How is Trump’s diesel deal being reported in Russia? youtu.be/4NhX14XJ9qg?si=nJ28… via @YouTube
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
Xiaoma, a polyglot, was invited to give a speech at a high school for Language Week, and he delivered the entire speech in Gen Alpha slang.
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
Replying to @Doskejrickcios
well that's the learning process.
my advice at this time of my own path is only this: trade with as little money as possible as you will probably loose it all, maybe more than once.
regulate your expectations. your expectations will really mess you up. try to solve one problem at a time and try to also solve some of the bigger ones but break them down in parts.
goal is to build processes that you can repeat and that will help you see things clearer. think of it as many small factory lines.
if you are anything like me, you will make many mistakes, more than you'd like, and it will take much longer than you would think. and you will probably loose more money on the way than you'd like.
What do we make of this? youtu.be/Dtc7dAGudc8?si=8K5R… via @YouTube
You Can See Everything | Official Teaser HD | A24 youtu.be/GGJSRFWALTI?si=SJcL… via @YouTube
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
I have an announcement. Effective immediately, I have been appointed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as the 1st head of marketing in US Treasury history. As my first act, we are launching a new campaign immediately. See below. Interested in your feedback.
🤖 Made with AI
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
dropbox.com/scl/fi/fiuim7vzd…
Factor Analysis In Stock Selection
October 19, 2009
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
'Europeans now pay 8.6 (!) times more for natural gas than Americans'
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
this is my personal singularity moment
this post may sound like a paid ad. I only wish. I'm concerned, more so than happy. the world is changing, and, among the scenarios where AI goes terribly wrong, inequality is the most realistic, yet, the one Anthropic seems to be the least concerned about. I'm glad OpenAI is taking the opposite stance: *personal AGI for everyone*. I think this is a commendable position in the times we live. but who am I in the queue of the bread?
anyway, Fable is here, so I'll just report my first-hour experience
first of all, all my pet prompts are solved.
→ λ-calculus puzzles
→ bug questions
→ one-shot apps
all are trivial to it.
I don't have anything harder other than my
ongoing work
so, in the last several days, I've been toying with HVM5, a new interaction net evaluator with a faster loop.
after writing the first version, I left 32 GPT-5 agents working for ~20 hours each. this resulted in up to 2x speedups, but the file size increased by 2-fold and quality decreased significantly.
I then simplified the whole thing into an even simpler core, and left Opus 4.8 and GPT 5.5 optimizing it for 8 hours. Opus got a legit 6% - 34% speedup in most benches. GPT got better results, but, sadly, an unusable file.
I then asked Fable to optimize it.
2 hours later, it landed a 1770% speedup in one case, 100%+ in other 4, and 22% in average. yes, in 2 hours it outperformed me, opus 4.8 and a swarm of gpt 5.5 agents, by one order of magnitude.
that could not possibly be legit. "it must be hardcoding the benchmarks" (GPT trauma). so I read its explanation and what it did was, indeed, the most high impact optimization one could try first. seems like HVM5 was wasting a lot of time garbage-collecting unused branches of pattern-match nodes. I had optimized that for static mats, but not for dynamic mats. skill issue. Fable figured how to do it for these, resulting in a massive speedup in some benches
but wait, is that *correct*? I'm not sure yet, it is credible, but this is the kind of thing that is very easy to get wrong on interaction nets. the problem is, when I was ready to start auditing Fable's solution so I could tell whether it was buggy or legit, it interrupted me to tell me it had found a massive bug on the code *I* had written.
... wait, what?
so... for garbage collection purposes, I stored a bit on lambda term pointers that meant "the variable bound by this lambda has been freed, so, its lambda must free whatever argument it is applied to". that's fine. yet, on duplicator nodes, I also used the same bit to mean "one of the duplicated variables was freed, so, treat this dup as a passthrough no-op". so, if a lambda entered a duplicator, it would mistake the lambda's collection bit for its own, resulting in corrupted interaction!
that's a mouthful, why I'm writing this?
just so you can appreciate the sheer absurdity of what just happened. I didn't ask it to find bugs. I asked it for an optimization. and even if I did ask it to find bugs, this bug is so astonishingly subtle and specific, identifying it takes mastering the domain to an extent that it beyond even me. I'd easily need hours or days to fix it, *if* I ever came across it. chances are it would just go unnoticed. and Fable found it and fixed it like it was nothing, while it was busy adding a 17x speedup to a file that neither I, nor Opus 4.8, nor a fleet of GPT 5.5 managed to barely make 2x faster.
oh and there is also another tab where it is also ripping through Bend's codebase and finishing everything I had to do
I don't know what to say anymore
this isn't about Anthropic or OpenAI, this is about our collective future as a species. the world is changing, and we need to be aware of it, and discuss how to handle this change.
receipt below . . .
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
Bought and added 2x to EVC, stopped out today. Above my entry price now.
Tried RXT 3x yesterday, stopped out all 3x. Up 60% today.
Bought INTC on the gap to 85. Stopped out same day.
Bought NBIS around 140. Couldn't hold above 21ema. Exited. Took my eyes off it watching something else. Rallies to 190 in 4 days.
Bought FLY on the earnings gap on 3/20. My buy stop triggers around $25.50, I see the price start going vertical. I can't cancel the order in time. $1.30 of slippage on 50k shares, 20 cents of slippage on the same day stop out. I watch it go to $45 over the next few weeks without me.
Bought CRWV above the HVE day on 4/13. Rallies 18%, pulls back to entry. Takes out LOD and stops me out by 80 cents. Rallies 31% straight up over the next 6 days.
Everyone who trades goes through this. I've lost 75% of my trades this year and most of them go like that. Stop out, round trip, etc. There's no secret, there's no magic. Just execution. Trusting the few winners will be enough to make up for all the losers.
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
SUSPICIOUS OIL TRADES BEFORE IRAN WAR HEADLINES TOPPED $7B: REUTERS
Well-timed bets on oil markets ahead of major Iran war announcements totaled at least $7 billion, far more extensive than previously reported, according to Reuters.
The trades, placed across crude, gasoline, and diesel futures in March and April, spanned multiple exchanges and contracts, raising fresh scrutiny over possible insider positioning around market-moving developments.
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
Replying to @TheFlowHorse
We all need to look in the mirror, because we are the idiots who put those idiots in there 😂🤣
There have been issues connecting to @IBKR using @tradingview for over a week and no confirmed date for resolving the issue. Can you confirm what is going on?
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
I don’t even know what level of chess we are playing when we are removing sanctions to allow Iran to sell its oil freely at $100/barrel in the middle of war.
Forward Capital (UK) Limited retweeted
The concept of the stock market being open 24/7 is a lot less fun in times like this





















