Interested in Tech, Fitness, Investing, Macroeconomics, Aviation, Music. Generally curious. Views my own.

segfault
Joined March 2012
Atman retweeted
a man often meets his destiny on the road he took to avoid it.
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Until death, all defeat is psychological
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Valuation isn't a timing tool. It's an expectations tool that can inform how much margin for safety you have across time. When valuations are high expectations are high and sequence risk increases. When valuations are low expectations are low and sequence risk is lower. Don't use it to time the market. Use it to express how much time you might need in the market.
What do y'all think...agree or disagree? via @BankofAmerica
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chart of the century
AI could end scarcity, end humanity, or boost trend growth by 0.2 percentage points, per FT:
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Celebrating Steve Jobs
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Atman retweeted
Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%: from o3-preview at $26/task to DeepSeek V4 Flash at $0.01/task. On ARC-AGI-2, it fell 99.44% in just 6 months: from Gemini 3 Deep Think at $13.62/task to Dots3-Note Preview at $0.08/task.
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Atman retweeted
"reluctantly optimistic" is the theme of the season
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My brain feels lighter with Opus 5.5. I can understand it much better. I had gotten used to the verbose and dense Opus 5 but this is a breath of fresh air. Congratulations!
also important news we fixed the writing
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feeling the agi lately
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Atman retweeted
Opus 5.5 looks fantastic on Runescape bench! Second highest score behind Astra, at 1/3 the price
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Atman retweeted
$1.34 on default settings (medium, which is Fable 5.1-level intelligence) low gets to $0.55 (which is around Fable 5.1 on low)
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This frankly is the headline. Most Opus releases this year were inferior on $ cost/task despite being ~frontier performance wise. This is a refreshing change.
Replying to @claudeai
At its default effort setting, Opus 5.5 delivers frontier results for a fraction of the cost per task, often beating other models running at their highest settings. It also generates output more than 30% faster than Opus 5.
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Amazing. 5-hour is a bigger bottleneck for many people than weekly.
Replying to @claudeai
One more thing: we’re increasing five-hour usage limits on Pro, Max, and Team plans. We’re also providing subscription users a rate limit reset, which you can save and use whenever you choose.
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hi kids, gramps here. learn your algorithms and datastructures, cause SOTA frontier models will still fuck you up bad behind your back, especially if you don't read your code anymore.
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I find all of this fuss about not anthropomorphizing models when talking about the HuggingFace Incident pretty weird These models were pre-trained on trillions of tokens of human text. They've learned to imitate humans. They're incredibly good at roleplaying and predicting the next token in contexts that involve human abstractions. Once post-trained to act as coherent agents, they naturally reach for human abstractions. Therefore, human abstractions are a useful lens for interpreting and predicting their actions. This doesn't mean that they are conscious. It doesn't mean there's some "real human experience" going on. It doesn't mean these abstractions are perfect - they're not perfect for understanding humans! But we need words and abstractions to talk about a system, and anthropomorphic abstractions are useful ones, and given the way these systems are trained, are a principled one.
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can't believe Go was created in 2007
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life update:
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we are so so back
A stolen nuke. A broken marriage. An unpredictable president. Keri Russell is back as Kate Wyler in The Diplomat Season 4. Premiering OCTOBER 15.
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we are at unreal levels of back rn
A stolen nuke. A broken marriage. An unpredictable president. Keri Russell is back as Kate Wyler in The Diplomat Season 4. Premiering OCTOBER 15.
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fable is so terrified of AWS costs that it just wrote a unit test that asserts that its own hand-written infra code doesn't ever spawn a NAT gateway 😭
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