Previously S&J Investments. AI Sales Exec. Hunting asymmetric opportunities. Focus on AI infrastructure, energy & compute. Research & 90-second breakdowns.
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Joined August 2016
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After hours cooking… don’t get too excited but.
$SPCX beat + Anthropic S1 looking sustainable.
Please lord let Trump end this war. Take any off ramp.
😭😭😭
$Mu
Market is trash right now. No way around it.
But this is what building a moat looks like. This is why making a lot of money matters.
Invest in companies with unfair advantages.
Micron $MU plans to invest up to $3 billion to strengthen the US semiconductor supply chain, including critical minerals processing in New York with Indium Corporation.
5 Earnings driving the AI trade this week:
1. Meta ($META, Wed after close): Muse AI and Agent Uptake Everyone already knows about the $140B CapEx bill. The real test on Wednesday night is whether their new Muse model and Business AI agents are getting actual traction with advertisers and businesses.
2. Lam Research ($LRCX, Wed after close): HBM Packaging Bookings Lam builds the specialized machines required to stack high bandwidth memory for AI chips. Their bookings number will show if chipmakers are still accelerating equipment orders.
3. Western Digital ($WDC, Thu after close): Cloud Storage Margins AI models generate massive amounts of data that have to be stored somewhere. Expanding margins here mean big tech is buying bulk storage at scale and Western Digital has pricing power.
4. Bloom Energy ($BE, Thu after close): Fuel Cell Megawatts The electrical grid is the biggest bottleneck in AI right now. Bloom builds on site power generators so data centers do not have to wait years for utility hookups. Watch for new megawatt deals with major cloud providers.
5. Comfort Systems ($FIX, Thu after close): Liquid Cooling Backlog Next generation server racks run too hot for standard air conditioning. Comfort Systems installs the heavy duty liquid cooling and plumbing inside these buildings. Their backlog is the best read on how fast physical data centers are actually getting built.
🔹Even with blowouts here, investors should temper expectations in the near term. The AI trade is currently in bear market territory while the street worries about high-cost debt-fueled growth.
One of the most well stated takes on the current moment in AI.
Nothing goes in a straight line. I am guilty of falling into this trap.
But the assumption that progress will stop is asinine.
There are two types of fools during this cycle imo. There’s the smart-sounding “Ed Zitron” type, ideally with a posh British accent, questioning the value of the whole AI thing as vaporwave and utterly useless while using AI to generate all their arguments. AI is clearly transformative and enormously useful and productivity-enhancing.
There’s the second type. They are actually smart but poor at public speaking and explaining themselves, and stutters a lot. They are either directly building the tech or deeply invested in the vision. They are absolutely right that AI will be transformative, but make the mistake in thinking that it'll all happen right away sweeping across society, ignoring the hurdles to rapid adoption.
There may come a time in the coming months, when the first type looks like geniuses and feel fully vindicated, but in the long time it's the second type that will actually be proven right. As usual, timing is everything.
Separating the inevitable world changing technology that is AI from how the stocks trade has been the hardest test of the year for me.
Look at what is happening under the hood:
🔹 Tech and semiconductor earnings are up over 65% year over year.
🔹 Yet the multiples the market is willing to pay for those earnings have been compressing for months.
🔹 Individual stocks get hit with sudden 20% to 30% drops in a matter of days even when the S&P 500 barely moves.
Put that on top of multiple wars across multiple continents messing with global supply chains and energy markets, and the instability makes sense.
What worked in 2025 is not working today.
Aggressively buying every dip and counting on a full recovery within a quarter is not the environment we are in anymore.
We all have to become better investors right now because the old playbook isn't built for this moment.
I still view this chop as a massive opportunity to build positions for the years ahead in what we know is coming. It just doesn't mean we are all going to make easy money on AI in the short run.
$MU
Market is 💩 but I try to do my best to look at the data.
This story only gets stronger. Ideally buybacks and continued earnings growth force a re-rate here sooner than later.
I have low conviction of a quick bounce though.
$DELL CEO Michael Dell says memory shortage is going to “get worse” next year with ~$95B in AI server backlog and DRAM supply still limiting deliveries.
With new memory fabs unlikely to provide meaningful relief until 2029 or 2030, the 2027 oversupply fears weighing on $MU and $SKHY look really disconnected from what customers are actually seeing.
I’m sorry but…. We are four years into the AI era, it’s kicking out shit line this….
And you’re bearish?
We are never going backwards.
New DRAM Demand Source Could Surge 20-Fold By 2030 zerohedge.com/technology/new…
