Pinned Tweet
Every politician should be required to watch this over and over until they understand, no matter how long it takes. For ever, if necessary.
Offended?
youtu.be/fHMoDt3nSHs via @YouTube
John Souter retweeted
Replying to @neso_energy
@neso_energy just put out this system warning.... It's too windy in Scotland but not enough turn down capacity notified in the BM which is threatening to breach constraints
If it's not one thing it's another
It should be pretty clear by now that the grid is not keeping pace with the changes being imposed on it by net zero and CP2030 policies
@Miatsf @mgshanks @AndrewBowie_MP @ClaireCoutinho @harrietc @ColinMoynihanUK @drlukeevans @ashley7fox @TiceRichard @cmackinlay @DavidGHFrost @mattwridley @Iromg @AllisonPearson @MerrynSW @EdConwaySky @afneil @mattotele @jonathan_leake @julietsamuel @energygovuk @ofgem
John Souter retweeted
Considering there is really little chance of war or a cyber attack causing a 3-day UK shutdown, I would suggest the government has finally been told there is a likely electricity grid failure coming this winter.
The link describes what could happen if the grid trips. Only 60% of power will likely be restored in 24 hours. It could take 5–7 days for power to be completely restored. In the worst case, it could be 14 days.
theblackoutreport.co.uk/2023…
John Souter retweeted
This is the scandal that just keeps giving. It has emerged that national security adviser Jonathan Powell, who sits at the centre of Britain’s most sensitive intelligence and diplomatic secrets, and who happens to be married to a Gaza fanatic who has defended Hamas, was not vetted by security before he was handed the job.
The source is Morgan McSweeney, Keir Starmer’s former chief of staff, in evidence to Parliament about Peter Mandelson that came to light this week. “We made a political appointment for National Security Adviser, in Jonathan Powell,” he remarked, offhand. “As far as I remember, we appointed him and then we began the DV.”
DV stands for developed vetting, the highest routine level of security clearance. Any clearance Powell held from his days as Tony Blair’s chief of staff would have lapsed long ago; the rules require a review after seven years, and he left Downing Street in 2007. In other words, the government put a man in charge of national security first and determined that he wasn’t a security risk afterwards, just as it did with Peter Mandelson (and look how that turned out).
This is more than a procedural lapse. It is a window into how this government works: a combination of cronyism and complacency which, step by step, has allowed ideological zealotry to seep into the heart of our foreign policy. And when you look at what the vetting officers would have found had they been allowed to do their job first, it becomes clear why this matters so much...
New post. Link in first reply
John Souter retweeted
Two years of Labour and not only is everything more sh!t and expensive, but we're preparing to sit in the dark eating cold beans this winter
We've arrived back at 1979
I hope we never see a socialist government again in my lifetime
3 times is enough
@BBCPolitics @GBNEWS
Reeves is an incompetent, ignorant and inexperienced moron. How she came to be Chancellor is simple to understand - she was the outstanding candidate amongst her contemporaries. Doesn’t that just tell a story?!
The Laffer Curve strikes again. Rachel Reeves’s absurd increases to stamp duty have backfired after tax receipts from property sales above £5m fell by £541m in the 18 months following her 2024 budget when she raised the second-home stamp duty surcharge to 5%.
Data from estate agents Knight Frank show that in the 18 months subsequent to the budget, the number of sales above £5m dropped by 14% from 2,569 to 2,208, when compared with the 18 months before the budget. Of course it is not just the stamp duty that is lost but also the economic activity that accompanies the property transactions.
Reeves has just signed up to the Chartwell Speakers agency to sell speeches for money. Surely for anyone to buy a speech from her is a badge of idiocy?
John Souter retweeted
"Haldane warned Burnham that he cannot “vibe-code” his way to growth, and raised concerns about the gap between the government’s rhetoric and the reality. He said that the government was effectively deferring the “day of reckoning”"
That's precisely what Burnham will do. Putting Britain back on track (or even just narrowly avoiding calamity at this point) requires the immediate slaughter of sacred cows - but doing so would mean admitting most of the core assumptions Labour operates on are flat wrong. They would sooner watch the country crash and burn.
