cryptographic currency speculator

Joined June 2008
It looks obvious in hindsight, but that's survivorship bias. I must have farmed 50 separate projects over the bear market (I actually posted threads on them you can go back and look at) and they mostly either airdropped peanuts or straight up died. But it was all worth it to catch HL. I started to farm hyperliquid because I really liked the HLP design (I'm not a perp trader). Then my confidence grew over time watching the team and I kept adding/trading spot. To the new ppl that missed it: try everything, don't get liquidated, make friends to share info with, and eventually if you stick with it you'll catch a big W.
Back when Hyperliquid initially launched, we were so deep into the bear market and prices were so low that 'moon calculation sheets' would stop at $150M FDV. Still felt like a great farm, but it was anything but consensus early on. How far we've come
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GarrettZ retweeted
Uniswap is coming to Elysium 🦄
On Elysium, @Uniswap awaits. e/acc
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GarrettZ retweeted
I've been asked probably hundreds of times what the difference in scale between Elysium and HyperEVM will be like: Enjoy :] p.s. ask anyone building on Elysium testnet how it feels and you'll be quite pleased e/acc
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GarrettZ retweeted
You can now launch supply-controlled AI agents paired with ORBIO, funded by the people who want them and backed by AI market makers from day one. Launching them straight from the Orbio launchpad, soon.
We're proud to welcome @orbiodotso as the first launchpad building on Mosh. Mosh will empower Orbio builders with better market structure & tokenization while the Orbio team empowers them with compute, distribution, and tooling.
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MAYBE I WAS WRONG ABOUT BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY I wrote about how I always used to make fun of the guys who said things like "Bitcoin is speculative, but the underlying blockchain technology is interesting." And now I think maybe they kinda had a point.
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A note on transferability. Papertrade is a complicated primitive, and managing it from a risk standpoint is a complicated problem. The PAPER token is far more integrated into the economics of the primitive than most tokens are in their respective protocols today, and, broadly, was designed to act as a counter insolvency incentive coupled with a rebate mechanism to losing traders. Market makers and exchanges are by far the two most profitable businesses in crypto, and our goal was to try and externalise as much of their margins back to users as possible. We are now just over a week into the life of papertrade and we are becoming increasingly confident that this is both possible, but also a likely outcome as agentic led software becomes the norm. As it stands, the paper token traded as a perp becomes a leveraged bet on bankroll solvency - and being able to short bankroll solvency materially changes the payoff curve of a manipulation attack. The target number goes from the bankroll, to the bankroll + short side exposure on paper. We can, and do limit bankroll size specifically to control this payoff curve and ensure it never becomes existentially problematic, but external perp markets are not something we would have any control over if left to float of their own accord. For example, if our bankroll is $10m, an attack costing $15m manipulating the price of bitcoin or ether is not viable. You simply lose money. If however you were also able to put on $10m of PAPER short side exposure, suddenly an attack costing $15m is very viable indeed. If we were to make the token transferable at this point, we are confident we would quickly enter a state too dangerous to allow any material exposure to be taken on papertrade, an end result that benefits no party beyond the wolves who have done the math on the short and are waiting in the wings with sharpened knives. We would also like to thank the various perps teams who have reached out about pre-market listings for their understanding and patience regarding this issue, and especially to the paragon team who, despite jumping the gun on us, have behaved with the utmost integrity and transparency once a dialogue was opened. Perps on PAPER will always act as a self-limiting exposure ceiling for a token with this type of utility, and we think it would be a shame to limit the growth of papertrade to the extent that allowing perps would necessitate. As such, at this juncture we do not have plans to allow off-contract token transferability. Structurally, papertrade is limited by the quality of the data it receives from hyperliquid, but we strongly believe that hyperliquid has a very large part to play in the future of global exchanges, and expect their books to continue to thicken and strengthen over time. A note on fees. Papertrade launched with a deadband fee from entry of 0.2bps. This means you don't earn anything until the price has moved by 0.002% in your favour. Over the months before launch, we played around with many different curves and fee structures affecting exclusively positions closed very close to entry price in order to try and devise a structure that removed the edge against the bankroll low time frame scalp bots have, whilst also minimally impacting the traders around which and for whom the product was devised. We were never able to find anything we were absolutely happy with and so decided to stay with the 0.2bp