Game AI consultant. Multi-variate math, psychology, game theory, poker... I do NP-Hard problems for fun and profit. Your computer can't but I do.
Omaha, NE
Joined September 2009
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Dave Mark retweeted
🚨 WHEN FEELINGS KILL COMMON SENSE
Being nice isn’t bad... until it breaks your country.
Some people care so much about everyone’s feelings, they forget about facts, safety, and their own neighbors.
This is called suicidal empathy. Basically, being so compassionate it turns self-destructive. Sounds wild, but it’s real.
Gad Saad says we’re overloaded with emotion, treating every stranger like family, even criminals or enemies, because it feels good.
But feelings aren’t policies, and this kind of kindness is backfiring hard.
Take U.S. borders: in 2023, a record 2.5 million illegal crossings swamped the system.
It’s not just overcrowding. Over 15,000 non-citizens were arrested for serious crimes in one year.
Fentanyl smuggling? Also up. And guess what? Those costs hit taxpayers: $150 billion a year, enough to help veterans or disaster victims.
But sure, let's keep pretending open borders are just "nice."
Then there's the “defund the police” mess. Meant to help communities, it led to fewer arrests and way more murders. A 70% jump in Minneapolis alone.
The people hurt most? The same communities it claimed to protect.
Bonus chaos: in the UK, people got arrested for tweets. That’s where feelings-over-facts leads.
DEI programs? Started with good intentions. Now they’re breaking schools and jobs.
A Forbes study said they mostly help rich elites, not everyday people. Harvard’s diversity policies even lowered team performance by 12%.
In companies, DEI training actually made bias worse. All because we’re scared to say, “Let’s hire the best person.”
It gets worse. All this empathy-for-everyone has made people stop trusting each other... down 20% since 2000.
This isn’t about being heartless. It’s about using your brain with your heart.
It's called “reasoned empathy,” where compassion meets common sense.
Help people, yes... but stop lighting your own house on fire to keep others warm.
Source: @GadSaad, @elonmusk, Gonsalves, G, Kiskin K, Heritage, RAND, NYP, @Grok Imagine
Dave Mark retweeted
Every American is a free speech absolutist until something is said they don't like.
Dave Mark retweeted
At this pivotal time for our country, we have a choice. We can be an America in renaissance or we can be an America in decline, writes Leon E. Panetta
on.wsj.com/4fY25rT
Dave Mark retweeted
This new amendment to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act would end professional gambling in the US and hurt casual gamblers, too.
You could pay more in tax than you won.
Contact your representative quickly.
Dave Mark retweeted
Presidents continue to use emergency powers to accomplish new goals.
Except for a 14-month window in the 1970s, the US has lived under one or more declared "national emergencies" continuously since *1933.*
From @Thomas_A_Berry and @bskorup @CatoInstitute news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law…
Dave Mark retweeted
BREAKING: Apple just proved AI "reasoning" models like Claude, DeepSeek-R1, and o3-mini don't actually reason at all.
They just memorize patterns really well.
Here's what Apple discovered:
(hint: we're not as close to AGI as the hype suggests)
Dave Mark retweeted
Your poker decisions tell the story of your fears, your ego, and your relationship with money better than your words ever could.
Dave Mark retweeted
ChatGPT totally sucks at poker. It knows it sucks if you ask it. Today's newsletter is a deeper dive into why, with some speculation about what this means for AI capabilities.
Dave Mark retweeted
Game designers are too afraid of complexity.
The ultra simple and obvious designs have mostly been done.
You're gonna have to work at it now and make things that aren't obvious and that are too complex to stumble upon.
That's where we are in history.
Dave Mark retweeted
From @WSJopinion: Presidents of both parties are now declaring everything to be an emergency to achieve their policy goals without having to deal with a frustrating Congress. Trump’s tariff order needs a legal challenge. on.wsj.com/41KVPy5
Dave Mark retweeted
"Trump is tearing up the whole rules-based international system created after 1945, he is ignoring the catastrophic experience that inspired that system, and he is returning the world to the 19th century.
It’s impossible to overstate how foolish and dangerous that is." by @dgardner open.substack.com/pub/dgardn…
Dave Mark retweeted
Think about it…
You get it in with 80% equity in a poker tournament. That means the other player has a 20% chance of winning. You win and double up.
A few orbits later, you flip AK vs. QQ and win. Then, an hour later, you’re in another 80/20 all-in.
80% x 50% x 80% = 32%
That’s the chance you’re still in after just those 3 scenarios. Even as a big favorite, you’re more likely to be out than still in!
Now imagine how many of these all-ins need to go your way to beat 85% of the field and cash. Imagine outlasting 99% of the field to final table.
The truth is:
Poker tournaments are designed so that even good players are supposed to lose most of the time. Bad beats, flips, and variance are inevitable. That’s why so much of the prize pool is reserved for the top spots. You just have to hit those top spots very occasionally to make up for all the bad beats and losses that came before it.
If good players won too consistently, the game wouldn’t exist. Variance keeps longterm losing players coming back since it gives them a few wins here and there on occasion—and this setup and variance is your opportunity to have an edge over those who still don't get it.
By focusing on bad beats or flips you lost, you’re wasting energy.
Instead, accept that you’ll bust 90-99% of tournaments and focus on the few occasions when you’ll run well enough to hit a big score that covers all your losses—and then some.
What you can control:
- Maximize pots when you’re running good.
- Minimize losses when you’re running bad.
- Improve your cashing % from 15% to 20%.
- Take your final table % from 1% to 3%.
Those tiny edges compound over time.
Stop wasting your mental energy on what’s out of your control. Accept the structure of the game you signed up for. Focus on strategy, mindset, and the odds over the long run.
It’s not easy, but that’s what separates the winners from the rest.
Stay sharp, stay focused, and trust the process.... 🎯
Dave Mark retweeted
The mainstream media lies
A software update is not a "recall"
Imagine headlines reading "Apple recalls 2 billion phones" whenever they release am update
