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Editor-in-chief @NationalMemo, editor-at-large @typeinvestigates, senior fellow @TypeMediaCenter, #author, father, etc. Standard retweet disclaimer applies.
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I haven’t always agreed with Mark but…
Maybe Susan Collins, Roger Marshall, Ashley Hinson, Mike Rogers, Dan Sullivan, John Sununu, Jon Husted, Michelle Tafoya, and even Ken Paxton will all win. I know serious people who think each of those outcomes is possible.
Maybe Republican House losses will be at a minimum.
Maybe James Blair & Co. will cleverly deploy the president in the closing days of the campaign to rally the base and attract independents to the Republican side using wedge issues.
Maybe there are opposition research and get-out-the-vote programs that are about to swamp Democratic candidates from coast to coast.
Maybe the Democratic Party’s views on socialism and trans rights are a ticking time bomb for the opposition.
Maybe some or all of those things are true and, once again, the political magic and stylings of Donald John Trump are being underestimated by the estimators.
Maybe.
But as I sift through my inboxes and social media feeds over the most recent extended news cycle, what I see instead is the possibilities that the wheels are coming off for a political figure who is swimming against the tide of a Blue tsunami as big as Connecticut, not because Ken Martin is suddenly a genius, but because an unpopular war and high consumer prices is no way to win a midterm election.
And, remember, I write this as someone who has been a leading proponent for over a decade of the view that Donald Trump is second only to Bill Clinton over the last forty years as a political athlete.
So, if you are looking for support for the theory that those wheels are coming off the Trump White House bus in the context of the midterms, consider:
* This new taxpayer-funded and blatantly political TV ad featuring the president is as obviously illegal as it is appalling (including to many Republicans I have heard from).
* The president is considering spending one of his days on the road between now and Election Day in….Alabama???!!
* Florida and Kansas are among the many Red places that have sprung a lot of electoral leaks that are going to need to be plugged and fast.
* The media ban is considered stupid, ill advised, doomed, and counterproductive but way more people than just Peter Baker (including, again, by many of my pro-Trump Republican sources).
* The diesel export ban morass is an own-goal failure on at least three levels, and there is now both no easy answer or route out of the political expectations and policy messes.
* The rumors have started back up that MAGA Inc. will not spend down its cash pile to help Republican candidates, causing all sorts of finger pointing and teeth gnashing.
* The efforts of GOP candidates to distance themselves from the president to save themselves are only just getting underway -- and while the White House is (mostly) fine with it ("they gotta do what they gotta do to win"), the defections produce a lot of negative news stories and no one thinks the president will actually be fine with it.
* Mr. Trump’s approval rating are in the toilet, fueled by lost support from key groups like young men, women, Hispanics, and independents.
* On the Warsh watch, there are swirling interactions between interest rates, the bond market, the size of the debt and deficit, and AI spending dangers that could lead to an economic calamity.
* Efforts to get an October Surprise deal with Tehran are almost certainly an illusion and a trap for a dozen reasons, including the inconsistencies of U.S. “allies” in the region about what they want.
* Unless there is some big surprise today, the Xi summit looks like a bunch of pageantry with no prospect of helping Republicans in the midterms (and maybe to the contrary).
* Peggy Noonan speaks for many when she suggests the president is completely bolloxing up AI for the long term, but/and/also being so pro-AI and data center could go down in history as one of the factors that cost his party majority control of both chambers.
To be continued….
This is an excerpt from today's edition of my premium daily newsletter "WWoN Concierge Coverage." To get the newsletter and become a member, go to
walkingduck.com/mark
Listening to @DavidCornDC on @BrianLehrer show 93.9 FM in New York and WNYC.org talk about his new book harpercollins.com/products/h…
Absolutely right. These stupid attempts to silence critics are just as wrongheaded, ruinous and immoral as the Israeli policies they aim to defend.
Joe Conason retweeted
Here's what I think about when I think back on 9/11. The attack happened on the watch of a Republican president who had been warned, repeatedly & explicitly, that an attack was coming. He dismissed those warnings.
Joe Conason retweeted
Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos fired a disproportionate number of journalists who wouldn’t support Trump & right wing propaganda.
So they founded a NEW newspaper to fight disinformation from the Trump regime.
Welcome & support the *The Washington Sun*
(and stop using Amazon)
Joe Conason retweeted
The Talarico campaign is not fucking around
#TXSen: D candidate James Talarico is up on TV with this spot --
Nick Schatzki voiceover:
"Ken Paxton's corruption endangers our kids. We don't need any more pedophile protectors in Washington"
Joe Conason retweeted
Mike Johnson. Pro-death
🚨 Republican representatives have now slashed $125 million in funding to replace toxic lead water pipes.
It's happening. The “Arc De Trump” will begin construction within two weeks. The proposed Arch will be built on a 20-hour-a-day schedule for the next two to three years in the center of Memorial Circle, directly blocking the historic sightline between the Lincoln Memorial and Arlington National Cemetery, where more than 400,000 service members and their families rest.
A group of Vietnam veterans is suing to stop it, but Trump is moving dirt anyway. Arlington is hallowed ground, not a backdrop for one man's ego.
Springfield, Ohio -- Seven Haitians reported for ICE check-ins last Thursday. One was a woman who had given birth twenty days earlier and lost the baby. “She came to the office. She could not even walk,” he said. “But they put the shackle on her.”
thebulwark.com/p/the-cruelty…
Joe Conason retweeted
Trump Tower's first Russian mob money-laundering case, 1984. Forty years later, the same man's brother is on trial for murder and arson — and the network connecting them never really went away. @stuartpstevens @Meidasonline @BulwarkOnline
My latest: craigunger.substack.com/p/th…
Monstrous. Civil disobedience is coming
BREAKING: the administration is now threatening in federal court to LEVEL the Kennedy Center if Trump does not get his way
His path of destruction knows no bounds & he will answer for it in court @DDAction_ @WLG -TN
nytimes.com/2026/08/25/arts/…
Joe Conason retweeted
BREAKING: the administration is now threatening in federal court to LEVEL the Kennedy Center if Trump does not get his way
His path of destruction knows no bounds & he will answer for it in court @DDAction_ @WLG -TN
nytimes.com/2026/08/25/arts/…
Joe Conason retweeted
This is an amazing stat. What a fucking evil human being Kennedy is and, of course, Trump to sponsor and extol him (among many other things).
And what a craven fool Bill Cassidy is.
Replying to @PeterHotez
3/n we’re going the wrong direction as a country and I’m especially worried about a massive measles surge next winter the time historically we would see measles in the prevaccine era
Joe Conason retweeted
My son is about to start kindergarten and I literally cannot imagine how I would feel or what I would do if masked agents hauled him off to a detention center with no explanation and no way of knowing when he'd get out.
What our government keeps doing in our name is monstrous.
ICE has abducted another five-year-old. His name is Liam. This week he missed his first week of Kindergarden because he is detained at the infamous Dilley Detention Center in Texas. Reporting by the great @LidiaTerrazas.
Guess who else raised money for this Nazi dirtbag Herrera? @RobertKennedyJr's #MAHA PAC of course. wsj.com/politics/tony-lyons-…
A Republican candidate called children "cum trophies" and Mr. Family Values Mike Johnson is campaigning for him. The GOP has become the party of unabashed, disgusting misogyny and I hope women (and people who don't hate women) will wake the f up.
nytimes.com/2026/08/10/opini…
He Says Obscene Things About Mothers and Children. Mike Johnson Is Raising Money for Him. nytimes.com/2026/08/10/opini… via @NYTOpinion
Yes — there are moments when “both sides” reflects a depressing reality