EXCLUSIVE:
Andy Burnham must “take the knife” to public spending in the budget or risk a Liz Truss-style crisis that will “crater” the economy and the government’s popularity, an ally of the prime minister has warned
Andy Haldane, a former chief economist at the Bank of England, said he feared the government would deliver a “mañana budget” that deferred the difficult decisions on public spending and “doesn’t speak to the urgency of now”
In an interview with The Times, he said that Britain was “close to being taxed out and maxed out in terms of borrowing”. He spoke of concerns that the government was failing to grasp how “precarious” the fiscal position was
He said that the government needs to cut the size of the state and reduce taxes if it were to “unleash the animal spirits and generate growth”
Haldane warned Burnham that he cannot “vibe-code” his way to growth, and raised concerns about the gap between the government’s rhetoric and the reality. He said that the government was effectively deferring the “day of reckoning”
He also said that the decision to increase taxes on banks could show that the government lacked the courage to cut public spending. He said the move was “penny wise, pound foolish” and sent a broader economic message that if businesses make profits “the taxman cometh”
Haldane said that while Burnham had the potential to be a “great prime minister” who could serve two terms, the economy was his “blind spot”. He said that the fiscal situation facing Britain was “precarious”
“The penny has not yet fully dropped, including in Downing Street,” he said. “You see that in us having the highest borrowing costs in the G7, despite not having the highest debts and deficits.
“It’s the old Hemingway [Ernest Hemingway, the author] thing, isn’t it? How do you go bankrupt? First slowly, then very quickly. The biggest risk to Andy not transforming Britain, to not serving two terms, to not being seen in the history books as a great prime minister, is not political risk.
“It’s not those who sit behind him. It’s probably not even those who sit opposite him in Westminster. Keir [Starmer] lost the dressing room. Andy’s biggest risk is that he loses the dealing room. And then that’s an even more painful way to go, as Liz Truss would tell you.”
Andy Haldane: PM risks Truss-style crisis if he dodges tough choices
thetimes.com/article/9b12c00…
John Souter retweeted
If anyone doubts the importance of exploiting our own natural resources like approving Jackdaw, then compare UK/EU gas prices to America. UK prices currently almost 12X those in the US. Time to get fracking too.
John Souter retweeted
Replying to @AllisonPearson
My view, as shared elsewhere:
““From the outside, this appears to be yet another unnecessary and mishandled RMP investigation initiated not because of serious concerns, but merely as a self-serving public relations exercise by London-based and distant headquarters staff, (miles from the combat) designed to demonstrate an enhanced, but entirely performative, degree of ‘transparency and control’ to a Panorama-triggered Whitehall; and in ways that understandably undermine SAS confidence in an increasingly politicized chain of command”.
John Souter retweeted
NEW: At PMQs @DavidDavisMP raises our story, revealing SAS soldiers were deployed to fight the Islamic state 48 hours after being questioned for murder.
Andy Burnham says his aware of the report and will meet to discuss high levels of concern within special forces:
EXCLUSIVE: Insight reveals SAS soldiers hunting Isis leaders in Syria were arrested for murder and had homes raided — only to be sent back behind enemy lines
Our report on Operation Tanglement ends years of secrecy to expose crisis in UK special forces
thetimes.com/uk/defence/arti…
John Souter retweeted
We can also reveal two other officers were placed under investigation and referred to prosecutors, it is believed, for perverting the course of justice - punishable with life in prison.
Prosecutors did not authorise charges against them - or five men accused of murder.
John Souter retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: The commanding officer of the SAS was placed under criminal investigation and referred to prosecutors over anti-ISIS mission in Syria.
Unprecedented move concerned police request for classified evidence, but effort to charge him collapsed thetimes.com/uk/defence/arti…
John Souter retweeted
We should all worry about this...
We have to get our public finances in order because this is simply not sustainable
Official figures out this morning report that last month, the UK government borrowed £24.5 billion.
But the fineprint shows that almost £11 billion of that extra borrowing went on debt interest payments.
