@JZBerman

“The job ain’t about telling the story you like the most” Bunk Moreland

 London, England
london.edu/faculty-and-research/faculty-profiles/b/berman-j-z-1
Joined March 2009
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  • Following970
  • Followers659
54Media
When you expand the number of teams, the group stage contains more bad teams. Strong teams have an easier time getting through the group stage and securing 1st. Not only are they more likely to advance to the knockout round, but the early knockout rounds becomes more favorable.
Adam Bucholz@Bucholz_AdamJul 12
Miejsca półfinalistów Mundialu w rankingu FIFA: 1994 🇧🇷3, 🇮🇹4, 🇸🇪10, 🇧🇬29 1998 🇧🇷1, 🇫🇷18, 🇭🇷19, 🇳🇱25 2002 🇧🇷2, 🇩🇪11, 🇹🇷22, 🇰🇷40 2006 🇵🇹7, 🇫🇷8, 🇮🇹13, 🇩🇪19 2010 🇪🇸2, 🇳🇱4, 🇩🇪6, 🇺🇾16 2014 🇩🇪2, 🇧🇷3, 🇦🇷5, 🇳🇱15 2018 🇧🇪3, 🇫🇷7, 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿12, 🇭🇷20 2022 🇦🇷3, 🇫🇷4, 🇭🇷12, 🇲🇦22 2026 🇦🇷1, 🇪🇸2, 🇫🇷3, 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿4
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Jonathan Berman retweeted
Maia@maiamindelJun 25
gonna be honest everyone is way overthinking the air conditioner thing. until fairly recently europe didn't get hot enough to warrant them and they were too expensive to use only a few days a year
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A misunderstanding of resistance to AC. It's not about being "right-coded." It's a resistance to American style consumer culture. And that resistance, while it may be misplaced when it comes to AC, is one of the best things Europe has going for it.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
@NoahpinionJun 26
AIR CONDITIONING IS NOT A RIGHT-WING TECHNOLOGY IT'S JUST A PUMP THAT MAKES A ROOM COLDER STOP BEING AN IDIOT
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Jonathan Berman retweeted
Paul Graham
@paulgJun 24
Replying to @skdh
Mostly because they sense that Europeans regard them as barbarians, and they worry that they're right. So they are excited by any evidence of European inferiority.
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Maybe it's just the algorithm, but I haven't seen so much support for Starmer as I have once he resigned. What's that about?
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Which countries have had the most World Cup success per capita? I scored each team’s historical finishes: QF = 1, SF = 3, Final = 7, Title = 15, then divided by their population. Uruguay is a huge outlier: 19 pts/ million people Croatia is a distant 2nd: 5 pts / million
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The rest of the top 10? 3) Hungary: 2.6 4) Argentina: 2.5 5) Sweden: 2.5 6) Netherlands: 2.4 7) Italy: 2.3 8) Chezhoslovatia/Czechia: 2.2 9) Germany: 2.1 10) France 1.3
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This is an example of an ideological sunk cost. It happens in all areas of life (beliefs about parenting, politics, religion, nutrition, investing, etc.). And though academics are subject to this error, they are likely less prone to it than experts in other domains of life.
Kevin Bass
@kevinnbassJun 4
Imagine spending your whole life becoming an academic expert. Then a random guy online tells you that you are wrong about your own field. And he's right. But you can never admit that. Because it would mean admitting that your life was a lie. That is the dilemma of many academics.
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Jonathan Berman retweeted
Derek Thompson
@DKThompMay 31
This has quietly been a miracle month in medicine. In the last 5 weeks we’ve got news on: - retatrutide, the triple agonist GLP-1 from Lilly, basically melting fat and body-wide inflammation at record levels - RevMed’s new pancreatic cancer drug showing unprecedented abilities to extend life - small trial of a one-and-done PCSK9 gene editing therapy for slashing LDL cholesterol - Mayo’s AI-assisted radiology showing vastly improved cancer detection - this new therapy for metastatic solid tumors This stuff is at varying levels of evidence. Retatrutide is ~100% on its way, other stuff needs more clinical trial data. But put it together and we’re maybe on the verge of majorly reducing the mortality of heart disease and cancer, the two leading causes of death in America.
Crémieux
@cremieuxrecueilMay 31
This is actually insane. 97% of people taking the standard of care for metastatic solid tumor got worse by seven years. But with lorlatinib, that number was only 45% in the same time! This is an ENORMOUS jump in the quality of cancer care.
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The fact that AI can write fluently and cheaply means that the value of institutional backing goes up. Getting accepted into a prestigious outlet signals that a piece has been vetted as worth your time and isn’t just slop.
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One problem with this argument is that the negative externalities of creating value are not properly priced into markets. Value creators get away with certain harms that fall on the shoulders of whole societies.
Boris
@bfdktaMay 28
Replying to @Noahpinion
Rich Americans already paid their debt by creating value for the country. Their personal gain is a small fraction of what they create.
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THE GENIE: I have ten jellybeans. Three contain poison that kills you instantly. The other seven each give you 100 years of good life and good fortune. What do you do? THE NORMAL PERSON: Ah, no thank you. THE ACCELERATIONIST: We have to move quickly! *immediately eats all ten jellybeans* *dies* ME: What if we do science to figure out which jellybeans are poisonous and then not eat those, but do eat the others?
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People care too much on here about whether something is written by a human or LLM. Is it informative? Is it epistemically sound? If so, it is valuable regardless of how it was created. 1/3
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There should be systems in place that reward informativeness / sound epistemics regardless of how it is written. 2/3
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One problem is that spaces like these reward for a mix of entertainment quality / celebrity (both of which we care a lot more about humanness) and solid arguments or takes (for which we ought to care less about this). 3/3
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Jonathan Berman retweeted
Dan Goldstein@dggoldstMay 26
Seems like a good time to trot this out again
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All of the following can be true at the same time: 1) Europeans live longer than Americans. 2) One mistake Europeans make (no AC) kills them when they are old. 3) The major mistakes Americans make (OD; car crashes; guns) kills them when they are young.
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4) Americans are solving some of these problems (restricting fentanyl; self-driving cars) but not others (guns). 5) Europeans are not adopting AC quick enough. 6) GLP-1 drugs will help both, but likely Americans more because they start off with greater obesity to begin with.
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Jonathan Berman retweeted
Tyler John
@tyler_m_johnMay 25
Annual reminder for the Brits that you can just buy an A/C unit for your house or place of work. You don't have to forego two weeks of sleep and work every year, that's a choice you're making.
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Thai cuisine is an outlier when it comes to popularity in the US. There are approx 4k Thai restaurants in the US per 100k Thai people living in the US. Next closest Asian cuisine is Japanese at 1.5k / 100k Japanese people. 1/2
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You get a similar result when calculating number of restaurants per total population of each country. Both Japan and Thailand have approx 200 restaurants in the US per 1 million people. Next closest is Vietnam at about 80. 2/2
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