Everyone quoted the Netanyahu 42% today. The tape says look at the whole board. 8 days across Polymarket's Middle East family (as of 22:00 UTC): • US–Iran meeting by Jul 31: 21% → 8% • "Israel strikes 5+ countries in 2026": 36% → 45% • Netanyahu out by end of 2026: 36% → 42% • Trump–Netanyahu July meeting: 94% high, 29% low, 67% now Single markets make headlines. Families tell you what traders think is happening.

LeBron's destination market over the last 60 hours, minute by minute: • Monday afternoon: Cleveland jumps from 26% → 49% in about an hour and briefly becomes the favorite. • Overnight: Miami takes the lead back, climbing to 55% before settling near 49%. • This morning: Cleveland falls back to 28.7%. The announcement hasn't happened yet. The market has already changed its mind twice.