@UF Computer Science × Economics | NFL analytics & strategy | Data Analyst/Engineer @UFSportsAnalytx @GatorsMBK

Joined July 2020
The Rams are playing like its Week 1 in Australia. Tyler Higbee also notably fumbled in the 4th quarter, which just happened again right now.
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1
9
2,099
Rams first half offense against the Cardinals: 107 yards 3.7 yards/play -0.17 EPA/play All three are their worst first-half marks this season.
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8
1,033
Quentin Lake picked off a pass intended for Trey McBride on the Cardinals' first drive. McBride had been the intended receiver on 236 straight passes without an interception. The previous one came in Week 17 of 2024, also against the Rams.
2
640
Over 2025-26, among 34 QBs with 300+ dropbacks: - 4.7 catastrophic plays per 100 dropbacks, 3rd worst (median 3.1) - 153 EPA lost on them, 2nd worst (median 77) - 64% of them are INTs, 3rd highest (median 47%)
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118
The Broncos effectively punted the ball 7 possessions in a row (excluding the 1 play drive at the end of the first half) A team doing that has not won since 2017. Real App inspired animation of what went down 👇
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523
Denver's offense has fallen off in the second half: 1st half: +0.17 EPA/play 41% success rate 4/7 third down conversion 5.4 average target depth 2nd half: -0.51 EPA/play 13% success rate 0/4 third conversion 1.1 average target depth
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336
How deep each QB drops in 2025 and 2026 Bo Nix has the 5th deepest median dropback depth amongst starters. For most QBs, dropping deeper buys time for higher aDOT throws. Not for Nix. 🧵
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27
9,714
FTN charting backs it up. On 9+ yard dropbacks, Nix checks down on 28% of his throws, 3rd most among starters. (thanks @realfrankbrank!)
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720
Here are 7 plays from this year to watch yourself: > Bo Nix > 3rd down > 9+ yard dropback depth (per Sumer) > Less than 5 air yards on the throw (per Sumer) No first downs.
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385
A lot of discussion about QB dropback recently. QB dropback depth under 7 yds vs 9+ yds: Air yards per throw: 5.5 → 13.8 EPA/db when not sacked: +0.11 → +0.22 Sack rate: 2.7% → 10.0%
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698
Biggest changes in 7+ blocker rate from 2025 to 2026: Fallers 📉 - Seahawks: 11.9% → 5.4% (1st → 24th) - Browns: 7.5% → 1.0% (9th → 32nd) - Giants: 9.2% → 5.6% (4th → 21st) - Texans: 9.7% → 6.9% (3rd → 17th) Risers 📈 - Commanders: 4.9% → 12.6% (24th → 3rd) - Bills: 4.1% → 11.0% (29th → 6th) - Falcons: 5.9% → 12.7% (19th → 2nd) - Vikings: 6.5% → 13.1% (15th → 1st)
The Seahawks led the league in % of snaps with 7+ blockers last season. The team is toward the bottom of the league there this season. The offense has strongly positive numbers with more guys kept in to protect. Is that a philosophical thing about getting guys out in routes?
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2
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14,215
42% of Packers opponent drives started inside their own 20. Drives starting there end in a TD just 16% of the time this season, compared to 27% everywhere else.
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1,130
The Rams just signed Blake Grupe off the Jets practice squad. He's been a bit below average on short field goals, about average from 50+, and reliable on extra points (98%). Last year he went 11/11 with the Colts, including a 60-yard field goal.
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1
48
3,584
Tyler Higbee in the last 3 weeks: 23 targets (5th) 18 receptions (T-5th) 212 yards (3rd) +0.65 EPA/target (6th) He's played 44% of his snaps in the slot or out wide. amongst eligible TEs
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54
2,621
The Rams had -13.1 EPA on special teams tonight, featuring: 48-yd blocked field goal (-3.7 EPA) 50-yd missed field goal (-3.4 EPA) 70-yd kickoff return allowed (-3.3 EPA) On track to be the worst special teams game of the season so far.
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125
4,009
Rams special teams ranking this year by EPA: Overall: 32nd (-31.8 EPA) Field goals/XPs/2pt: 32nd (-10.4 EPA) Kickoff coverage: 32nd (-12.5 EPA) Kick returns: 29th (+1.7 EPA) Punting: 28th (-5.8 EPA) Punt returns: 18th (-0.2 EPA) Opp. field goals/XPs/2pt: 19th (-4.6 EPA) The 6th worst start to a special teams unit since 1999 through Week 5.
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210
11,039
Combined view of the insane Justin Jefferson touchdown:
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451
The 49ers have scored 15 touchdowns on 17 red zone drives this year 😳 Other teams on drives reaching the red zone this season 👇
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5
865
Sean McVay is going to cut and fire everyone on special teams after today
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502
8,471