@JoshTradeOptioni
iAccount based inUnited States
About this account
- Account based in
- United States
- Connected via
- United States App Store
Account-level information from X, not a live location or the device used for a specific post.
Options Seller | Made $25,940.90 in August |CEO of multimillion $ company. Saved by Grace through Faith in Jesus Christ-Ephesians 2:8-9 ↓ Join for live trades!
NFA, Educational Only
Joined November 2023
- Tweets44.1K
- Following905
- Followers23.3K
- Likes30.5K
Why does $ALAB matter for the AI trade?
Astera Labs makes small chips that help AI data centers move data fast. Data has to flow between GPUs and memory. As AI systems get bigger, that link becomes a real choke point. Astera Labs makes the parts that fix it.
Three facts:
-Revenue grew over 100% from a year ago. That is real proof that big cloud firms are buying.
-Profit margins sit near 75%. That is a very healthy number for a hardware company.
-The company holds over $1 billion in cash and owes no debt.
Bull case: cloud giants keep building bigger AI setups. Astera Labs' newer memory chip line is built for this exact problem. As long as AI spending stays strong, this name keeps getting called.
Bear case: the stock price is high after a huge run, from under $100 to over $377 in a year. Any slowdown in AI spending, or a weak earnings report, could hit the stock hard from up here.
Plain take: $ALAB is a real business riding a real trend, not a meme stock. But the price already bakes in a lot of good news. I would rather wait for a dip than chase it here.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Save this if you want the wiring side of the AI trade, not just the chips.
$META just had one of its biggest weeks of the year.
On Thursday, the stock jumped 11% in a single day after Meta launched Muse, its new AI agent. Muse can book tickets, shop, and send messages for you. JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth said it could become the most used consumer AI app since ChatGPT, and raised his price target to $920.
The stock hit a fresh 52 week high of $779.82 this week. Friday it cooled off, closing at $751.66, down 3.33% on the day. That is a normal pullback after a huge run, not a reason to panic.
Confirmation level: I want to see $META hold above $750. That would tell me buyers are still in control after the pop.
Failure level: if it slips back toward $700, that tells me the excitement is fading and traders are locking in profits for good.
This is a big move on real news, not hype. Muse changes what people expect from Meta, and the market reacted fast. Whether it holds is the next question.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Are you watching $META to hold $750, or waiting for a bigger pullback?
Why do I like $GOOGL right now?
Alphabet closed Friday at $343.92, up 0.46% on the day. The stock is still well off its 52 week high of $408.61, but it has come a long way from its low of $235.84.
-Alphabet is not just a search company anymore. Cloud revenue keeps growing, and the company keeps pouring money into AI projects like Project Suncatcher. Waymo, its self driving arm, just moved to expand into Singapore. That is a real, working AI business, not just a story.
-The balance sheet gives it room to keep investing without stress. Big cash flow from search and ads funds all of this newer growth.
-At a market cap near $4.2 trillion, size does not seem to be slowing it down. Momentum has stayed strong through 2026.
Main risk: Alphabet still faces real regulatory pressure and heavy AI spending. If growth in cloud or ads slows even a little, the stock can give back gains fast.
What I am watching: whether $GOOGL can push back toward that $408 high, or if it stalls out here in the $340s while it digests this year's run.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Do you think $GOOGL breaks its old high, or takes a rest first?
The last 7 days of an option's life are not a theta trade. They're a gamma trade.
Theta decay accelerates near expiration. Everyone quotes that. What they forget is that gamma accelerates too, and gamma is the thing that actually kills premium sellers.
Thirty days out, your short put has a delta of -0.10 and a gamma of 0.01. The stock drops 1%. Your delta moves to -0.11. Uncomfortable but survivable.
Three days out, same -0.10 delta, but gamma is 0.08. That same 1% drop snaps your delta to -0.18, and the next 1% pushes it to -0.26. The loss doesn't arrive gradually. It compounds against you. This is how a seller can be green all month and give it back in one afternoon.
Three mechanics that handle this:
1. Set GTC closing orders at 50% of max profit and take winners off early.
2. Don't hold shorts into the final week unless you explicitly signed up to trade gamma.
3. Size the trade for the worst week, not the average month.
Selling premium is an insurance business. The last week of a policy is hurricane season. Price and position accordingly.
Don't blow up your trading account.
Mistake one. I bought calls and puts hoping for a fast move. Most of the time the stock just sat there. Time worked against me every single day. The premium melted away even when I was right about the direction.
Mistake two. I chased hot tickers after they already ran. I paid up for excitement, not for value. By the time I clicked buy, the easy money was already gone.
Mistake three. I never sized my trades. One bad week could wipe out a month of gains. I had no plan for when a trade went wrong, only hope.
Selling options fixed all three for me. I get paid up front instead of hoping time helps me. I pick my own price instead of chasing. I only sell what I can afford to own if I am wrong.
This is not risk free. Selling puts still means you could get assigned shares you did not expect yet. But it is a calmer way to trade than buying options outright, and it fits how I actually think.
What mistake cost you the most when you started trading?
Wild week on Wall Street. Bonds threw a tantrum, oil stayed hot, the Strait of Hormuz drama kept everyone on edge... and stocks still closed green. Here's the breakdown.
FRIDAY CLOSE
S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.51%)
Nasdaq: 27,068 (+0.50%)
Dow: 51,828 (+479 pts)
S&P and Nasdaq both finished the week higher. Pretty impressive considering what bonds did.
