬金術 GPU担保や証券化など資金調達複雑に】 人工知能(AI)向けのデータセンターを構築する資金の調達手法が複雑になっている。 画像処理半導体(GPU)を担保にして金融機関が融資したり、ローンを証券化したりしている。「錬金術」の側面があり、AIの需要が陰れば投資マネーの逆回転が起こる危うさをはらむ。 出典:日本経済新聞 nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUC0…
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Kentaro Matoba retweeted
This morning’s $TSLA Optimus update caught my attention because production ramp looks very similar to what one small-cap sensing name I own in my growth portfolio described in Q2. Management said its first humanoid customer expected production to move from tens of robots per week toward hundreds and eventually thousands which is almost exactly the cadence Tesla is now targeting. The hand is part I’m watching most because Tesla is reportedly still working through touch-sensor durability and developing a replaceable sensing glove which makes reliable force and touch sensing even more important as Optimus scales. Thats why this remains one of my favorite ways to play the 'Physical AI' theme because instead of betting on which humanoid wins I’m getting exposure to a sensing layer that every useful robot ultimately needs.
$TSLA has ramped Optimus production nearly 10x to several hundred units a week with managers targeting 1,000+ by year end. The hard part is still scaling the hardware especially the 100+ part hand while V3 units stay internal for training before outside deployment.
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