Since 2008, the Fed has always hiked rates when the probability of a hike has exceeded 90%.
Odds are currently at 92.3%.
$UBER CEO Dara Khosrowshahi buys $10,005,952 of shares.
The purchase comes less than a week after President & COO Andrew Macdonald bought $5.3 million of UBER.
$UBER President & COO Andrew Macdonald buys $5.3 million of shares.
Uber insiders have now purchased $6.9 million of shares over the past year.
Hedge Vision retweeted
August 2026 Portfolio Review
The Hedge Vision portfolio returned 5.37% in August, bringing its YTD return to 15.67%.
$NOW led my portfolio with a 29.6% return. NOW climbed the ranks to become my sixth largest position, up from ninth at the beginning of the month.
hedgevision.substack.com/p/a…
August 2026 Portfolio Review
The Hedge Vision portfolio returned 5.37% in August, bringing its YTD return to 15.67%.
$NOW led my portfolio with a 29.6% return. NOW climbed the ranks to become my sixth largest position, up from ninth at the beginning of the month.
hedgevision.substack.com/p/a…
Of the 97% of S&P 500 companies that have reported their Q2 results so far, the average earnings growth rate has been 52%, according to FactSet. Wall Street had only expected 23.1% growth as of June 30.
If the 52% rate holds, it will be the strongest since the 91.6% surge in Q2 2021, a period marked by the post-COVID reopening.
Meanwhile, the forward P/E ratio for the index sits at 19.6x, below the five-year average of 19.9x but higher than the 10-year average of 19x.
In other words, there isn’t a bubble in the stock market.
$SPY
Performance Update
August 2026:
-Hedge Vision: +5.37%
-S&P 500: +1.13%
-Nasdaq 100: +2.36%
2026 YTD:
-Hedge Vision: +15.67%
-S&P 500: +12.07%
-Nasdaq 100: +16.86%
Portfolio Weights:
-Roth IRA: 68.68%
-Individual #2: 20.99%
-Rollover IRA: 5.52%
-Individual #1: 4.81%
Note: Rollover IRA is 93% MSFT
Here’s why the stock market is down today:
-Treasury yields continue to rise. With higher yields, the opportunity cost of holding stocks goes up. Higher yields = bonds are more attractive relative to stocks since the return investors can earn from lower-risk assets goes up.
-Rate hike expectations are up as well. The odds of a 25 bps rate hike next month rose to 66.2% compared to 65.4% yesterday and 39.6% a week ago. Higher rates increase borrowing costs for companies and reduce the present value of future earnings.
-The U.S. launched a new attack on IRGC forces in Iran, sending Brent crude oil up 5%. Higher oil prices increase the risk of inflation, which also boosts rate hike odds and Treasury yields.
$SPY $QQQ
Using diversification as a way to justify my childhood nostalgia 😶
In all honesty, Pokemon cards have been on an absolute tear as of late.
They have an average return of 28% over the past three months, according to CardLadder’s Pokemon Index.
$BABA Alibaba’s co-founders give a huge stamp of confidence.
Over the past two days, co-founder and chairman Joseph Tsai has purchased $20.7 million of BABA, while co-founder and CEO Eddie Wu has tacked on $4.98 million in buys.
Waiting for the Jack Ma buy now…
Jack Ma has already joined in, buying $76.5 million of $BABA in recent days, per Bloomberg and SCMP. Wow.
Hedge Vision retweeted
Here’s What Hedge Funds Bought in Q2 2026
-Tepper’s unexpected bet against Berkshire Hathaway and Apple.
-A fresh look at Situational Awareness’ portfolio before it plummeted 67%.
-Druckenmiller buys call options on two Magnificent 7 stocks.
And much, much more…
hedgevision.substack.com/p/h…
Here’s What Hedge Funds Bought in Q2 2026
-Tepper’s unexpected bet against Berkshire Hathaway and Apple.
-A fresh look at Situational Awareness’ portfolio before it plummeted 67%.
-Druckenmiller buys call options on two Magnificent 7 stocks.
And much, much more…
hedgevision.substack.com/p/h…
$SPCX Hedge fund ownership by 13F weight:
1. PIF - 80.40%
2. D1 Capital - 61.91%
3. SCGE - 49.20%
4. Lightspeed - 51.86%
5. Dragoneer - 48.22%
6. Blue Owl - 35.87%
Full list 🔽



















