ED Australian Institute for Progress. Online pollster, political commentator and occasional strategist. Surfer, father and musician. Pronouns: your choice.

Brisbane
Joined April 2008
The Liberal Party needs to recant from some of its past. If they expelled Turnbull it would do nothing to him but it would signal the Turnbull faction has lost its influence.
Malcolm Turnbull shouldn’t have been let into the Liberal Party to begin with. Too many on the left are still active in the party. The first step to rebuilding it is to expel Turnbull and remove the left deadwood. The Liberals have done this to themselves. I don’t think they even care.
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Environmentalists score own goal. Not only will Mt Pleasant coal mine proceed but 60% increase in production to 2032.
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AI is the most amazing medical consultant. I've had shoulder problems for 25 years. Physio off-and-on with little success. Became resigned to chronic pain. And then I asked ChatGPT. Shoulder is now 95% or better. This boy's story is much more serious, and demonstrates the AI power even more strongly. rationaloptimistsociety.subs…
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Free abortions? Wouldn't it make more sense to make birthing free?
People are asking why is Labor bringing up abortion rights now? Shouldn’t they have protected them before now? The truth is, that protecting abortion rights for women is always an issue, because far right extremists want to attack women. These rights are always under threat. Victorian Labor has a long-standing track record of expanding and safeguarding abortion access. Labor Governments have: 🫶Victoria decriminalized abortion in 2008 🫶introduced 150-metre safe access zones around clinics in 2015 to protect patients from harassment. 🫶Pledged a $30 million policy package for the 2026 election that will make Victoria the first state to provide completely free universal access up to 16 weeks, eliminating all out-of-pocket costs for consultations, imaging, and medication. There’s too much at risk with a Liberal One Nation coalition.
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Looks like very large solar-powered AI data centres are 100s of GWhs unlikely. From Thunder Said Energy. Same must be true for smelters and other very large users too. ml.thundersaidenergy.com/ema…
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Gentleman Jim Chalmers is not having much luck with housing policy. New home sales still on the floor.
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How do you make a loss when you get to legally right the market. In past decades the RBA always made a profit because they always knew what was going to happen before it happened. I guess they got complacent making easy money as they pushed the cash rate to almost zero.
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So you run a government-funded psyops operation to introduce a rebranded Misinformation and Disinformation Bill back into parliament? Somehow it's completely fitting.
Replying to @ausvstheagenda
This entire campaign was driven by a taxpayer-funded Australia Institute affiliate, which received a $3.5 million government grant through a closed, non-competitive process.
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I think Firmus CoreWeave etc failures might be all Elon's fault. After Space X's heroic IPO everyone else wants to be a squillionaire on the first raise instead of taking it incrementally and raising capital as they go and as they prove up. afr.com//markets/debt-market…
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Graham Young retweeted
This level of lying is not normal. According to Anne Ally we are seeing huge economic growth, with an average of 900 companies created each day, 27,490 per month, or 1.4 million since Labor took office. While the sad reality is that an average of 1,000 shut down each day, roughly 30,000–31,000 per month, or 1.46 million since Labor took office. Labor is a criminal cartel, not a democratically elected party.
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If buying carbon credits doesn't make you 'carbon neutral what is the point of carbon credits?
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Coal-fired power stations should pay if they are forced to stay open beyond their retirement date? No Jackie Trad, we'll all pay because renewables can't provide baseload energy. Another apparatchik who has failed upwards.
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The facts about the Digital Duty of Care Bill are shocking. The thought of Julie Inman Grant with a bot army at her disposal ought to worry everyone.
Replying to @shellenberger
Should the Aus government be allowed to censor anything it believes “may cause serious harm” and operate unlimited fake social media accounts?
3%Yes
97%No
9,697 votes • Final results
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Welcome to Australia Michael Shellenberger, but should we need to bring an American down here to draw attention to this shameful piece of legislation. What is it about prophets in their own country?
