Kansas City, this is for you. (I bet on sports sometimes) Free discord👇
Joined January 2023
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Brock Bowers o79.5 Rec Yds (-113, FanDuel)
If you've been following the page to start the year, this one is a layup.
Over in 3/3, the Raiders are 5.5 point dogs and Buffalo allows the 2nd most Rec Yds in the NFL.
Believe it or not I think their is still value here, even the elite WRs in the NFL's lines are usually high 80's, low 90's.
Bowers is not a TE, he is a WR and this is an ideal matchup for him.
Ladd McConkey o40.5 Rec Yds (-114, DraftKings)
Over in 2/3 healthy games this year, this is while being in and out of the lineup to start the season.
He does not have an injury designation heading into this game so I'm hoping he can play at least 60-70% of snaps.
Ladd will be getting the L'Jarius Snead matchup in the slot, who currently has the lowest coverage grade per PFF.
Ladd has looked like the only serviceable piece of this offense which has been awful this season.
No doubt this will be ugly with Alt and Slater out, but a sneaky spot that I think has value.
Derrick Henry o20.5 Rush Att (-121, Caesars)
Browns Vs. Ravens with no Lamar just screams ugly game.
The Ravens are 3 point favorites, Henry is over in 4/4 wins this season.
Snoop Huntley is not necessarily a guy you let sling the rock.
Laquon Treadwell o26.5 Rec Yds (-113, FanDuel)
Weird one to kick off the Week 6 slate, I know.
Alec Pierce left Week 2's game against the Chiefs in the 1st quarter and since then Treadwell is over in 3/4 averaging nearly 40 yards per game.
He is Alec Pierce in this offense now, Alec Pierce was an 1,000 yard receiver last year, it would be laughable to see him have this line.
Treadwell has seen 6 and 8 targets over his last two games and Tyler Warren has a Q tag for this one, he was a late add to the injury report.
Maybe we get some edge with him sitting.
The Titans rank 27th in EPA/Pass and are one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
Hit the quon.
RIP the usage parlays maaaaaan
The NBA and prominent sportsbooks have agreed to ban multiple types of bets, per me and @DavidPurdum, such as:
- Parlay bets involving the under on the same player's statistics
- "First of" market; examples: winner of opening tip, an individual's specific shot, rebound, assist, steal
- Under bets on players expected to play less than 12 minutes a game
1-1, mas-o-menos
Two Plays For TNF:
Emanuel Wilson o66.5 Rush Yds:
- 20+ Rush Att in ⅗
- 18.5 Rush Att line
- Broncos rank 29th in EPA/Rush
- Allow the 3rd most yards to opposing RBs
- Please don’t be a cone
Bo Nix u34.5 Pass Attempts:
- Weeks 1-4 Broncos has 7th highest neutral pass rate
- Week 5 they have the 3rd lowest
- Under in ⅘ to start the year
- Seahawks allow 8th fewest pass attempts to opposing QBs
- Very good defense
- Wouldn’t surprise me if the Broncos we’re trying to hide Bo Nix
Two Plays For TNF:
Emanuel Wilson o66.5 Rush Yds:
- 20+ Rush Att in ⅗
- 18.5 Rush Att line
- Broncos rank 29th in EPA/Rush
- Allow the 3rd most yards to opposing RBs
- Please don’t be a cone
Bo Nix u34.5 Pass Attempts:
- Weeks 1-4 Broncos has 7th highest neutral pass rate
- Week 5 they have the 3rd lowest
- Under in ⅘ to start the year
- Seahawks allow 8th fewest pass attempts to opposing QBs
- Very good defense
- Wouldn’t surprise me if the Broncos we’re trying to hide Bo Nix
❌the dreaded Corum game
Kyren Williams o91.5 Rush + Rec Yds (-114, FanDuel)
Over in 3/4 to start the year.
He has seen his snaps jump up to 70%+ over the last two weeks.
7+ targets in his last two games, they have schemed him a lot of touches through the air as well.
This game has the highest total of the slate, the Rams have the highest TT in the NFL this week.
Kyren has the upside to get this done on the ground alone.