That's more than £400 per household on debt service costs, in September alone.
So far during this financial year, from April to September, the government's debt interest payments amount to £61 billion.
Now, this number will barely feature in UK newspapers and across our airwaves. It may be mentioned in passing in out-of-the-way business sections, or on the odd business bulletin.
But this huge debt interest bill won't register with the vast majority of our political and media class, or impact the national debate.
Let me explain why that's so wrong and so dangerous ...
£61 billion is a massive amount of money.
It's equivalent to the UK's entire annual defence budget – the money we're paying, increasingly to foreign creditors, simply to service our national debt for six months, not to pay any of it back.
£61 billion is equivalent to the money you'd raise over a year from adding a whopping 7 pence to the basic rate of income tax.
For £61 billion, you could build around 40 large, state-of-the-art hospitals, or employ more than 100 thousand extra nurses for ten years.
£61 billion would pay for free-at-the-point of use social care for everyone who needs it in the UK, for an entire year – three times over.
Again, this is the debt interest bill on Britain's spiralling national debt – now more than 3 trillion pounds – over the last six months alone.
The UK's public finances are close to meltdown – yet so many MPs and journalists continue blithely to view ever more public spending and borrowing as the answer to every problem.
Those who highlight the dangers post by our hugely precarious national accounts are dismissed as cranks, ideologues or worse.
But basic arithmetic has no ideology.
And there is nothing "progressive" or "kind" or "right-on" about driving the UK ever closer to the fiscal cliff edge, provoking a crisis that will make the "austerity" years of the 2010s feel like a picnic, a crisis in which poorer households will suffer the most.
Yes, Britain's national debt is lower than that of France. But because our borrowing has been rising so sharply, and because we're so prone to inflation, our debt service costs are much higher.
The UK is spending a disgraceful 3.6pc of GDP on public debt interest, while France spends less than 2.5pc.
Endless airtime and column inches are devoted to spurious conversations about a billion or two of additional "fiscal headroom" we may or may not have in three years' time.
And, of course, any "extra headroom" is immediately pledged in new spending – which means yet more borrowing.
These conversations are a waste of time – and, in fact, are deeply counterproductive. Three-year fiscal forecasts, even one- and two-year forecasts, routinely turn out to be askew by tens of billions of pounds.
I'm not saying we don't need fiscal rules - we do, but we need more immediate rules, which actually bite, acting as a meaningful constraint on out-of-control borrowing and spending.
Instead, political and media sages present the nation with spuriously precise discussions about fictional fiscal outcomes way into the future – using rules which are deliberately designed to kick arithmetic realities into the long grass ....
An increasingly expensive, over-bearing, out of control state is not the answer to Britain problems.
But unless we change course, it will certainly be our downfall.
Please like/share if you think what I'm saying is important – and if fiscal realities should feature more prominently in our national debate.
And for more sharp, plain-speaking economic analysis subscribe to:
"When The Facts Change - economic and politics in a fast-moving world, with Liam Halligan"
James Murray is a moron. He seems to have no idea about anything!
🤦♂️ James Murray is doing the media rounds for the government this morning and, as usual, it’s a complete disaster.
He’s asked about the government’s advice for people to stock up for an emergency, and what he himself has stocked up on.
Naga: “So what does your backup look like? Tell me what you’ve stockpiled for three days’ worth?”
Water? Tinned food? Batteries? A torch? Candles? Toilet roll? A first aid kit?
Nope. None of these. He said… lots of coffee. 🤦♂️
Naga: “Surely it is up to the government, isn’t it? If you’re going to stockpile, coffee’s not good enough — you can’t live on coffee!”
Murray: “There’s some examples on the government website.”
Naga: “But you haven’t followed it?”
Murray: “I’m not gonna pretend that I’ve followed all that advice myself yet.”
This is a government minister sent out to tell people what to do in an emergency. He’s such an embarrassment. God help us with a true national emergency with people like him running the show!
John Souter retweeted
🚨🚨🇬🇧🏴🏴🏴 Scum Politicians fleeing from Parliament when illegal immigration and the distribution of young undocumented men into towns and villages is about to be debated.
