LSE Policy Fellow on the Leading for London programme [email protected]

Joined March 2021
“Why are councils fucking taking more money off me and doing less?” People don't realise how much councils spend on social care – they just see services declining So they land on an understandable, if unfair, conclusion: councils are wasting their money newstatesman.com/politics/20…
3
241
Worsening affordability & widening inequality are often cited as reasons for rent control But international examples tell us that, far from fixing things, rent control can make these problems worse My piece for @redbrickblog on what the experience of other cities can teach us
What can England learn from international experience of rent controls? From Berlin to San Francisco, @JenMTreadwell at @lse_london examines who benefits, what happens to housing supply, and the difficult trade-offs involved in regulating rents. redbrickblog.co.uk/2026/08/t…
1
4
646
Business Rate cuts are intended to help companies survive, but all they end up doing is subsidising landlords
I’m giving thousands of pubs, clubs and music venues a 20% cut in business rates. I won’t stand by while these cherished local spaces disappear, replaced by boarded-up windows and ‘For Sale’ signs. They’re the heart of our communities and it’s time we backed them.
1
1
2
549
Business Rates look like a tax on doing business, so people assume that cuts work by making it cheaper to do business But Business Rates are a property tax, so cutting them is just a subsidy for those who own the property
1
38
Businesses do initially benefit. But this only lasts until they renew their lease or go through a rent review After that, landlords set rent at a higher level to capture how much the tenant is actually willing to pay So the cut effectively becomes a landlord subsidy
30
Crime anxiety in London goes beyond the fear of being a victim yourself. It's a broader feeling that the city is becoming unsafe and in decline Here's what LSE's polling says about Londoners' experiences of crime
1
1
3
689
Londoners are undeniably concerned about crime The feeling that safety is declining is shared widely, with more people believing Ldn is becoming less safe than safer across income groups, ethnicity, gender, & age
1
114
Unsurprisingly, tackling crime is a priority for those who feel unsafe Nearly half of those who feel London is becoming less safe named crime as a top issue at the local elections But so too did a third of those who feel London is becoming safer for them personally
65
London polling ahead of local elections was broadly good, but the interpretation often assumed that vote share translates neatly into council control It doesn't. And that's a lesson insurgent parties & commentators need to learn blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp… Me in @LSEpoliticsblog
1
1
2
294
Reform's ~30% was fairly stable across the borough. It's enough to be competitive almost everywhere, but rarely enough to finish first MRPs can't pick up the internal quirks which are central to local elections, so they average the support to estimate borough-wide vote shares
1
45
We should be able to forgive MRPs for missing these internal dynamics – that's not really what they're designed to do But when commentators & parties treat them as a prediction for control, it can lead to misunderstandings, & in the case of parties, misallocation of resources
37
There’s a view floating around that immigration is a fundamental obstacle to YIMBY & pro-growth politics The idea is that migration drives housing scarcity, which destroys consent for housebuilding as ppl fear only migrants will benefit I've had a look at how this holds up👇
"So long as pro-growth advocates refuse to confront mass immigration, they will never build a durable coalition" More on this today from @CJAWorrall on why YIMBYism failed.
1
1
4
533
We can see this clearly when we plot Reform's vote share against local house prices. Reform does best where housing is cheapest, not where immigration pressure on housing is highest House prices are actually a better predictor of Reform vote than average income @Moreincommon_
1
1
118
House prices indicate an area's strength. When an area is struggling, people feel locked into a declining area & resent it Our 'place' shapes our values & politics. So, immigration becomes a tool to explain an area's loss of status: if I'm losing, someone else must be winning
1
4
106