Technical Analysts 📈 | Small Cap Degen | Asymmetric Momentum Setups
Gold Coast, Queensland
Joined May 2016
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Jimmy D retweeted
$BTC
This is actually insane.
Whales are accumulating at record levels while retail traders continue to short the lows.
The divergence in positioning is now even larger than it was during the bottoming range.
Looks like retail is falling for a massive bear trap while larger players are quietly buying up every dip they get.
Jimmy D retweeted
this looks sus as fuck, heavy spot buying on Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX
and at the same time heavy shorting on perps, that way they suppressing the price around 74800
could be a bear trap or some fuckery before CPI tomorrow which is expected around 0.28 month over month
Jimmy D retweeted
black rock is going to pump $ETH soon
not even about the tech or anything else...just the game
bookmark this...i think we will get 9k at some point once everything bottoms
Jimmy D retweeted
Take a look at the spot buying
It has been going up since the US market open and yet Bitcoin has been underperforming stocks
Why?
Because perps are shorting like hell, and this has been happening for weeks now
It looks like someone is trying to fill their billion dollar balance sheet hole
Jimmy D retweeted
Golden Cross on $BTC!
The 3D MA100 has just crossed above the 1D MA200.
Previously it happened in Q2 2023, marking the beginning of a bull cycle!
Bullish for Bitcoin long-term.
Jimmy D retweeted
Good morning.
There are currently over $10 billion of cumulative levered shorts on Bitcoin up to $83K. You know what they say when everyone is leaning into the same trade.
Have a great day.
Jimmy D retweeted
Cem Karsan on what people are panicking about right now: “This is nothing really that big. Yet.”
But when the debasement comes, and he says it will, gold doesn’t climb. It gaps.
“One day you’re gonna wake up and it’s gonna be up 20%. And when that happens, it’s gonna be up a hundred percent in a quarter.”
Jimmy D retweeted
Coinbase Premium hit a 4-year low.
The last time it was this low was in Nov 2022, right after the FTX collapse, when BTC bottomed.
Market sentiment is bearish enough to be bullish, imo.
Jimmy D retweeted
JUST IN: Strive $ASST CEO Matt Cole just said their amplification engine is only just getting started and the honeymoon period is not over.
"Our amplification ratio is the most powerful and sustainable engine for generating total returns in excess of #Bitcoin."
"I don't think most investors even understand the value of our amplification engine yet." 👀🔥
Jimmy D retweeted
Is the $ASST honeymoon over?
I don't buy it.
When $MSTR held about 43,000 BTC in Dec 2020:
• MSTR: $32 (split-adjusted)
• BTC: $19.4K
Today:
• MSTR: $141 (4.4x), with a peak at $543 (16.8x)
• BTC: ~$80K (4.1x)
Strive just crossed 43,000 BTC at $26 a share.
If ASST only matches what MSTR did from the same starting point:
$26 → $116
That's 4.4x, a +340% return.
And that's the base case, not MSTR's 16.8x peak.
But Strive isn't running MSTR's 2020 playbook. It's running the refined version, with the lessons already learned:
• Preferreds from the start, not years in
• A dividend reserve funded up front
• BTC per share up 13.9% in a single week
Same starting line. Better playbook. More time for bitcoin to work.
Not financial advice. Just my opinion
$ASST $MSTR $BTC
The honeymoon period may be over for $ASST
It has been an incredible year for Strive. Of that, there is no doubt. But now, eyes are being drawn toward what may lay ahead. And it could be a sliding doors moment.
With $SATA a couple of bucks off par, and new guidance stating that no issuance of shares for the purposes of buying more Bitcoin will take place below $100, AND a desire to generate "total returns", the questions are really simple. But really important.
Will any potential Bitcoin purchases come exclusively from $SATS?
Will reserves be used to buy back $SATA?
Will we see a couple of weeks with no Monday morning announcements at all?
And the one I and many other shareholders are watching: Will Strive ATM the common, to either buyback SATA, buy Bitcoin, or increase the cash reserve now that SATA losing par may be creating some market pressure?
Strive has yet to put a foot wrong. The entire execution has been flawless, and rightly lauded by many.
But sometimes the market presents particular questions at particular times, and it feels like for the first time, Strive must show its hand for the short to medium term future.
Bitcoin Treasuries dont need to race to a certain stack size too quickly. They dont need to announce moves every week.
Sometimes you just put the lid on the pot, turn down the heat a little, and let things simmer for a while before any taste tests or the addition of any more ingredients.
It's going to be very interesting to see how Strive plays this.
Jimmy D retweeted
$BTC is breaking down on the daily chart.
Still watching the 2023 bull fractal similarities.
$87K -> $75K -> $100K
Jimmy D retweeted
Do y'all even understand how impressive this is? I won't lie, i NEVER thought they would be able to accumulate anything more than 1,000 BTC per week on a GOOD week. These mfs are buying 25,000 BTC per MONTH in a BEAR market. How is this even remotely possible?!
Jimmy D retweeted
Matt Cole just telegraphed Strive’s next chapter with two quiet moves the 6,182 Bitcoin headline completely overshadowed.
By increased their cash reserve to $554.6M (from $187.7M) AND establishing a $1 Billion $SATS ATM program, he did the following:
1. Increased cash buffer to fully cover the 18-month dividend reserve on both SATS and SATA.
Here is the math:
SATS: 7,000,000 shares × 15% on $100 stated amount = $105M per year.
SATA: ~14.03M shares × 13% on $100 stated amount = ~$182.4M per year.
Combined annual obligation: ~$287.4M.
2. This leaves ~$123.5M of excess cash buffer.
Treating that excess as the reserve for new preferred issuance assuming a 50/50 notional blend of SATS and SATA, the excess cash supports about $588M of additional preferred stock (~$294M each).
3. With $588M of additional preferred stock issurance, that will generating roughly $559M in proceeds at recent pricing levels.
At $100k per BTC those proceeds could fund the acquisition of approximately 5,590 Bitcoin while still preserving the full 18-month dividend runway.
In other words, Strive is cooking with kerosene 🔥