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Replying to @JonathanOX1
"I have no relationship with Putin other than he called me a genius,” “He said, ‘Donald Trump is a genius and he is going to be the leader of the party & he's going to be the leader of the world or something.’” 2016
cnn.com/interactive/2017/03/…
Oxford Jon retweeted
John Mearsheimer i jego przewidywania dotyczące wojny na Ukrainie:
▪️Lut. 2022: „Nie sądzę, że Rosja zaatakuje.”
▪️Wrz. 2023: „Ukraińcy są skazani na porażkę.”
▪️Sty. 2024: „To absurdalne myśleć, że Ukraina utrzyma linie obronne w 2024 roku.”
▪️Kwi. 2025: „To nie do wyobrażenia, by Ukraina przetrwała po 2025 roku.”
▪️Lip. 2026: „Rosjanie powoli przesuwają się naprzód.”
30 lat temu Mearsheimer był przeciwny przyjęciu Polski do NATO.
Oxford Jon retweeted
“The Trump effect”
Russian attacks on Ukraine intensified soon after Trump was elected in November 2024, and they have kept intensifying since. See the graph. I call it the Trump effect.
Instead of ending the war in twenty-four hours, as he promised, Trump gave Putin a green light. He suspended military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine. He threatened Zelenskyy in the Oval Office. He praised Putin, called him a friend and invited him to America. He lifted sanctions on russian oil exports. He extended an invitation for russia to attend the G20.
Each of these steps sent the same signal to the Kremlin: the political cost of escalation is falling. Putin read that signal loud and clear. When aggression is tolerated, escalation is cheap.
There is a basic principle of deterrence here. Deterrence works only if the aggressor believes that crossing a line will be punished. When the line is erased and the punishment is replaced with praise, the aggressor updates his expectations and acts accordingly. That is what we have watched happen over the past twenty months.
Oxford Jon retweeted
Replying to @blue_eyedKeti @JonathanOX1
Oxford Jon retweeted
Nigel Farage, on what may well have been his first visit to his Clacton constituency has started a campaign to block the closure of Clacton Town Hall.
There are no plans to close Clacton Town Hall, he made it up.
I am outside Clacton Town Hall to campaign against its closure.
Local government reorganisation will not work in the interests of local people here. @ClactonGazette
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Tendring Council chief executive Ian Davidson stated there are no plans to close Clacton Town Hall, which remains an important facility. Decisions on services will be made by the new council starting April 2028.
clactonandfrintongazette.co.uk/news/26036726.…
Oxford Jon retweeted
Every child deserves to start the school day ready to learn.
Great to visit Co-op Academy Beckfield this morning to see the newest Best Start Free Breakfast Club in my constituency in action.
Oxford Jon retweeted
Wonderful news.
politico.eu/article/eu-forge…
Oxford Jon retweeted
"Hope" here is as battered as a stray cat… worn out, scratched, and bitten by time. I write it exactly like this because at this very moment, someone’s loved ones are trapped under the rubble. Rescuers pull Ukrainians out again and again, and every single one of them shows no signs of life. These people are no longer with us. What is it like for their families to find that out, the families who, at this very second, are waiting? They cling to that same "hope"... hope that lives on until the very last moment.
Sometimes, a person desperately needs the ability to switch off their emotions, the feelings that, in these minutes, plunge you into total darkness and an abyss of realization. The realization that someone who was alive and by your side just a few hours ago is gone. Or they are still being searched for, but you understand there is simply no chance left, because everyone they find has already perished. Sometimes, fueled by emotion, I call life a bitch, and this is exactly one of those times. It is better to love life than to hate it, but days like these don't give you that chance.
Oxford Jon retweeted
The city of Dnipro is still shrouded in thick black smoke following the russian night attack. Rescue operations are still underway in the very heart of the city; right now, people remain trapped under the rubble of their own homes. You often hear that karma will catch up with them for these actions, that the boomerang will find its way back… I don’t know exactly what invisible hand or force is responsible for such things, but over all these years, could these "boomerangs" not have been sent back to russia so they would understand: peace is good, and war is bad? Humans weren't given intellect and the art of speech for nothing. Was it really impossible to live as neighbors in a different, more human way? Life is full of enough shit even without war, and it isn't nearly long enough to be cut short by this madness.
Oxford Jon retweeted
You know, it’s probably the thousandth time I’ve spent the night in the bathroom, sitting on the floor and listening to Russian missiles explode, shaking my entire house.
I try to guess the direction, fearing it’s near my parents’ place or my friends’. I wonder if I should call them at four in the morning to check, or if there is a chance they are sleeping through this horror and a call would only cause them unnecessary stress.
This has been our reality for years now, and I’m losing hope that it will ever end, especially on nights like this.
Oxford Jon retweeted
I have a challenge for the U.S. government officials who have never been to Ukraine and, like JD Vance, have only watched “some videos” and “stories.”
Come with me to Ukraine.
We will go to the frontline to deliver medical aid to wounded Ukrainian soldiers.
We will visit a graveyard where thousands of Ukrainians were killed and buried.
We will go to Bucha, where you’ll have the chance to speak with a woman who watched as russians forced her neighbor to his knees and shot him in the back of the head.
We will go to a hospital, where you’ll meet six-year-old Danik — a little boy who lost a limb to a russian bomb.
We will stay in Kyiv, where you’ll experience running to bomb shelters several times a day. You’ll know what it’s like to live without water, electricity, or heat — in the dead of winter.
And only then, maybe, will you have earned the right to give Ukrainians advice on how to “negotiate” with russia.
Oxford Jon retweeted
Here are the profound words from Prince Harry that no one shared!
The silly media focused on Prince Harry's challenge to President Trump.
They ignored his honest eloquence about the clarity that he personally has found in Ukraine—a clarity felt and described by almost every single foreigner I know who comes to Ukraine, no matter their background.
The Duke of Sussex was speaking at the Kyiv Security Forum.
UnderFire.News
Oxford Jon retweeted
This is not a photo, and it isn't on the front page of every single newspaper in America because it's not real.
The image has been taken from an AI-manipulated, satirical video made by @PaulleyTicks.
Oxford Jon retweeted
In a troubled and troubling world, there are some glimmers if intelligence and hope. Last night’s BBC documentary showing how algorithms match kidney patients to donors was one. Don’t miss it bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p0…
Oxford Jon retweeted
Good news. Few will do the complete patch, but many will enjoy some glorious stretches. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy0d…
Oxford Jon retweeted
Oh how I love my dear Europe.
Sooooo grateful to live far, far away from the American lunatics.
Over 4,000 young Americans are alive today who might not be — because of the 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline we built together.
The grief of losing a child is something that no parent should ever have to know.
We launched 988 in 2022. We invested in it. We fought for it. And now the data is in: an 11% drop in youth suicide. Thousands of kids who picked up the phone instead of giving up.
In my view, that’s what government is supposed to do.
Thousands fewer young Americans than expected took their own lives during the first two-and-a-half years following the launch of a national ‘988’ suicide-prevention hotline in the US, according to a Harvard-based study reut.rs/4sSamT5