deadband fee through launch. This has however meant we have had to be very restrictive when it came to certain parameters, such as OI caps. Now, however, we have enough live data to fully understand exactly which strategies work, and to make the necessary changes to stop them. The changes we are making will have an on hours and off hours fee mode to account for the relative differences in liquidity the hyperliquid books see between these two time periods, and the ease with which low time frame moves are signalled. The changes we are making will only affect positions closed within 6bps of entry (0.06%) in on hours, and 10bps (0.1%) in off hours. Any trades closed above these threshold price shifts will see no change to their fees at all. On a look back to launch basis, these changes affect the profitability of bot strategies roughly 15x more than they do normal traders, for whom a very small proportion of overall winnings come from within this band. These changes should serve to flatten much of the edge our microfee structure necessarily creates on low time frames, and will help with long term exchange sustainability. This should hopefully allow us to open up parameters such as OI caps a little more so those of you who wish to can put on the size you want to, when you want to. It is possible these changes are still too lax, and that further revisions to this structure may be necessary going forwards. If so, we will notify users ahead of time. A note on paper tokenomics. In conjunction with the fee changes, we will also be implementing a change to the token issuance curve. Going forward, every $1 lost mints a fixed share of PAPER's supply at that moment, roughly 0.1% of supply per $1M lost (the exact number depends on the mint rate at the time the contracts are upgraded). PAPER minting in and near insolvency will also change, switching from a flat 100 per $1 of loss, to a time weighted multiplier on the curve growing over time, effectively acting as the house running a discounted auction on its own future cash flows. This change also removes the risk of the paper-mint-straddle-attack, temporarily pushing the protocol insolvent by closing only the winning side of a large straddle position and then attempting to mint as much paper as possible. In the immediate term these changes will only have a very subtle effect on PAPER minting, but in the long run will structurally change the outlook of the system beyond the first few weeks, serving to slowly dilute out older holders and leaving more recent users with an advantage. Reconstituting the PAPER system into something much closer to the exchange rakeback it was intended to be. We have been very reticent to touch this particular aspect of the system for obvious reasons, but ultimately we believe that these changes provide all users with the optionality to take a smaller piece of a potentially much larger pie than the current dynamic might necessarily allow. Other, miscellaneous notes. These contract upgrades will include a few other contract changes, including the addition of builder codes so that builders can utilise papertrade in whatever capacity they choose to. This will be a whitelist only to begin with and we will have more for you later in the week on where/how this will be rolled out. A small change to contract permissions on the reward distributor and a change on how below bust closes are processed by the exchange are also included, largely to block gas griefing attacks. These changes will be pushed to docs in full over the coming day, and we will further announce once the changes are queued into the timelock pending final security passes, scheduled to go live 24 hours after that point. Final note. We'd like to thank everyone that has tried out papertrade over the last 10 days. It has been a labour of love building this product and both of us have been taken aback at all of the positive feedback we have received. We'd also like to thank all those of you who have spent considerable time musing on the system we have built, and much of your advice has been taken onboard and will likely affect the colour of what papertrade becomes going forward. We know some of these changes will be unpopular with some, but we would not be making them if we did not feel them to be absolutely necessary. - blurr, jez
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If you hold a large spot $HYPE position and want to hedge it without selling, @silhouette_ex RFQ lets you open the full short in one print instead of slicing it into a book that’s watching you. Say a holder has 128K $HYPE staked or locked and wants to neutralise price risk. At a $78.02 mid, that’s about $10M of short perp exposure, which is a lot to push through any order book in one go: → Request: The holder asks for a sell of 128K HYPE-PERP with a 30-second auction window. Nothing touches the book, so the market doesn’t see the hedge coming. → Quotes: Three makers bid for the full size at $77.93, $77.87 and $77.81, each with its order already signed, so none of them can pull back once a quote is accepted. → Fill: The holder takes $77.93, 12 bps under mid. The maker’s bid posts on @HyperliquidX book and the sell fills against it, which locks in about $12K of cost, known before signing. → Book alternative: The same order as a market sell would walk the bids down to an average near $77.74, about 36 bps or $36K, and leave a visible print trail for anyone front-running the rest. → Result: Spot and perp offset, the short sits in the holder’s own Hyperliquid account, and nothing is deposited with Silhouette. The holder keeps staking yield while the price risk is gone.
