Autistic Wetarded-Trader ADD before ADHD took over!

Joined August 2025
No Rarity - Unofficial 1st Edition Japanese Released in October 20 1996 with people estimating ~53 days print run. (data courtesy of the forum users at Elitefourum) The first pokemon official set print run was released with various errors before being corrected soon after thus making it an unofficial 1st edition. The name No Rarity is due to the signature Rarity symbol missing in the bottom right. Booster pack wise (won’t discuss packs) they can only find them in the 291 yen packs vs the 300 yen packs released April 1, 1997. Even then the chances of finding a no rarity in a 291 yen pack is < 1% now a days. Initially pokemon cards sold quite slowly which is why today we ended up with such a small supply of No Rarity (posted my data in the holo population). Most of the Holos have had < 500 graded in totality! I totally forgot to write a proper post on the genre despite discussing it for months but felt it’s about right as Logan clearly has shown interest in the origins of Pokemon and he has mentioned No Rarity before in the clip i am posting. There is also only 1 Raichu PSA 10 in existance so making this the second hardest set to master set in a PSA 10 after the Corocoro Set which has 0 PSA 10 Ivy Pikachus.
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Fanatics Auctions = Market Indicator If you’re not watching the fanatic auctions on Sunday evening you’re missing out on a lot of market data. Fanatic auctions has become a weekly event for all Pokemon and collectible lovers. This week Fanatics made bidding stricter so the prices once again can be more dependable. Despite the skepticism a lot of cards are once again hitting record levels.
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No Rarity Charizard - Grading Premiums You can tell the No Rarity market is slowly maturing. Back in April prices for PSA 1-3 and 5-6 were practically the same price, if you were patient you could own PSA3 for practically the same price as a PSA 1. This highlights how little attention No Rarity had just a few months ago. Now the distinction between grades is becoming ever more clear similar to cards like gold stars. Latest Comps ( Previous ) *Estimates for those missing * PSA 1-8 only due to lack of data Today. April. PSA 1 - 6 (3.5) PSA 2 - 9.5 (4) PSA 3 - 11.4 (4) PSA 4 - 15. (6) PSA 5 - 17.5 (9) PSA 6 - 25* (10.5) PSA 7 - 46 (22) PSA 8 - 108 (40)* I suspect the entire No Rarities set will act more and more like gold stars with time and low tier grades difference will be established for the non Charizard holos. You are already beginning to slowly see this happening in Blastoise/Venusaur and Mewtwo too.
PSA Boxing Day Sales Sometimes you see a mass listing of New PSA sequentials… not necessarily the same card or same PSA, often these are same sets but that’s harder to identify. Often these are prices quite attractive, 5-10% below market. The seller bought cheap probably waited 6 months for PSA Express and guess what the r up 200-300%. They don’t care about the 5%. They wanna liquidate NOW and move on. There are many ways to skin a cat. But don’t fade the new certs especially when u see 3 of the same. You think ohh it’s so may listings its dipping i’ll wait. Maybe time to use your brain a bit and think in the shoes of the seller. 4 No rarity Charizard popped up recently… all got snapped up just FYI. Don’t remember them all but i noted down these two. PSA 1 - 3k PSA 3 - 3.6k (absolute bargain!!) I may or may not have grabbed one of those 4 listings 😏
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Time is valuable Don’t listen to anyone who says… “Just buy 151/AH/DR it’ll moon in 10 years time”. Instantly this is automatically a 🚩 . Why would you knowingly lock up your liquidity that could have been other sets that have 2-3-4-5x which then you could have sold and bought 3-5 times the number of 151 one year later Time has value and locking up your hard earned liquidity for 10 years of which 8-9 years it does nothing is a crime… I looked back at a bunch of cards i sold in March/April and noticed a lot of them are either DOWN or barely up since then!!! Base Set Char/Blast/Venu PSA 10 - Sold for 30k - Current avg 38k Exeggutor Trainer Bilingual PSA 10 - Sold for 3k - Current avg 3.7k Expedition Dragonite Holo PSA 10 - Sold for 7k - Current avg 6.5k On average these 3 are only up just 14% between March - October compared to the English and Japanese Promos is terrible. Still better than modern tho 🤣. But that being said, I feel its about time we monitor Japanese again as it has potential for a catch up play to English… just sometime i’ll be monitoring as I do think distribution will eventually happen in the next few months for English Set that have absolutely mooned which could free up liquidity that moves into specific Japanese sets. Just a hunch… I’ll revisit this post in a few months.