Cowards. Liars. Charlatans and Thieves.
John Souter retweeted
When the nation heard the news yesterday that this useless government was finally going to drill for oil we all cheered ...
Then these two bloody morons started.
Then we heard the news that the cash earned from the sale of the oil and gas won't be going to lowering bills..... nope.
We are giving all that money to China for some more windmills and solar panels that all contain wireless kill switches.
All in the name of the 'Green' agenda.
Someone somewhere is getting their palms greased with cash.
We could go back to the stone age and it wouldn't make ANY difference to global temperatures.
John Souter retweeted
How did we end up with a Liberian woman without any real knowledge of energy science as "Energy Minister"?
Ofgem: Britain Could Fail Legal Gas Security Test This Winter order-order.com/2026/10/22/o…
Healey is a revolting hypocrite 🤮
There is a tidy version of John Healey. St Peter's School, York. Christ's College, Cambridge. Twenty nine years in Parliament. Now the Chancellor, signing the cheques, setting the budget, deciding what you are allowed to keep.
There is another version. It is not tidy.
In 1997 he took a Rotherham seat. For the sixteen years that followed, in the streets he represented and the schools he walked past, fourteen hundred girls were being passed around by men the state had quietly decided not to notice. Some of them twelve. One was doused in petrol and told to burn if she talked.
He was their MP. He had a seat, a voice, a vote, and the standing to make a noise. He made none.
In 2012 the Times finally broke it and demanded an inquiry. His own website still carries the verdict. He had an open mind. He was "not convinced this would help the abused girls."
Not convinced. Fourteen hundred of them. One of the few men in the country who could have forced the truth out, and he wanted more time.
Then he sued the woman who said so.
A UKIP MEP, Jane Collins, accused him and two colleagues of knowing and doing nothing. They took her to court and won. Fifty four thousand pounds each. Healey pocketed his. He did not give it to the girls. He kept it. He had been called out for inaction and he turned it into income.
The pattern held. Forty thousand pounds from two donors whose addresses the register lists only as "private," while he lectured Farage on secret money. His own council tax, on his own second home, unpaid, an administrative error, and he meant to claim the fifteen hundred back from you while his party took the winter fuel payment from millions of pensioners.
Then, in June, he resigned as Defence Secretary with a letter that buried Keir Starmer. Six weeks later Starmer was gone. Burnham moved in. And Burnham made Healey Chancellor.
The knife went in. The chair was warm. The reward was the Treasury.
Now he wants to tax the banks, because a war abroad has emptied the purse and the IMF has told him to cut spending instead. He has run out of other people's money and he is going through the City's sofa cushions.
Meanwhile the legacy gathers dust. The Child Trust Fund, his idea, one point six billion pounds of children's own money left to rot in forgotten accounts while the City takes a hundred million a year in fees. Housing, where he decided families renting rather than owning was "a good thing." A children's charity he vouched for, whose founder was later convicted of child sexual abuse. In Rotherham. Of course.
The girl who was twelve is thirty seven now. She lives with it every day.
He was not convinced her rape was worth an inquiry.
And now he decides how much of your money you keep.
That is the Chancellor.
John Souter retweeted
Replying to @jennykleeman
@jennykleeman I watched you on @SkyNews this evening and I'm afraid your knowledge about gas markets is simply incorrect
I recommend you read my recent report which explains from first principles how gas prices are set
It's also very simple to see that gas prices are not global by looking up the gas price in different places
Henry Hub is the main US benchmark
JKM is the Asian benchmark
TTF is the main European benchmark
NBP is the UK benchmark
CME gives all their prices in $/mmbtu ie the same currency and units for easy comparison
The URLs are here...
Henry Hub
cmegroup.com/markets/energy/…
JKM
cmegroup.com/markets/energy/…
TTF
cmegroup.com/markets/energy/…
NBP
cmegroup.com/markets/energy/…
Also here is the link to my report
watt-logic.com/wp-content/up…
































