Energy/Environmental Economist; Professor at NCSU; overwhelmed parent

Raleigh, NC
Joined April 2019
I always looked at REPEAT/Rhodium analysis as best case scenario wrt clean cap additions. Lots of hard-to-model incentives and barriers that need to be overcome to reach those massive cap addn predictions
This chart is keeping me up at night.
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It’s unfortunate that this Fed conf is on the same day as the Assoc of Enviro & Res Econ Summer Conf, where there will be (and have been for many years) many climate econ papers presented
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The DOE is sticking to the “deliver ability” part of the 3 pillars: energy.gov/sites/default/fil… Despite claims of an overwhelming consensus backing the 3 pillars, deliverability makes the $3/kg subsidy hard to justify: nber.org/papers/w31902
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There is a strong push for deliverability restrictions in H2 subsidies: canarymedia.com/articles/hyd… However, our new WP (w/ Stephen Holland and Andy Yates) presents some evidence for why we it's hard to justify our H2 subsidies if we do: nber.org/papers/w31902
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Getting a new waterheater (wh). 1st person suggests heatpump(hp) wh. 2nd guy says crawlspace is too small to install a hp wh that meets code. Both gave tankless quotes that r not eligible for IRA-tax credits. Punchline-I have no idea how much energy efficiency IRA will deliver.
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Not sure I buy Duke here either, but option value is real. W/ high price volatility it’s a bigger deal. Big energy system models don’t generally pick up uncert. that drives opt. val. Would be interesting to see if cost/effic. uncertainties will delay clean energy deployment
Actual line from testimony just filed by 2nd largest US utility: “accelerating solar deployments based on today’s tech could crowd out future, unknown solar or other technologies that are more efficient or more cost-effective than today’s solar.” Not the Onion, folks.
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