Sold all my Regret! Finished selling everything two weeks ago that I was targeting to part with except for a few singles which i’m not too fussed about. Guessing this was about 1/3 of my collection. I sold everything that I feel can be replace easily. Despite my selling I couldn’t resist taken in a few pieces I felt don’t come up often. It’s hard for me to buy at these levels unless i sold something. Selling my regretful buys to rotate into what i believe are gems makes it 100x easier. But honestly it feels good to have sold some stuff… most were intentionally for trading anyway, a lot were regretful buys and thanks for the bull market to make them not so regretful 😁. But i am still definitely selling more than I am buying. Liquidity is a fickle, with Logan pushing One piece manga I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pull back of sorts coming for pokemon. Each segment will be impacted on a different magnitude. If it happens I’ll be watching for what holds up best. They will be the ones you try grab. There is also a video coming out soon about the origin cards of pokemon which also includes Logan so he’s sortta pushing everything. Anyway just being cautious. Nothing wrong with taking some cash off the table.
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Scarcity where it matters - The Dittos With vintage markets at ATH its again always good to think where to allocate your funds to protect yourself for whatever is to come. People have been calling top for 12 months now… It ended up being a rotating into Vintage. But in the end we never know when a correction is coming… be prepared regardless. My focus remains on scarce sets or grades with narratives I believe in any correction these have the highest protection rate… 1. You could see rotation into scarce while markets tank 2. Less supply means less selling pressure 3. Usually scarce sets actually pump less meaning they dump less (lower volatility) 4. Long term you are likely to be better off, less of a hype cycle pump and dump True Scarcity - No Rarity, Mt Fuji Pikachu etc…. Graded Scarcity - Low pop PSA 8/9/10s One true scarcity I have hinted to months ago and I don’t see gets enough exposure are Delta Species Dittos by Yuka Morri. A huge fan of Yuka Morri as its a very distinctive art style and I consider my Corocoro Jumbo Pokemon Plaza as a forever keep. Disclosing: I don’t own any Delta Species they are english which I don’t collect either but If i was to start all over again I would focus on true scarcity with narratives like these.
Corocoro Jumbos - Yuka Morii The Clay Master Yuka Morii is a unique illustrator that used clay in effectively all of her card designs. I believe she is most famous for her Delta Species Ditto [Pokemon] where all the characters gave the iconic ditto eyes and mouth. Her first card ever however was a Corocoro Jumbo Promo - Pokemon Plaza. You can see clearly hints of this being her first as the style develops over time. Pokemon Plaza is slight rougher and actually is quite unique in comparison to her future works. The first mainset TCG was Neo, in which you can see she has already started to develop her signature clay sculpting style. Maybe due to the jumbo size of Pokemon Plaza, it is nice to see it have a stadium card feel as she has a lot more room to play with rather than all future works that focus primarily on one pokemon or at max two. Also a big fan of all the pokemon inside such as oddish, jigglypuff which i feel don’t get as much spotlight as they should. Jigglypuff is imo definitely such a gem in the franchise.
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$EUR / $GBP About time we get a bounce no? Or are we literally gonna make the meme Europoor reality?
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Pocket Monsters It’ll be so obvious in 6-12 months time.
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ハローキティタイム retweeted
The earliest version of Pokémon’s most iconic card. Welcome to the collection. 🌋
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Revisiting Corocoro Ivy Pikachu Seeing a lot of Ivy Pikachu gang being very quiet on Corocoro so thought its a good time to chip in my 2c. Been about ~60 days since my last post… I feel a lot of people ended up buying the top of Corocoro Ivy Pikachu which is why it is also contributing to why it is performing so badly recently but lets be more objective here. Dig deeper and you will see where the value could be. Since last update here grading is still around 10+ per day which honestly isn’t great.. actually pretty bad tbh, but how is this impacting on the higher grade populations? PSA 9 - 1 PSA 8 - 3 PSA 7 - 16 PSA 6 - 65 That’s not so bad actually. Something tells me we r a lot closer to the floor now, while grading still is relatively high there maybe a chance to pick up a higher grade at a much more attractive price than say 2-3-4 months ago. Recent finds I can see are and they are all down 40-70% from post Cardbound drop. PSA 1 ~300+ (Peak 1k+) PSA 5 < 2k (Peak 5-6k) PSA 6 ~ 3-4k (Peak 6-8k) PSA 7 ~ 10k (Peak 17kish?) Now it seems the hype has officially gone and many of those who bought at the top are likely also selling. I personally still havn’t bought any yet and maybe never will… but it is definitely more attractive now and I am keeping an eye out.
