
Former Video & Web guy (ThisHereVancouver), Current Econ & Data guy advocating for better social infrastructure (CoFounder @VisThinkCo), Future Coureur des bois
Langley, Metro Vancouver ๐จ๐ฆ
Joined January 2010
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New pinned tweet to link to some projects all together
Currently:
-๐บ๏ธInteractive Map for BC's New Transit Oriented Upzonings
-๐งฎ2021 Census Resources for the ๐จ๐ฆNew Federal Ridings
-More Soon + Alt Links in this thread
bio.site/joshmessmer
Maduro, bad.
Living next to a superpower that thinks it can just decide to do whatever it wants to other countries, bad.
Canadian policy should focus more on the second bad, and less on explaining, "we've thought the first bad was bad since 2018"
This format remains the greatest public opinion polling data visualization ever made
Finally, the smallest segment, about 6%, blends economic conservatism with cultural progressivism โ the fiscally conservative and socially progressive Canadians. Picture a younger professional who went to university, perhaps majored in business, and now works in the tech sector in Calgary or Waterloo.
They are also the people likely running the country, newsrooms, corporations, and public sector organizations. They are the elite that many are currently running against. Theyโre making a decent living and donโt want heavy government intervention that might limit innovation, raise taxes, or stifle entrepreneurial spirit.
They believe people should keep more of their earnings and that market solutions are often best. Yet they also hold firmly progressive cultural views. They have friends from all backgrounds, support reproductive rights, embrace diversity in their workplace, and have no problem with Canada welcoming more immigrants. Theyโre sceptical of big government but comfortable with a fluid, diverse society.
Josh "Tax+Spend" Messmer ๐โ๏ธ๐จ๐ฆ retweeted
We actually have historical precedent for this.
When guilds collapsed, so did apprenticeships. Young craftsmen defected to factories, and societies lost the slow, embodied skill transmission that produced things like the stonework of Notre Dame. Productivity roseโbut craftsmanship thinned.
When big-box retailers displaced local hardware stores, we didnโt just lose small businesses. We lost succession. The โheir apparentโ who learned inventory, customers, and judgment over decades was replaced by a store manager trained to follow a system.
AI is doing something structurally similar.
As noted, entry-level QA, junior analyst roles, and โgrunt workโ werenโt inefficiencies โ they were discovery mechanisms. They let firms observe curiosity, resilience, judgment, and learning velocity under real conditions. Automating them removes the lowest rung of the ladder, not just the cost center.
The danger isnโt that AI replaces junior work.
Itโs that we eliminate the environments where raw talent proves itself.
If we donโt deliberately rebuild new apprenticeship structures (rotations, shadow systems, paid learning tracks, scoped responsibility sandboxes) weโll get short-term efficiency and long-term talent collapse.
History suggests the market wonโt fix this automatically.
When the on-ramp disappears, so does the next generation of masters.
The real question isnโt โhow do people get in?โ
Itโs whether employers are willing to re-create intentional paths for becoming excellent, rather than assuming excellence simply arrives fully formed.
H/t @INArteCarloDoss
One of the best engineers I ever hired failed the technical interviews.
We told him he didn't make it. He was crushed.
But there was something about him that impressed us, so we called him back and offered him an entry-level QA analyst job.
To his credit, he swallowed his pride, took the job, and then rapidly proved himself, working his way up to engineer and then technical manager in short order.
He became a superstar in my company.
My concern is that with the AI we have available today for software QA, THAT JOB MIGHT NOT EXIST ANYMORE. As AI improves, these entry-level "grunt work" positions will become more and more rare.
So how will the next generation get a foot in the door?
A little more background:
Our process for developers was brutal: multiple rounds, live coding, advanced homework.
He didnโt make it. But heโd showed curiosity and promise, so we gave him a shot doing manual testing and bug reports in Quality Assurance.
He took it seriously, absorbed feedback, acquired skills.
Within 2 years was promoted to developer. Then senior developer. Eventually, he was leading on some of our hardest technical challenges.
That path used to exist. But itโs disappearing.
Today, those training grounds are automated by AI.
The whole bottom rung is being ripped out.
How do young people with entry-level skills prove themselves today?
Since AI is eating the entry-level job, whatโs the new way in?
How can employers bring in raw talent and evaluate them?
How can people new to the workforce gain skills and confidence?
Would love to hear what you are doing!
Does this count as non-human domestication and breeding? She's effectively culling the most aggressive males from a herd she shepherds
Josh "Tax+Spend" Messmer ๐โ๏ธ๐จ๐ฆ retweeted
I think every premier should actually require higher density zoning laws to be implemented at the municipal level
And then tell every mayor and city councillor who disagrees to pound sand
Once again calling for sortition/juries/citizen assemblies to be used more often.
You can still have the lobbyists and activists attend public consultations to make their case, but let an actually representative sample of the public state to council what they think of all that.
Kind of hoping the CoV and Whitecaps negotiation memorandum is just a way to hardball PavCo into a more reasonable deal with their most important tenant.
BC Place is beautiful, nice to be in, nice to be *around* for other amenities on game nights, easy to access by transit --
Also interesting that the fact sheet and news releases from the city don't appeal to history/nostalgia of Hastings for the Whitecaps.



















