Senior Research Fellow - Applied Military Sciences, @RUSI_org; PhD History. Opinions my own.

Joined May 2011
Jack Watling retweeted
Video from Ukraine's 475th Assault Regiment "Code 9.2" of two turtle tanks engaging Russian positions. The tanks sustain multiple FPV and mine strikes. They are escorted by a Vampire heavy bomber drone, FPV, and Mavic. youtube.com/watch?v=cjDggsof…
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Jack Watling retweeted
"The U.S. awarded Sabena Aerospace Engineering, a Belgian company, a contract of up to some $235.5 million for maintenance of Ukraine’s F-16s, though subcontractors perform some of the work. Phase inspection generally takes two to six weeks in the U.S., but it’s 'taking as long as 40 weeks in Belgium,' says retired U.S. Navy Rear Adm. Mark Montgomery. Another Western source tells us that more than half of Ukraine’s F-16s are currently in maintenance limbo, and at the current pace of use and maintenance Kyiv will exhaust the rest by the end of the year. A Ukrainian air force spokesman declined to comment." wsj.com/opinion/ukraine-f-16…
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Jack Watling retweeted
To put this into perspective the Germans are losing about 1,300-1,600 killed and wounded per day in Normandy 1944. The Ukrainians are absolutely hammering the Russians.
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 29 September 2026. Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: Defence Intelligence – communicating probability - GOV.UK #StandWithUkraine
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Jack Watling retweeted
Putin does not need to announce a new mobilisation - Russia is already sustaining one quietly, through financial incentives and pressure on its poorest regions. The question is how long this can continue before its human cost becomes politically unavoidable. The latest #RUSICommentary by Zoe Neiman argues Russia's manpower problem 'is as political as it is demographic,' and warns the political consequences 'may become increasingly difficult to contain'. rusi.org/explore-our-researc…
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Attribution of the Milrem Arson Attack to Russian Security Services
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Jack Watling retweeted
Cars and buses go from Oxford Station down Botley Road for the first time in three years! The project took longer than the construction of The Titanic and saw costs balloon to £237m. Looks good though.
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Jack Watling retweeted
For the benefit of the doubt, and despite the company's best efforts to present otherwise, Palantir is *not* powering Ukraine's drone war. Their products are still being used in only a very small percentage of the most exotic operations.
Palantir’s CEO Karp: When I got to Ukraine on day 5, almost everyone thought it would lose. Look at what happened. Ukraine, Israel and the US systematically outperform on the battlefield where AI and advanced technologies are deployed. It's a major concern for China and Russia.
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Jack Watling retweeted
My new book - out on October 22nd.
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A disgraceful piece calling for Ukrainian capitulation. What does she think the end result will be? Shame on the Spectator for commissioning it.
Not sure how anyone can read Mendel’s piece and see it as a call for more Russian occupation. Thats a malicious misrepresentation of what she is saying which is the exact opposite- less war, less pointless destruction. Enough
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Jack Watling retweeted
Russia did not try to strike Boris Johnson’s train, or the VIP train that went before it. (In this case they were after a petrol station and standalone locomotive.) Harder to understand the outrage over a VIP train and silence about the rest. theguardian.com/world/2026/s…
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Jack Watling retweeted
The person arrested by British police today for assisting GRU's Volunteer Corps ( bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c7v4…), has a colorful history. In 2013, at age 18, he was convicted for a violent group robbery that left three people unrecognizably disfigured (mugshot below). yorkpress.co.uk/news/1057175…
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Jack Watling retweeted
I told the @nytimes that what we have been seeing in Ukraine is drone warfare bleeding into the missile regime. E.g., jet-powered Banderols are effectively cheap cruise missiles, slipping outside the envelope of some -- though not all -- of the propeller-driven interceptors Ukraine built its air defense around. That has, at least for now, pushed Kyiv back toward scarcer and more expensive missiles to bring some of them down, even as cheaper counters are being developed. The future appears to be mixed attack packages, with slower propeller and rotor drones still doing the essential work of saturating and exhausting air defenses while smaller number of high-speed jets punch through. Both sides are now locked in a classic adaptation cycle in unmanned warfare: every interceptor breakthrough invites a countermeasure in the form of a 'better' attack drone, and the side that wins is the one that can keep quality high while keeping the unit affordable enough to field at scale. nytimes.com/2026/09/03/world…
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⚡️Russia has enough resources to wage war through 2028, Ukraine's military intelligence says. Ukraine's military intelligence chief Oleh Ivashchenko said Ukrainian strikes are contributing to Russia's budget deficit, "which today stands at $82 billion". kyivindependent.com/russia-h…
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As the Integrated Operating Concept of 2020 argued: you only get to contest the threat in the ‘Grey Zone’ below the threshold of war if you have deterred your opposition from fighting you above it.
All retired generals claiming the escalation in Russian activity requires more defence spending. The irony is that if you want to combat hybrid ops, spend instead on MI5, MI6, police, BBC, community coherence. Much more effective at this than an F-35 jet inews.co.uk/news/politics/pu…
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Jack Watling retweeted
Not sure what’s more surprising here: - The Army doesn’t have the right C-UAS kit yet - All the articles saying “tanks are obsolete” or “Ukraine destroyed all the Americans” were wrong As always, we try and learn what we can from the incredible experts in Ukraine - right now they truly know best.
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Jack Watling retweeted
E.g. how come S Korea sustains a navy ~twice as big from an economy ~half the size (while also fielding a huge land army)? Ditto a Japanese economy of ~about the same size? Why can the smaller French/Italian economies sustain slightly bigger fleets* with much better availability?
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