Specialized polling for political, municipal & advocacy campaigns. We capture real opinions & forecast trends to shape winning strategies. #datadriven

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Joined October 2024
GOTHAM POLL featured in @nypost "Also, an @AARPNY -commissioned analysis of the upcoming June 23 congressional Democratic primary in Manhattan District 12 to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler predicts that older voters ages 50 and up — not the youth — will likely decide the outcome. @GothamPolling reported that Democrats 50 and over accounted for 72-74% of the party primary turnout on Manhattan’s East and West sides in 2018 and 2022. The consulting group’s report claimed that the Mamdani phenomenon in turning out younger voters won’t be replicated in a more confined congressional race. “The 2025 mayoral primary was a remarkable event: record turnout, unprecedented youth engagement, and a 50+ share that dipped below historical norms. But it was a mayoral primary — a different election type with different mobilization dynamics,” the Gotham analysis said. “The historical record shows that when the next congressional primary follows a mayoral surge, the electorate reverts to its structural baseline [a higher share of older voters turning out].” " nypost.com/2026/04/30/us-new… @stephenegraves @SchwartzDefense @GothamGovt
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⭐️ POLL RESULTS ⭐️ New Analysis: Voters 50+ Will Make Up as Much as 75% of Electorate in NY-12 Democratic Primary @AARPNY & Gotham Polling Find Older Voters Will Decide Outcome of Competitive Manhattan Congressional Race NEW YORK — A new analysis commissioned by AARP New York and conducted by Gotham Polling & Analytics finds that voters age 50 and older will be the decisive force in the upcoming Democratic primary in New York’s 12th Congressional District — the Manhattan-based seat currently represented by Congressman Jerry Nadler and one of the most closely watched congressional races in the country. “For candidates running in NY-12, the message is clear: this election will be decided by voters 50 and older,” said Beth Finkel, State Director for AARP New York. “These voters show up, election after election. They expect candidates to address the issues that matter most to them, including protecting Social Security and supporting family caregivers." “In NY-12 congressional primaries, voters 50 and older turn out at nearly three times the rate of voters under 50 and seven out of every ten voters who show up are 50+,” said Stephen Graves President of Gotham Polling & Analytics. The 2025 mayoral primary didn't change that, it just was an election with completely different dynamics. June 23 will be decided by the 50+ voters, who always decide these races. Any candidate who doesn't build a real 50+ strategy is running a campaign that doesn't match the electorate they're trying to win.” aarp.org/states/new-york/new…
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GothamPolling retweeted
📊 New AARP New York report: Voters 50+ could make up to 75% of the #NY12 Dem primary electorate. @bethny: “This election will be decided by voters 50 and older.” Voters 65+ turn out at ~15x the rate of ages 18–29. Release: spr.ly/6010BBTbXQ
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GothamPolling retweeted
Data seems to bend to older voters, indicators for all candidates this election year.
📊 New AARP New York report: Voters 50+ could make up to 75% of the #NY12 Dem primary electorate. @bethny: “This election will be decided by voters 50 and older.” Voters 65+ turn out at ~15x the rate of ages 18–29. Release: spr.ly/6010BBTbXQ
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On #FlashBackFriday - highlighting .@GothamPolling / .@AARPNY .@NYCMayor election POLL: “By the numbers, it’s surprising,” Graves said. “It’s going to be between a congressional election and a presidential election. This one, being near 2 million, is huge.” - Gotham Polling President .@stephenegraves in the .@nypost by .@createcraig & .@jfitzgibbon nypost.com/2025/11/02/us-new…
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Very Insightful. Many of these voters are notoriously hard to poll because they may have never voted, may speak English only as a second language and are less likely to respond to any outreach that may seem "official". Door to door and phone banking within an ethnic group can be the only way to obtain an accurate reading within this sample set.
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Ever wonder how polls work?🗳️ Pollsters survey a sample of people to gauge how the public might vote or feel about issues. It’s science + timing. #Polling101 #GothamPolling #NYC #NYCMayor #election #politics
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.@GothamPolling @stephenegraves predictions proved correct: “By the numbers, it’s surprising,” Graves said. “It’s going to be between a congressional election and a presidential election. This one, being near 2 million, is huge.” Nov 2, 2025 @nypost
📢We officially hit TWO MILLION votes - first time since 1969! 🗳️🗳️ Polls are open until 9pm. If you are on line by 9pm, you will be allowed to vote
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POLL @GothamPolling @AARPNY @nypost by @createcraig & @jfitzgibbon “By the numbers, it’s surprising,” Graves said. “It’s going to be between a congressional election and a presidential election. This one, being near 2 million, is huge.” @stephenegraves nypost.com/2025/11/02/us-new…
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Interesting
Zohran didn't win by relying on standard turnout patterns. We had to fundamentally transform the Democratic electorate. I was part of a group of NYC-DSA members that applied lessons from our previous campaigns to design the “universe” of voters to talk to. Here's how we won 🧵
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Keep in mind this is in addition to the 107k valid mailed in ballots - so well on our way to 2.1m total turnout.
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🚨@GothamPolling just released a major NYC Mayoral poll with national coverage, but a temporary label is limiting our reach post please review ASAP so voters get the data! #NYCMayor2025 - Premium upgrade.@Premium @X @elonmusk xitter.cf/GothamPolling/status/1…
We have complete crosstabs and full methodology details of the most recent #gothampolling poll for @NYCMayor with heads up for @ZohranKMamdani @andrewcuomo @CurtisSliwa gothampolling.com/poll-nyc-m…
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We have complete crosstabs and full methodology details of the most recent #gothampolling poll for @NYCMayor with heads up for @ZohranKMamdani @andrewcuomo @CurtisSliwa gothampolling.com/poll-nyc-m…
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