The future is certain, just give us time to work it out.

Wow it looks so cool to disrupt nocturnal life and the natural rhythm of Earth.

The most likely reason the Tesla Roadster was created this way is to justify a SpaceX Tesla merger.

I ran the math on what happens when all the filed megaconstellations reach steady state. Add up everything on paper (SpaceX's million data center sats, Starlink, Blue Origin's Sunrise and TeraWave, Starcloud, Amazon Leo, and China's roughly 250,000 across Guowang, Qianfan, Honghu and the CTC filings) and you get about 1.4 million satellites. Using Starlink V3 at around 2 tons for the SpaceX, Blue and Starcloud birds and 1 ton for everyone else, with a 5 year life, you'd be replacing and deorbiting about 285,000 satellites a year. That's roughly 520,000 tons a year, or 1,400 tons a day burning up in the upper atmosphere. The paper numbers won't all get built, so I also ran a more realistic case of about 210,000 satellites by the late 2030s. That still comes out to around 73,000 tons a year, or 200 tons a day. This number is several times the natural meteor dust coming in every day, and it's mostly aluminum instead of rock. Recent work out of USC suggests each satellite leaves behind about 12% of its mass as aluminum oxide particles that hang in the stratosphere for decades and can help eat ozone. At 200 tons a day that's something like 8,800 tons of alumina a year, compared to maybe 17 tons from natural sources. Nobody has modeled what that does long term, and I think it's the sleeper issue behind the whole debris conversation. Deorbiting solves the orbital problem by moving it into the atmosphere. Bringing hardware home intact is the only answer that solves both, and that was the core reason I started Outpost and designed our product the way that I did. It is honestly crazy to me that the best answer our industry has come up for the debris is to burn the trash! Space Debris: Is There a Market? spaceambition.substack.com/p…

There was about 65 years between the Wright brothers first flight and the first Moon landing. By the time @NASA lands an Artemis crew on the Moon almost the exact same number of years will have passed since Apollo 11. That should piss you off.

At Made In Space, we manufactured optical fiber on the International Space Station, but the hard part was getting it back to Earth to evaluate. That experience is a big part of why I founded Outpost. At Off World, I announced Space Factories. This brings more than a decade of work in manufacturing and Earth return together. We’re building factories that fly inside CarryAll. Companies bring their manufacturing process. We provide the spacecraft, power and thermal systems, manufacturing modules, and the ride home, all as a service. And we’ll be our own first customer. We plan to manufacture StarFiber, our optical fiber, on the same platform we’re building for other manufacturers. I want making things in space to become a normal part of doing business on Earth. A company should be able to use the conditions in orbit to make a better product and build a business around it. We’re building the infrastructure to make that possible. Thank you to Doug Gorman and @payloadspace for telling the story. Let’s go!

When I first got to work with @Pomerantz he was leading the Google Lunar X Prize. It’s great to see him sitting in between two American companies who finally are landing rovers on the Moon.

I’m going on a panel at @payloadspace Offworld Conf shortly to talk about this… Exclusive: Outpost Launches In-Space Manufacturing Service payloadspace.com/exclusive-o…

We need to pace SI

CarryAll 👀 👀 👀 aviationweek.com/space/launc…

probably a very big deal

Working today from Outpost’s Area 51 super secret desert test site.

I spoke with @payloadspace about the new National Space Transportation Policy. For the first time, the U.S. has acknowledged that reentry from space is a national priority, right alongside launch. The target: 1,000 launches and reentries a year by 2030. Downmass is infrastructure now. That's what we're building at @outpostspace.