BONDS
This was the real story. The 10yr hit its highest level since 2007 on Thursday (~5.2%) and the 30yr touched levels not seen since 2004.
OIL + HORMUZ
Brent ~$104, WTI ~$92 after both dropped 2%+ on Friday. Why? Iran floated reopening the Strait of Hormuz and restarting nuclear talks within 7 days if the US accepts its terms.
HOW IT ALL CONNECTS
High oil = sticky inflation
Sticky inflation = Fed keeps hiking
Fed hiking = higher yields
Higher yields = pressure on stocks
The market is pricing roughly 2 in 3 odds of another rate hike in October.
NEXT WEEK
Tue: Micron earnings
Wed: PCE inflation, ADP
Fri: September jobs report
WHAT I'M WATCHING
Hormuz deal gets real = oil drops = rally
Deal falls apart = oil pops, yields jump
Hot PCE or jobs print = rate hike fears back on
Expect chop. Q4 is usually a strong stretch, but midterms are Nov 3.
What do you think, am I reading this right? Are you buying or selling next week, and which stocks are on your radar? Drop them below.
Not financial advice. Trade safe.
Who is my Paid X actually for?
Let me be straight, because I do not want you paying $9 a month for the wrong reason.
Paid X is for the person who wants to watch, not chat. You get my live option entries the moment I place them. You get my exits too, win or lose. You see my common stock activity as it happens. Short, clear posts, no fluff, no long threads to dig through.
It is not for someone who wants to ask me questions back and forth. It is not for someone who wants a community around them while they learn. That is what Discord is built for, at $27.99 a month, with more room for discussion and resources.
Paid X is for the person who already gets my free lessons here, and just wants the feed. You know how I think about a trade. Now you want to see it happen in real time, at a lower price point.
If that is you, $9 a month is an easy yes. If you want to ask me why I picked a strike, or talk it through with other traders, Discord fits you better.
Either way, I would rather you pick the right one than the expensive one.
I collected $9,866.26 TODAY from options premiums!
Our Trades:
• (1) $MRVL 10/2 $295.00 Covered Call → $194.30
• (2) $CRWV 10/2 $82.00 Cash-Sec Put → $192.68
• (1) $NBIS 10/2 $217.50 Cash-Sec Put → $229.48
• (1) $META 12/17/27 $650.00 Covered Call → $9,249.80
We trade live, every single day right here on X.
Real positions, real results, real-time updates.
Join us FREE!
Join via my subscribers section or grab the Discord link in my profile or here: whop.com/checkout/403G4E2N89…
#OptionTrade #CoveredCalls #CashSecuredPuts
Bonds are running the show right now, not stocks.
The 10 year Treasury yield pushed above 5% this month for the first time since 2007. That is a big deal. Higher yields make safe bonds pay more, so stocks have to work harder to look attractive next to them. Oil prices have climbed too, on tension in the Middle East, which adds another cost worry into the mix. Odds of another Fed rate move keep shifting around as traders watch this data closely.
Here is what is strange. $SPY is still sitting close to its 52 week high, even with all of this pressure underneath it. Stocks have not cracked yet, but the ground under them is shaking a little more each week.
What does this mean if you sell options for income? Rate sensitive names, like utilities and high growth software, tend to feel this pressure first. I am not chasing anything that already ran hard into this kind of backdrop. I want real red days before I sell a fresh put, not just a quiet dip. I am also watching earnings dates closely, since a rate shock plus a bad earnings surprise can hit a stretched name twice as hard.
Rich premium is not free money right now. It is payment for real risk. Slow down, pick your spots, and let the stock come to you.
How are you adjusting your own option selling with yields this high?
Let's talk about what assignment really means. New option sellers act like it is a disaster. It is not.
When you sell a cash secured put, you are telling the market you will buy 100 shares at your strike price if the stock is below that price at expiration. Assignment just means that happened. You now own the shares.
Here is the part people miss. You already agreed to this the moment you sold the put. You picked that strike because it was a price you were fine paying. If the price you picked was honest, assignment is not a loss. It is the plan working.
Same idea with covered calls. If your call gets assigned, someone bought your shares at the strike you chose. You already agreed to sell at that price when you sold the call. You keep the premium either way.
The real mistake is selling a put at a price you do not actually want to own the stock at, just to grab a bigger premium. That is how assignment turns into regret. Pick strikes you can live with owning, and assignment stops feeling scary.
This still carries real risk. The stock can keep falling after you get assigned, and you hold those shares either way. Options have risk. Not financial advice.
You can always join us for free to trade alongside us: whop.com/discover/selling-op…
Let's talk about how I would think through $MSTR as an option seller.
Strategy, the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, trades near $164 today. That is wild when you consider it sat near $81 in the past year and above $365 at its high. It holds a massive pile of bitcoin, over 846,000 coins, and it carries real debt on top of that bet.
Here is the setup I would look at. Because this stock swings so hard, option premiums on it run rich. That means selling a cash secured put here can pay a lot more than a calmer stock would, for the same distance below the current price.
Why this structure. I get paid well up front for taking on real, honest risk. If the stock drops through my strike, I get assigned shares, so I only do this at a price I would actually want to own the stock at.
Possible outcomes. Bitcoin holds up, the stock stays above my strike, and the put expires worthless. Or bitcoin drops hard, I get assigned, and I now own a very volatile stock tied to debt and a single asset.
Risk. This company has said a long, deep drop in bitcoin would put real stress on its balance sheet. That is not a small risk to wave away.
I am not naming an exact strike or premium here since this is education, not a live trade.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.