Mainly focused on MENA & the Caucasus | @panteion (BA) | @univofstandrews (MLitt) | @IDIS_Athens | Author | Views my own. https://xitter.cf/t.co/ryktsCyqPF
Αττική, Ελλάς
Joined August 2020
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1/ Despite their vocal disagreements and expressed disappointment, neither Turkey nor Azerbaijan is likely to take any action that would actually harm their strategic relationship.
3/ What really amazes me is how Aliyev invoked Islam and sought to mobilize the religious sentiments of some Azerbaijanis during and in the aftermath of the second Nagorno.Karabakh war, only to later recognise the potential risks of relying too heavily on religion to his regime.
George Meneshian retweeted
Where a critical mineral is mined does not tell you who controls its supply. ⛏️🪨
Ownership, financing, governance rights, processing, and offtake agreements can determine where resources flow and who can influence them.
George Meneshian explains why “trusted control” belongs in U.S. defense industrial policy.
📖Read "America’s Defense Industrial Base Begins at the Mine," a #SWJEssay
George Meneshian retweeted
זה אף פעם לא מאוחר מדי לעשות את הדבר הנכון.
אני מודה לראש הממשלה נתניהו @IsraeliPM על הגיבוי ולשרי הממשלה על תמיכתם פה אחד באישור הצעת ההחלטה שיזמתי להכרת ישראל ברצח העם הארמני.
בכך מצטרפת ישראל ל-32 מדינות שקיימו חובה מוסרית בכך שהכירו באמת ההסטורית ודחו את הניסיונות להכחשתה.
A crucial historical step, if it comes to fruition. Ideally, the resolution should recognize the Pontic Greek and Assyrian Genocides alongside the Armenian Genocide.
I will bring before the Israeli government at its next meeting a proposed resolution for the official recognition by the Government of Israel of the Armenian Genocide.
Recognizing the genocide perpetrated against the Armenian people in the final years of the Ottoman Empire is both a moral and historical duty.
We must also firmly condemn any denial, minimization, or distortion of the historical truth.
The resolution will subsequently be brought before the Knesset for a vote.
This reflects how a large part of Turkish society thinks. Politics matter, and this is more a response to Erdoğan's anti-Israel rhetoric than a sudden shift. But recognizing the Armenian Genocide is, above all, a moral obligation for any state that considers itself civilized.
Mr. @shafiyev_farid, if the future peace architecture of the South Caucasus is indeed to be based on territorial integrity and sovereignty, then Azerbaijan must also abandon its irredentist ambitions embodied in the so-called "Western Azerbaijan" concept.
Azerbaijan's major perspective on the result of elections in Armenia:
- The victory of the incumbent PM Nikol Pashinyan's Civil Contract party is a good sign that the normalization will continue between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This is good for the whole region.
- Peace architecture was built in the region with the key role of Azerbaijan, based on the principles of territorial integrity and sovereignty - principles which Azerbaijan advocated for 30 years since the independence of all three republics in the South Caucasus. Azerbaijan's promoted "calculated confidence-building measures designed to demonstrate to the Armenian public that peace was both possible and beneficial. They shaped the political environment in which the June 7 vote took place."
- However, peace architecture is not complete. Azerbaijan's demand for a change to the Armenian Constitution remains. I see a plethora of articles against such a demand. Nothing new. Over the last five years, the situation in the region has improved, though many pundits who targeted Azerbaijan's strategy proved wrong.
- For durable peace, it is essential that not only one person (Pashinyan) or one party (Civil Contract) favors the relevant constitutional changes, but the people of Armenia also affirm this path.
More on this - in my colleague @HuseynovVasif's article
Israel refuses to officially recognize the late-Ottoman genocides of Armenians, Pontic Greeks, and Assyrians/Chaldeans. It is never too late @netanyahu. You can still redeem a nation that knows the horrors of genocide all too well.
Armenians head to the polls tomorrow in an election that could shape the country's future. In my latest piece for @EuropeInterest, I examine the key stakes and broader implications.
europeaninterest.eu/armenias…
Liar. Under int. law, the expansion of terr. waters/airspace is a sovereign right of the state concerned. No int. court rules on whether a state may exercise that right. Courts can adjudicate issues related to the continental shelf/EEZ. 🇬🇷 constantly expresses openness to that.
One thing you should know about Turkey - Greece dispute in the Aegean is that there is a peaceful way: International courts.
Turkey is willing to take the issues of territorial waters, maritime zones and airspace to the courts and accept the judgments.
Greece doesn’t
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Greece instituted ICJ proceedings against Turkey over the Aegean continental shelf in 1976; Turkey denied the ICJ's jurisdiction and the Court found it lacked jurisdiction. icj-cij.org/case/62 mfa.gov.tr/background-not…
Despite Aliyev’s mocking, it is undeniable that Azerbaijan has not attacked Armenia since the deployment of the EU civilian mission. And despite his bravado, he would never risk harming EU personnel.
The Middle East will be one of the epicentres of the coming “corridor wars.” Today, there are two major competing projects: IMEC and the Turkey-led Iraq Development Road. Both are designed to fundamentally reshape trade routes while carrying major geopolitical implications.
Turkish nationalists, who are very vocal on social media, go into a frenzy when Greece does what every sovereign nation is expected to do. They even criticize their own allies (Qatar, Libya) for engaging with Athens. I hope & believe that many in Turkey do not share this mindset.
For decades, 🇹🇷 kept its border with 🇦🇲 closed over Nagorno Karabakh. Today, 🇦🇿 controls NK. Yet 🇹🇷 keeps the border shut, despite progress in talks with 🇦🇲. Ankara has now linked reopening to an 🇦🇲–🇦🇿 peace treaty. All to keep 🇦🇿 satisfied, despite clear gains from open borders.
Who’s the biggest loser of the war? Well, apart from Lebanon, I’d say Iraq. Its oil exports (40%-53% of GDP) have collapsed (-96%), while it has once again become a proxy battlefield; from Iran-backed & Kurdish groups to Iranian & US strikes. This battered nation deserves better.
Greece in the last two weeks:
1. Relations with 🇫🇷 & 🇩🇪 upgraded to an Enhanced Strategic Partnership
3. The Emir of 🇶🇦visited Athens
4. 🇬🇷PM visited 🇦🇪 & 🇯🇴 for a 🇬🇷🇯🇴🇨🇾 summit
5. Maritime talks with 🇱🇾 resumed
6. Signed the 2026 🇬🇷🇦🇲🇨🇾 Joint Action Plan for military cooperation
Παίζει να είμαστε από τις λίγες (αν όχι η μόνη) ευρωπαϊκές χώρες που διατηρούν τόσο καλές σχέσεις με τη διοίκηση Τραμπ και ταυτόχρονα ανήκουν στον στενό πυρήνα της ΕΕ. Αναμφίβολα θετικό.
Στην Αθήνα τον Ιούλιο ο Ντόναλντ Τραμπ μαζί με Μάρκο Ρούμπιο και Πιτ Χέγκσεθ protothema.gr/politics/artic…