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were building out new products and new features as fast as we can while at the same time sailing a brand new conceptual ship into the great unknown theres so much to do
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$0.03 👀
PAPER is now trading 24/7 on Hyperliquid. $PAPER is the native token of @papertrade_xyz, a synthetic perpetuals platform on HyperEVM, minted to traders from realized losses and stakeable for a share of platform fees. The contract trades as a Pre-Launch perp that converts to a normal perp.
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GarrettZ retweeted
U.S. banks hold $11T+ in undrawn commitments. Promise looping is live on LCC, bringing fractional reserves to capital commitments in crypto Earn promise fees on up to 6.25x your net worth: +7.8% APY on top of your DeFi assets deployed elsewhere, funded via @Morpho debt if called
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GarrettZ retweeted
Orbio Grants is open: up to $25,000 for teams building useful products on onchain inference rails. Apply.
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🤣
We're sponsoring a Rolex for the @inferencecasino Poker Tournament. Turns out tokenized inference can be gambled too.
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GarrettZ retweeted
One of my biggest takeaways from TOKEN2049 Singapore is that, even among the most sophisticated Hyperliquid users and holders, very few understand what precompiles are or how powerful this technology really is. And of course, most don’t realize that products like Papertrade are only possible thanks to precompiles. To put it simply: imagine if BNB Chain were connected onchain to Binance, or Base to Coinbase, allowing smart contracts to transfer assets and read exchange data directly onchain. That would be huge, right? Well, HyperEVM already does this with HyperCore. However, its current precompiles expose only a limited amount of data, and writing to HyperCore is still slow. @Enter_Elysium is fixing this by rebuilding the precompile layer from scratch, exposing significantly more HyperCore data and enabling much faster writes than HyperEVM. If you’ve got any crazy ideas for what to build with this tech on Elysium, hit me up.
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UPDATE: I can confirm that the Ledger supply chain is compromised in Europe as well. @Ledger should initiate an immediate product recall to protect users. I just purchased a second device from a different Mediamarkt location today, recorded the unboxing process, and discovered spyware once again (video linked in the second tweet). The device was compromised in the exact same manner, featuring identical modifications (such as additional cables and an LTE module). This indicates its a widespread issue rather than an isolated incident, potentially affecting Ledger inventory across MediaMarkt and Saturn stores throughout Europe (comprising over 1,000 stores across 11 countries). My initial hypothesis was that these devices were returns that looked unopened to the employees and were just sold again as new however, a MediaMarkt employee confirmed that the device I purchased was not a return, and that returned Ledgers are sent directly back to the manufacturer rather than resold. Store records show the inventory originated from Aqipa GmbH. While Ledger's CTO was unsure if Aqipa serves as the direct distributor between Ledger and MediaMarkt, it appears to be the case. Given that Aqipa distributes across Europe, any physical retail store receiving stock through them may be at risk. I sent the first ledger to mark and the second one is going to ledger now, so that they can analyse it. If you purchased a ledger from anyone other than the official ledger store, make sure to check your device!!
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GarrettZ retweeted
it was actually insane just watching the $IMD agent swarm audit the @imdusd repository and then launch $INFER multiple agents reviewing code, catching issues, refining contracts and writing tests before deploying to mainnet
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GarrettZ retweeted
Bought an imd nft and will be running a node Exploring how @orbiodotso can add value to imd eco
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PSA the ledger incident isn't limited to Asia This is a device purchased in store from an official reseller in Europe (a legitimate device doesn't have any of these cables as can be seen in picture 2) This even seems to be an old version of the 'spy implant' even though the device was purchased a couple of weeks ago. The newer versions usually hide the implant by the screen so it's easier to miss What's interesting is that this compromised ledger never transfered funds to an exploiter. Either the device didn't work or they were waiting for a more widespread usage of the comprised devices? If you own a ledger that didn't directly come from the ledger online store make sure to not just rely on the software genuinely check by ledger but to actually open up the ledger yourself to make sure its original, again there are reported cases in Asia, south America and now Europe as well. @MagicalTux made some useful videos on how to open the ledger and what to look for.
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GarrettZ retweeted
We raised $1.2M to hand agents the means of computation. We're building the rails for agents to provision their own compute, hardware and first-class private infrastructure.
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GarrettZ retweeted
[ ZOOMER ] CITRINI RESEARCH PUBLISHES ARTICLE ON INTERSECTION BETWEEN AGENTIC AI AND CRYPTO, ALONGSIDE THEIR INVESTMENT BASKET: BLOG
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