Political scientist at UCL @uclspp. Research on politics of: attitudes re austerity; inequality/representation.
Joined February 2012
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Tim Hicks retweeted
The CIA manual on disrupting activist groups largely explains most meetings in academia.
Tim Hicks retweeted
Problems with the planning system: a personal anecdote (thread).
I’m trying to get an air to air heat pump (air con) installed at home, but I’m not sure whether I need planning permission or not. But as far as I can tell, there’s no way for me to find out…
Tim Hicks retweeted
A point made by @drjennings at the BPC event on Wednesday: we are yet to properly consider what would happen to our political system if forecasts (nowcasts) such as this were to play out.
MODEL UPDATE | How would the UK vote if the election was held today?
LAB: 455 MPs (+255)
CON: 86 (-286)
LDEM: 65 (+57)
SNP: 20 (-28)
PC: 3 (+1)
GRN: 1 (-)
REF: 1 (+1)
via Britain Predicts, 07 Jun
See the breakdown seat to seat:
sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/0…
Tim Hicks retweeted
New @VerianGroup random probability poll. #EURef2 vi: Apply to join 56; Stay out 28. Fwork 30.5-3.6.24. veriangroup.com/hubfs/Britai…
Tim Hicks retweeted
Remarkable fact:
Average teacher pay is about the same today in real terms as it was in 2001.
Average pay across the economy is about 18% higher than in 2001.
Average teacher pay is 6% lower in real terms than in 2010, and about the same level in real terms as in 2001.
Meanwhile, earnings across the economy are 6% higher than in 2010. This may help explain some of the teacher recruitment and retention problems.
[6/8]
ALT Chart shows teacher pay and teaching assistant pay over time as compared with average earnings across the UK, 2010–11 = 1. Title states: "Average teacher pay across the UK in 2024 is about 6% lower in real terms than in 2010, while average earnings are 6% higher."
Tim Hicks retweeted
'One of my biggest fears in life is what happens to him when I'm gone.'
Speaking on @ITVTonight, Sir Ed Davey opened up about juggling responsibilities as Liberal Democrat leader and caring for his disabled teenage son | @rachyoungeritv reports
itv.com/news/2024-06-03/sir-…
Tim Hicks retweeted
- climate change is largely absent from this general election so far
- and yet the UK had its warmest May and meteorological spring on record according to provisional Met Office figures published today
Tim Hicks retweeted
It’s probably time that UK universities require attendance in seminars/lectures, or no graduation. In additional to the individual losses of not attending, there are significant negative externalities on other students. The status quo is not sustainable. theguardian.com/education/ar…
Tim Hicks retweeted
The US doesn't have a national high-speed rail network because our population density is low ... the UK doesn't have one because it's governed by morons.
Tim Hicks retweeted
Something of a pickle on #monetarypolicy. A short thread.
Policy rates had to rise. Most of the work has been done. We are in the #endgame. Because inflation is expected to fall, given policy response. The issue is now is comms and the interaction with the market.
1/n
Tim Hicks retweeted
🌟WHY POLITICS FAILS LAUNCH DAY🌟
Delighted that Why Politics Fails is out today in the UK. I've written a Substack that sets out why I wrote the book and why I hope you all buy it! And for those who don't want to stop scrolling Twitter, a quick thread.
benansell.substack.com/p/why…
Tim Hicks retweeted
Ken Clarke's memoir says that as Justice Secretary in 2010, he was pressed by the Sun editor to buy prison ships, as the paper wanted to campaign on that issue
theguardian.com/politics/201…
Tim Hicks retweeted
This is a choice.
Public finance numbers assume "temporary" cut in fuel duty will be reversed and that (contrary to 13 yrs) fuel duty will rise with inflation. Freezing duty costs £6bn.
If govt spends £6bn doing that will be hard for it to argue it couldn't do anything on pay.
How to end nhs and school strikes? The @TheIFS @PJTheEconomist has a compelling idea. He says £6bn could be found, enough to top up pay rises for teachers, nurses and ambulance workers to circa 6%, by not keeping 5p fuel duty cut and not freezing duty (for first time since 2011)
Tim Hicks retweeted
We have achieved an interim statement on USS with UUK that is 100% contingent on pursuing the 2023 valuation. There are no variables. Anyone now arguing that we can ‘build on’ that statement to restore earlier either has not read it or does not understand the valuation process.
Tim Hicks retweeted
71% of Americans think the US should spend more on "assistance to the poor"
... but call it "welfare" and that number drops to 30%
Tim Hicks retweeted
We need to get used to a world where Portugal and Greece are the leaders in fiscal consolidation and prudent fiscal management and Germany is a laggard. At least France is a beacon of stability, although not in a good way...
Tim Hicks retweeted
One of the most astonishing charts from the energy crisis: a reduction of gas consumption in Europe of over 20% with no perceptible impact on industrial output across most countries.
Tim Hicks retweeted
CAN I ASK ALL UCU MEMBERS TO RT THIS THREAD
Yesterday was a major day for the union and I wanted to give some further updates but crucially outline how we keep the pressure on our employers.
#ucuRISING
Extremely informative thread.
A Sunday afternoon thread 🧵on the history of USS and the disputes, for those that are interested. #USSMess; How we got here.
Tim Hicks retweeted
Listen to BBC Radio Scotland roast UCEA's chief exec over the university strikes
No wonder vice-chancellors are nowhere to be seen!
#ucuRISING