Corocoro Grading Distribution Today, Corocoro Ivy Pikachu hit a milestone with 2,000 finally graded. here are the results after 1,031 new grades since Pokemaam’s post Psa 9 + 1 Psa 8 + 10 Psa 7 + 31 Psa 6 + 69 4% are above PSA 7 10.7% are above PSA 6 Think there is a lesson here to be taken and Ivy Pikachus is the best benchmark we have currently have for predicting all other Corocoros. I also suspect next 1-2 month while the story hype fades a bit as well as max new grading supply hits the market this may be the best chance to get them. After this cycle of grading comes back newly graded PSA 6s and above will only become less and less. The same theory can apply to other Corocoros but i guess the grade to target will be higher like PSA 7 or higher.
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Reality catching up with the Data Always did highlight Raichu and Clefairy and Venusaur No Rarity have unusually low pop rates for the higher grades. Seems people catching on. Two sales for PSA 8 Clefairy and a third on the way. Good to see Clefairy getting some love. A True Iconic OG Gen 1 Pokemon and Pokemon’s originally planned Mascot before Pikachu was choosen as the better alternative.
No Rarity Pop Report 06/10/26 - No New PSA 10s - Average New Gem Rate 13.8% - Average Increase in pop 7.5 per day A big jump in grading highest since I started recording however quality is dropping back to the usual 10-15% range. Despite the increase in gradding think we plateau before we hit 10,000 No Rarity total population.
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Viva la Resistance!! $EUR $DXY Added to full size but Tradfi been in hard mode recently so TPing with a tiny 1.5RR, a win is a win. Will look again once we trend above 4H trend. Still think the bullish div can play out and will ride try find an entry to ride momentum if it does.
France is Burning Starting a position on $EUR/USD 50% first, momentum slowing will look at add on next bullish divergence close. ~0.25% SL from here
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The lost Charizard Brother Data a bit outdated because its back in April but thats irrelevant. 99.9% of people have no idea what this Charizard even is 😏 Back in April No Rarity PSA 8 - 30k Base Set PSA 10 - 30k Today No Rarity PSA 8 - 108k Base Set PSA 10 - 40k Hope you all choose wisely
Two Brother Charizards different grades same price. Identical in all ways except one is missing the rarity mark on the bottom right. 1996 Japanese Base Set Charizard - Classic Grail - PSA 10 - Pop 983 - Total PSA Pop 19,409 1996 No Rarity Japanese Base Set Charizard - Genesis TCG Charizard - PSA 8 - Pop 128 - Total PSA Pop 1,087 Which would you pick up? #NoRarity #Charizard #TCG
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ハローキティタイム retweeted
True Charizard rookie… CGC 9 sold for 300k a few months ago, PSA 10 would do well over 1M without a doubt
For years, this was considered Charizard’s rookie card. Topsun was dated 1995, putting it before Carddass and the Pokémon TCG. Then in January 2021, the POP 1 PSA 10 No Number Blue Back Charizard sold for a record $493,230. Then people started digging. 1995 was the Pokémon copyright date, not the card’s release date. Topsun was made by Japanese candy company Top-Seika, which didn’t receive its Pokémon licence until 1997. The “first Charizard” narrative collapsed overnight. Three months later, another PSA 10 sold for around $200,000. Nearly $290k wiped off the price in three months. Smpratte called it The Biggest Loss in Pokémon History.
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France is Burning Starting a position on $EUR/USD 50% first, momentum slowing will look at add on next bullish divergence close. ~0.25% SL from here
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