(Re)Building an effective civil service and a government with the capacity to dream big at @NiskanenCenter, formerly @OMBPress_46 & @publicservice

Washington, DC
Joined April 2009
Made my debut in the @monthly today, explaining why you don’t have to be partisan or hyperbolic to oppose OMB’s recent proposal on grantmaking — one need only investigate the mechanism they’re suggesting to see how it would degrade state capacity.
Trump’s OMB director, Russ Vought, wants to politicize federal grantmaking in the name of greater “accountability.” His plan will kneecap agencies, erode innovation, weaken U.S. competitiveness, and waste taxpayer dollars, @GabeMenchaca writes. washingtonmonthly.com/2026/0…
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Some of this is plausible or even correct, but the framing—the most unhinged critics were wrong—sets a very low bar. DOGE supporters themselves set much more ambitious goals than “the apocalypse will not materialize.” As a result the article doesn’t address obvious DOGE failures: — Spending is up meaningfully; — Corruption at the highest levels of government is up dramatically; — Certain departments (DHS, DoJ, and State most obviously) now perform at third world levels; — The biggest personnel cuts in absolute terms were to what the author refers to as the “Department of War,” which proceeded to lose a war.
DOGE worked. Most importantly, the civil service is 12% smaller than it was in Jan 2025. In the Fall @CityJournal, I show they were not replaced by contractors, the biggest cuts were to middle managers, and the predictions of disaster were proven false. city-journal.org/article/dog…
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This is clearly not acceptable
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SCOOP: Trump is floating a White House official/Russ Vought's deputy, Eric Ueland, to lead @USGAO. The move would come as the official watchdog of govt is weighing whether to sue the WH/Vought over budget actions GAO has said are illegal. Vought has said GAO shouldn't exist 👇
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Intelligence must draw on memory. The mind must not simply compile data — as an algorithm now does more quickly than we can — but recall lived experiences, which contain depths of meaning that only the human soul can recognize, and connect more deeply with the goodness of these experiences. Everything that is good begins “with the Spirit” and thus possesses a breath, a dynamism and a sense of communion that, once experienced, are engraved upon the heart. vatican.va/content/leo-xiv/e…
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Really glad to see this as a focus area for the caucus, classification is the dark matter of personnel policy — hard to observe directly but exerting intense force on the system. I think my work on the topic is a great starting point but more needed to get it done. Let’s go!
🚨HUGE NEWS:

The Build America Caucus is launching an ambitious, bipartisan agenda focused on improving Americans’ lives by making it easier to build the things we need. It just went live on our website for you to read. Here’s why you should: 🧵 buildamericacaucus-harder.ho…
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Exclusive: the Mamdani administration will take a swing at reforming NYC's civil service system — the first serious effort by any recent mayor to revamp the antiquated, 142-year-old system that critics say deters talent and worsens staffing shortages: nysfocus.com/2026/10/05/mamd…
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Come for the insightful commentary on a technically complex issue, stay for my favorite footnote of the year:
The procedural reforms in the permitting bill would do enormous good if enacted. (A BAAJA blast, if you will.) Here is an explainer of what those changes are, what they would do, and why it matters: artificialweights.substack.c…
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Obviously, he’s way out of the Hall of Pretty Good’s jurisdiction, but I can’t help but feel as though Verlander’s final start today is the final breath of my childhood. He and Scherzer are honestly the final breath of an entire era of baseball. The game will definitely feel weird without Verlander being a constant in it.
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How can you not be romantic about baseball?
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"I am, and always will be, a Detroit Tiger." Justin Verlander addresses Tigers fans prior to tonight's game 🥹
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A great piece by the wisely off-Twitter Martha Roberts - "first, do no harm"! We have failed to be thoughtful about both the benefits and costs of procedures before we impose them on agencies (and almost never revise them). Read it here: justsecurity.org/158482/firs…
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The Johns Hopkins University School of Government and Policy (located in DC) is hiring multiple tenure track faculty across poli sci, law, sociology, history, philosophy, comp sci, econ, and more. Join us! Apps are due Oct. 25. apply.interfolio.com/193492 apply.interfolio.com/193579
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Under the Republican reconciliation law, states are facing massive new costs based on their SNAP error rate — the extent to which they mistakenly gave families too much or too little in SNAP benefits. But outright denying SNAP to an eligible family doesn't count as an "error."
