Developing a derivatives-informed lens to study interests spanning biotechnology to banking Sharing newb takes at: https://xitter.cf/t.co/DjRHbY2BeP

🇨🇭based
Joined April 2011
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
Giving away a Diablo 4: Lord of Hatred PC battle net key! ❤️ Like ♻️ Repost 📣 Comment: which class do you (want to) play? Pulling winner in ~24h here! #DiabloIV
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
Just a semi recap TLDR: - $GLW glass bridge per Morgan Stanley has potential, but hard to displace FAU (like FOCI) in short term - $SPCX Starlink Gen 3 is scaling to 100,000 units (10x prev gen) creating possible capacity constraints for suppliers of switches to CCL. - PCB supply shortages are projected to persist until 2028, and component shortages/price hikes are already forcing ODMs like Inventec to issue conservative H2 shipment - DeepSeek and Zhipu are developing custom ASICs to bypass $NVDA (kinda expected by now). - Anthropic has achieved a $30B ARR and is projected to hit >$1B in Q3 profit. Turns out these frontier labs are more profitable than people think. - US admin pressured $AAPL to source from $INTC, in exchange for tariff exception. Kinda pressuring alignment away from TSM. - $TSM plans a 30x expansion of its Photonic Integrated Circuit (PIC) capacity by 2028, growing from 500 to 25,000 wafers per month - Hanmi Semiconductor is entering the CoWoS packaging equipment market - $NVDA and NTT hosting a conference July 24th to discuss CPO strategies. - 5x general NAND flash price hike this year, market size $489B by next year triggered by RAG/inference. Samsung and SK Hynix make emergency fab investments, NAND equipment suppliers go brrrr. - Gas turbine bottleneck, 40% supply gap accompanied by staggering 5-year delivery cycles (mega-fabs need them for mass production). - AI probe card assembly has hit a severe bottleneck apparently. Which is attempted to by solved with things like Innovation Service's machines. - Nanya, 79.5% gross margins reported, memory go brr. 4x capex for capacity/advanced packaging. - CXMT's STAR Market IPO on July 16, so should bring a lot of attention to memory players in that supply chain. - KYEC $1.4B investment into US for $TSM Arizona output test facilities. Lot of these players like $AMKR and others should go brr in 2028. - $INTC CEO warned last month that helium could hinder the manufacturing costs and delivery times of AI chips - 3D NAND word lines are shifting from Tungsten to Molybdenum starting at the 375-layer node - SambaNova secured JPM for AI inference and raised $1B at an $11B valuation. - HBM prices projections to double in 2027 as $NVDA Rubin platform drives demand. - $MU provides $500 million in funding to support GlobalWafers' US manufacturing capacity - $META 'Iris' will enter mass production in September via $AVGO and TSMC and Meta aims to double computing power to 14GW by 2027. - Largan Precision has secured its first CPO FAU order, mass production slated for middle of next year (kinda indication around Foci and others). - Samsung and SK Hynix have delayed the implementation of hybrid bonding packaging technology for HBM4 apparently - Memory costs (DRAM/NAND) have reached 60% of the BOM for sub-$400 smartphones, causing a severe volume contraction. - SK Hynix successfully rasied $26.5 billion through a Nasdaq ADR - $TSLA issued procurement guidelines requiring suppliers to reach weekly production of 1,000 units by September and double to 2,000-2,500 by year end for its 3rd gen Optimus robot. Apparently Alliance Technology and A-Link may be in this supply chain harmonic reducers and vision lenses? Kinda go through all this stuff every day, but don't wanna be a news reporter so just consolidated stuff I found interesting.
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
One of my biggest LPs told me today that this old Kissinger story is exactly what I do as a developer. He's right. This is a great lesson on dealmaking, and it has nothing to do with real estate. A journalist once asked Kissinger to explain "shuttle diplomacy." Kissinger says: "You want to marry Rockefeller's daughter to a simple guy from a Siberian village." Here's how he does it: He goes to the Siberian peasant. "Do you want to marry an American lady?" The peasant says, "Why? We have great girls here." Kissinger replies, "But she's Rockefeller's daughter." The peasant: "Oh. This changes everything." Then he goes to a Swiss bank board. "Do you want a Siberian peasant as your president?" They say, "No way." Kissinger: "But what if he's Rockefeller's son-in-law?" The board: "Oh. This changes everything." Then he goes to Rockefeller. "Would you like your daughter to marry a Russian peasant?" Rockefeller scoffs. Kissinger: "But he's president of a Swiss bank." Rockefeller calls out: "Susie! Come here, Mr. Kissinger has found a good fiance for you. He's the president of a Swiss bank!" Susie says: "But all financiers are skinny boring men." Kissinger: "But this one is a big Siberian man." Susie: "Oh. This changes everything."
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
Europeans with 0% annual GDP growth watching America become a 3rd World Country
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: federalreserve.gov/newsevent…
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
When Ben Stiller pranked Tom Cruise by imitating him during an interview
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Quantum companies should not be listed equities, real impact too distant future. It’s more of an early stage venture. Both bulls and bear get/will burned from it.
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A yuuge honor to be able to address truly independent people. Thanks! Admirable speeches by judge Napolitano, Col Mcgregor, Jeffrey Sachs, @anyaparampil, @MaxBlumenthal and others!
Today's @RonPaulInstitut conference speech by @nntaleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb was I will be honest one of the most incredible things I have ever heard. I could not believe how great it was. I kept texting my son, who was across the room and who also loves Taleb, about each thing he was saying in real time. Taleb challenged everyone and he did it with a smile. Many people had no idea what the hell he was talking about, as they told me afterward. He blew everything out of the water. They weren't absurd sound bites. They were reality bites. THAT IS WHAT MADE IT LEGENDARY! (Video coming soon)
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Sure, Mountainhead’s single good scene is the sauna-murderplot chaos, however the All-In podcast parody is so good it almost ruined the podcast for me. #mountainhead #allinpod
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In Sweden, a country that just joined Nato in response to an on-going war in a nearby region, the Barbie movie had more views than Oppenheimer during the opening weekend. @aClassicLiberal
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How is balajis bitcoin bet going?
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
👕🧢 Who wants to have a merch giveaway? 🦔✋
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
I'm writing a book: SQL Window Functions Explained. It's a clear and visual introduction to the topic. If you want an 'early bird' edition for free, in exchange for feedback — like/retweet and leave a comment. I'll DM you then.
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
I just created a crypto investment framework for everyone. • 5 types of investment with instruction • Systematic trading • Track every trade to know actual P&L You can copy and adjust accordingly. Just: • Follow • Retweet • Reply 'free' I'll send you a link in dm.
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Alpha_Draco retweeted
Hello everyone, First and absolutely foremost: We want to acknowledge that this has been a trying week for the crypto industry and for lenders and borrowers in particular. dAMM did not experience ANY losses from our borrowers. 1/12
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Weird that all those Alameda backed shitcoins will have to delete any Alameda association from now on.