Why Egypt will eventually be pulled into the war in Yemen on Saudi Arabia's side directly. I was one of the first accounts over 5 months back that told my readers Egypt would enter the Middle East war. I do not look at what governments say alone, I look at data, its needs, wants and necessities. I saw that the war in the Middle East was becoming an Existential War for Egypt even though Egypt is on a different continent and in the outer periphery of the war between Iran and USA … The reason I saw was economic pressure and financial. Egypt carries a chronic, structural weakness that has shadowed it for decades, and that weakness is its currency. The Egyptian pound keeps devaluing, inflation keeps climbing, and the state stays upright only by getting its hands on hard currency, US dollars, to keep itself standing. The numbers make it concrete. Egypt is roughly a $380 to $400 billion dollar economy, but what holds it together is the foreign currency it pulls in from outside, and that comes from three pillars. All three run straight through the stability of this region. The first is the Suez Canal. Ships pay their tolls in hard currency, and at its peak the canal earned Egypt about $9.4 billion dollars a year. Since the Ansarallah Houthis started hitting the Red Sea, traffic has rerouted around Africa and that revenue has fallen by roughly half, with Sisi himself saying the canal has lost close to $9 billion dollars over two years. This is already happening, not a future risk. The second is tourism, worth a record $15 to $17 billion dollars a year, and nothing empties the Red Sea resorts and the hotels faster than a regional war that’s on international media coverage everyday for months… The third is the blind spot almost no one counts, human capital. Millions of Egyptians work across the Gulf, the largest numbers in Saudi Arabia, around a million in the UAE, and more spread through Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Iraq and Jordan. What they send home is Egypt's single biggest source of foreign currency, a record of over $37 billion dollars last year. When a region goes to war and economies seize up, foreigners and expats are the first workers let go, so those Egyptians get sent home, their dollars stop arriving, and the lifeline thins out at the EXACT moment Egypt needs it most. Those three pillars, worth more than $55 billion dollars a YEAR together, are the dollar engine of the entire country, and every one of them is directly exposed to this war. All of it can break at once. The Red Sea stays closed, Suez income falls, tourism dries up and Gulf remittances shrink together, which drains the dollars holding up the pound, pushes the currency down further, drives inflation harder, and corners a country of over 100 million people into the kind of economic pain that governments do not want and can endanger its survival… At that point Egypt is no longer choosing. Its dollar lifelines all depend on reopening the Red Sea and calming the Gulf, and the force choking that artery is the Houthis in Yemen. Protecting the canal, the tourists and the workers stops being “economic policy” and becomes a “national security necessity”, which is how a state ends up at war whether it wanted to or not. L And, this is why Egypt cannot stay on the sidelines anymore. It joins because the war has reached its wallet, not out of any appetite for the fight, and that is the difference between a “Coalition of the Willing” and the “Coalition of the Forced” this has become, one more state pulled in as the conflict widens and swallows the region. The war continues… 𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!