As SNAP enrollment in Arizona plummeted over the last year, it was clear that many families were being denied despite being eligible — often because they called & called but couldn't get through to complete the required interview. Now, we have the data: kjzz.org/politics/2026-09-11…
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This is literally an argument against representative government itself. He's arguing for an autocracy of elites rather than a republic where a legislative body will inevitably have a range of backgrounds and expertise as they craft overarching policy. Beyond that, its not like members of Congress are food inspectors, FDA scientists, or doing enforcement at the SEC. This is just the dumbest possible excuse to not do anything as a Congress. Do your job as a legislator or get out.
Mike Johnson punts on oversight of AI companies: "Congress is obviously less qualified than the people who are pushing this frontier to know the ins and outs of it"
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i agree that antitrust enforcers could do more under existing laws to challenge deceptive, unfair, and anticompetitive practices in ai markets now. but this doesn’t really answer the live question: how can competing labs coordinate to slow down the race dynamic she describes here, or share safety-relevant info? many of the harms described below — like “releasing unvetted ai models,” “shipping flawed ai tools,” and “models participating in criminal activity” — are about creating liability for harm *post* deployment. ex post liability for a harmful product is good, but an insufficient regulatory framework for a technology where some of the greatest risks lie in its development (see: Hugging Face hacks perpetuated by unreleased models!) the harms could be so severe that imposing liability afterwards is a deeply inadequate remedy. we need legal frameworks that let firms share info and coordinate in narrow, transparent ways (with government oversight) before irreversible, catastrophic harms occur.
Law enforcers already have authority to charge companies and their CEOs for creating and releasing dangerous, unvetted, or defective products. We shouldn’t let discussions about new legal regimes distract from the fact that there’s no AI exemption from laws already on the books — a point @FTC emphasized repeatedly during my tenure. 1. There is an extensive set of laws that govern dangerous and defective products. For example, releasing unvetted AI models or agents can violate consumer protection laws. Shipping flawed AI tools without implementing adequate measures to detect and stop rogue or defective AI agents can be an “unfair or deceptive” act or practice under the FTC Act (and analogous state laws). And some state AGs are already exploring holding AI firms and their CEOs criminally liable when their models participate in criminal activity. 2. Existing laws also prohibit “unfair methods of competition.” This covers instances where AI firms appropriate the competitively sensitive information of their customers, including through tracking their use of various tools. It can also cover instances where firms pursue dangerous behavior, aware that doing so may compel rivals to do the same. As the Supreme Court has noted: “A method of competition which casts upon one's competitors the burden of the loss of business unless they will descend to a practice which they are under a powerful moral compulsion not to adopt, even though it is not criminal, was thought to involve the kind of unfairness at which the [unfair methods of competition] statute was aimed." 3. The highly concentrated and interconnected structure of these markets could be creating major risks and conflicts of interest. We had started investigating these partnerships and cross-investments across the stack (and released a preliminarily overview of some findings: ftc.gov/news-events/news/pre…). Both federal and state enforcers should be scrutinizing these opaque relationships and inter-dependencies. We are already seeing how these relationships could undermine accountability. For example, OpenAI could face liability given the Hugging Face incident, but Hugging Face being bought up by Nvidia means that we’re unlikely to see it file a lawsuit over this — given Nvidia’s strong incentive to see OpenAI continue full speed ahead. 4. As AI tools dramatically change the landscape of cybersecurity risks and hacks, all businesses should be doubling down on having core security protections in place. Firms that fail to invest in adequate data security measures or fix known vulnerabilities can also be breaking the law. A recent analysis showed that around 1/3 of Fortune 100 companies do not even have a way to notify them about security issues. During my @FTC tenure, we sued firms for poor data security practices and held CEOs liable when they were personally responsible. this.weekinsecurity.com/doze… ftc.gov/news-events/news/pre… 5. As policymakers consider new legal regimes, we should be looking to lessons from prior efforts to govern major sectors, such as banking and other networks, platforms, and utilities. Tools like structural separations, nondiscrimination, and supervision could be key, and there’s a rich history of what works and what doesn’t. But we can and must pursue any new efforts alongside enforcing existing laws.
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America knew and loved Dolly Parton. She never forgot where she came from, and the Tennessee Valley will never forget her. Born and raised in Sevier County, Dolly carried the spirit of East Tennessee with her wherever she went. Through her music, Dollywood, the Imagination Library and a lifetime of giving back, she created opportunities, opened doors for children and shared the culture of our region with the world. Our hearts are with her family, friends and the millions of people whose lives she touched.
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