Well, that was wild. I'm at the Australian Parliament and just left a meeting with two staffers for the governing party. They told us that the government needed more power to censor things like the upcoming US execution of Nidal Hasan. When I asked why they needed to censor that video, one said it was to prevent copycat killings. Copycat killings by governments? I asked. Er, no, they said. Copycat killings like of a backpacker, several decades ago. So, under that logic, I pointed out, the government should censor things like last year's Bondi massacre, where two Muslims killed 15 people, no? Well, that was news, they said. Didn't they realize their bill would allow the government to censor news? They didn't seem to know, or care. They also admitted that they did not know that the bill would allow the government to create and operate an unlimited number of fake social media accounts to attack its political enemies and spread disinformation. Having presented them with information they had never heard about a bill they had clearly not read, they emphasized to us, strenuously, that they were moving forward with the bill. So there you have it. The government wants the power to arbitrarily censor scenes of violent crime, or violence, for any reason. And it wants the power to use an unlimited number of fake accounts to wage offensive disinformational warfare against the Australian people. Given that the Bondi massacre last year increased public opposition to mass migration, and support for the populist One Nation Party, it seems obvious that the government wants to censor such events in order to protect its political power. It's quite telling how obediently governing party members insist such a law is needed without even knowing what's in it.
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The same people who were silent when demonstrators were calling for the elimination of a whole country and celebrated genocide take sudden offence when an MP uses a poorly chosen hyperbolic comment. Oh dear. Most school yards are more robust than this. And these people are supposed to keep us secure?
Today Angie Bell called out Labor’s small business failures and said the PM and Anne Aly should be “absolutely shamed and stoned in the square.” Aly responded by claiming this was advocating violence against a parliamentarian, un-Australian, racist and misogynistic, while citing death threats she’s received. Where was this outrage in 2015 when Anthony Albanese sat in Parliament and shouted “smash her!” at Sussan Ley? The left demands standards on language, until their own side uses words as weapons. Selective hypocrisy.
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Australia's debt servicing costs heading in the wrong direction faster than almost everyone else. And all in the last 7 years. Not as sick as France or Britain, but don't worry, Jim will get us there.
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Explicit instruction and phonics are the best way to learn reading and writing. New South Wales is leading the way. Queensland should follow. @DavidCrisafulli @JPLangbroek
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Australia has more land, and fewer people, than any continent on the planet, other than the penguins of the South Pole. We should have the cheapest housing the world, not some of the most expensive. Since May 2022, housing affordability has halved. The cost of a mortgage as a percentage of disposable household income has increased by 124% We are heading in the wrong direction.
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Graham Young retweeted
BREAKING: The Australian Federal Police Commissioner, who said the Bondi attack was “not religiously motivated”, stopped short of saying Jews are safer in Australia now than before the radical Islamic Bondi terrorist attack. Asked directly whether Jews are safer than they were on 14 December, Krissy Barrett would not say yes. Pressed again, she said the outlook is “very volatile, and that’s the truth of it. We have seen a rise in antisemitism.” Looking to 2027, she expects the environment to “continue to be complex”. That is the nation’s top cop, a year after 15 people were murdered at a Hanukkah gathering at Bondi, still refusing to claim the community is safer. In the same interview with The Australian she said Islamic fundamentalism remains the biggest terror risk over the next year. The local threat from Hamas supporters is not declining. The Iran war, she said, is giving people “causes or motivations to latch on to”. She also flagged angry, isolated young boys looking for meaning as a growing part of the caseload. She has ordered a second review of AFP files on hate preachers, after lawyers coached them on “what they can say to just scrape under the criminal threshold”. She wants prosecutions. She has not delivered them. On the royal commission she expects Virginia Bell’s findings to be “highly contested”, with “very different views”. She would not say the AFP will endorse every recommendation. She denied advising Albanese against a royal commission, after the Prime Minister spent weeks citing “actual experts” while resisting one. She also would not say whether Pauline Hanson’s comments on Islam make Australians less safe. What she would say is that respectful debate is “waning”, the extremes are getting more extreme, and that makes the AFP’s job harder. So the record is this. After Bondi she told the country the killers had aligned with a terrorist organisation, “not a religion”. Ten months on she still will not say Jews are safer, still names Islamic fundamentalism as the lead threat, and still has hate preachers sitting just under the criminal line. Jews were told the threat was not religious. They are now being told the threat is volatile, elevated, and not going away. Why won’t they address the elephant in the room which is Radical Islam?
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